Lukko — Mikkelin Jukurit 2:1: match report and statistics

• 3.69 Expected goals (xG) 1.76
• 28 Shots on target 18
• 20 Shots off target 4
• 7.14% (2/28)Shooting PCT(1/18) 5.56%
• 11 Shots blocked 5
• 17 Saves 26
• 94.44% (17/18)Saves PCT(26/28) 92.86%
• 1 Penalties 4
• 2 PIM 8
• 2 Powerplay goals 0
• 0 Short-handed goals 0
• 50% (2/4)Powerplay PCT(0/1) 0%
• 100% (1/1)Pen. killing PCT(2/4) 50%
• 28 Faceoffs won 12
• 70% Faceoffs won 30%
• 0 Empty net goals 0

Tournament

Finland. Elite League

Attendance

2,847

Referee

Lassi Heikkinen

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Tappara	60	35	0	16	226:149	+77	117	LLWWL
2	KooKoo Kouvola	60	33	0	18	217:155	+62	115	WWWLL
3	SaiPa	60	31	0	16	204:162	+42	112	LWLWW
4	Ilves	60	29	0	19	186:152	+34	107	WLWWW
5	Lukko	60	28	0	19	185:157	+28	106	WWLLW
6	JYP Jyvaskyla	60	26	0	17	202:180	+22	106	WLLLW
7	KalPa	60	28	0	19	185:179	+6	104	LWLWW
8	Assat	60	26	0	24	170:165	+5	94	LWWLW
9	Kiekko-Espoo	60	23	0	21	157:155	+2	90	WWWWL
10	HIFK	60	25	0	26	149:183	-34	88	WWWWW
11	Pelicans	60	20	0	24	137:156	-19	85	LWWWL
12	HPK	60	16	0	26	144:167	-23	75	WLLLW
13	TPS	60	16	0	28	141:177	-36	71	LLLWL
14	Oulun Karpat	60	16	0	32	175:197	-22	66	WLLLL
15	Mikkelin Jukurit	60	15	0	32	131:171	-40	64	LLLLW
16	Vaasan Sport	60	9	0	39	108:212	-104	40	LLLLL

• Promotion - Higher League (Play-off: Round of 16)
• Promotion - Higher League. Play-off. Round of 16

• The model expects 4.88 goals: 2.75 for Lukko and 2.13 for Mikkelin Jukurit.
• Most likely score is 2–2 (7%), followed by 2–1 (6%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in P3: 13 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.5, 2nd — 1.13.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	—	—	99%	1.01
Over 1.5	—	—	96%	1.05
Over 2.5	—	—	86%	1.16
Over 3.5	100%	50%	72%	1.39
Over 4.5	100%	50%	54%	1.86

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (2), away team away (4). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Lukko Mikkelin Jukurit

• Over 2.5 in 6 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 6 matches in a row100%
• Both teams scored in 4 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 4 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 4 matches in a row100%
• Both teams scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Scored under 3.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Conceded under 3.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Both teams scored in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Scored under 3.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Conceded over 1.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

Lukkomatches: 2 · 4Mikkelin Jukurit

5.0Avg match total4.8

100%2/2Over 3.550%2/4

0%0/2Under 3.550%2/4

100%2/2Over 4.550%2/4

0%0/2Under 4.550%2/4

0%0/2Over 5.550%2/4

100%2/2Under 5.550%2/4

0%0/2Over 6.550%2/4

100%2/2Under 6.550%2/4

0%0/2Over 7.550%2/4

100%2/2Under 7.550%2/4

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

LukkoMikkelin Jukurit

50%1/2Scores first0%0/4

0%0/1…and wins—

0%0/1…and draws—

100%1/1…and loses—

100%1/1…and then concedes—

First to concede…

Overall

• • Lukko opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Lukko avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.
• • Mikkelin Jukurit opened the scoring in 0% of matches.
• • Mikkelin Jukurit avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Lukko				Mikkelin Jukurit
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
2	1	100%	Period 1	100%	0	6
0	2	100%	Period 2	50%	2	3
2	3	100%	Period 3	50%	3	5

• • Lukko scores most in Period 1: 2 of 4 goals (50%).
• • Lukko concedes most in Period 3: 3 of 6 conceded.
• • Mikkelin Jukurit scores most in Period 3: 3 of 5 goals (60%).
• • Mikkelin Jukurit concedes most in Period 1: 6 of 14 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 4.17 goals per match on average.