Yetis du Mont-Blanc — Valenciennes 3:2: match report and statistics

Tournament

France Championship. Division 1

Season

2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Drakkars de Caen	30	16	0	5	113:81	+32	63	WWWLW
2	Dogs de Cholet	30	18	0	6	105:76	+29	61	WWLLW
3	Etoile Noire de Strasbourg	30	14	0	8	107:94	+13	55	WWWWL
4	Neuilly-sur-Marne	30	15	0	10	100:95	+5	51	LLWLW
5	Lyon	30	15	0	12	120:105	+15	49	WLLWW
6	Remparts de Tours	30	13	0	10	118:112	+6	49	WLLWL
7	Elephants de Chambry	30	14	0	12	110:96	+14	48	LWWLL
8	Morzine-Avoriaz	30	13	0	12	101:92	+9	46	WLWLW
9	Valenciennes	30	13	0	10	116:113	+3	45	WLWLL
10	Epinal	30	12	0	12	101:103	-2	44	LWLWL
11	Yetis du Mont-Blanc	30	9	0	12	97:101	-4	43	LWLWW
12	Dunkerque Corsaires	30	9	0	15	87:90	-3	38	LWWLL
13	Nantes	30	5	0	13	79:100	-21	34	WWLWL
14	Ours de Villard-de-Lans	30	9	0	17	67:98	-31	33	WLLWW
15	Meudon	30	7	0	16	93:120	-27	31	LLLWW
16	Les Bouquetins HCMP	30	6	0	18	97:135	-38	27	LLLLL

• Promotion - Division 1 (Play-off: Round of 8)
• Promotion - Division 1 (Play-off: Round of 16)
• France Championship. Division 1 (Play Out)

• The model expects 6.34 goals: 3.67 for Yetis du Mont-Blanc and 2.67 for Valenciennes.
• Most likely score is 3–2 (5%), followed by 4–2 (5%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in P3: 14 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.83, 2nd — 2.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	—	—	100%	1.00
Over 1.5	—	—	99%	1.01
Over 2.5	—	—	95%	1.05
Over 3.5	67%	100%	88%	1.14
Over 4.5	67%	100%	76%	1.32

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (3), away team away (3). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Yetis du Mont-Blanc Valenciennes

• Both teams scored in 6 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 6 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 6 matches in a row100%
• Both teams scored in 6 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 6 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 6 matches in a row100%
• Scored over 1.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Under 7.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Over 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Scored under 3.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Conceded over 2.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

Yetis du Mont-Blancmatches: 3 · 3Valenciennes

6.0Avg match total6.7

67%2/3Over 3.5100%3/3

33%1/3Under 3.50%0/3

67%2/3Over 4.5100%3/3

33%1/3Under 4.50%0/3

67%2/3Over 5.567%2/3

33%1/3Under 5.533%1/3

67%2/3Over 6.533%1/3

33%1/3Under 6.567%2/3

33%1/3Over 7.533%1/3

67%2/3Under 7.567%2/3

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Yetis du Mont-BlancValenciennes

—Scores first—

—…and wins—

—…and draws—

—…and loses—

—…and then concedes—

First to concede…

Overall

Yetis du Mont-Blanc				Valenciennes
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	4	67%	Period 1	67%	2	4
4	2	100%	Period 2	100%	2	4
4	2	67%	Period 3	100%	4	4
0	0	0%	Period 4	—	—	—
3	1	100%	Period 5	—	—	—

• • Yetis du Mont-Blanc scores most in Period 2: 4 of 12 goals (33%).
• • Yetis du Mont-Blanc concedes most in Period 1: 4 of 9 conceded.
• • Valenciennes scores most in Period 3: 4 of 8 goals (50%).
• • Valenciennes concedes most in Period 1: 4 of 12 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 5.67 goals per match on average.