Etoile Noire de Strasbourg — Les Bouquetins HCMP 5:3: match report and statistics

Tournament

France Championship. Division 1

Season

2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Drakkars de Caen	30	16	0	5	113:81	+32	63	WWWLW
2	Dogs de Cholet	30	18	0	6	105:76	+29	61	WWLLW
3	Etoile Noire de Strasbourg	30	14	0	8	107:94	+13	55	WWWWL
4	Neuilly-sur-Marne	30	15	0	10	100:95	+5	51	LLWLW
5	Lyon	30	15	0	12	120:105	+15	49	WLLWW
6	Remparts de Tours	30	13	0	10	118:112	+6	49	WLLWL
7	Elephants de Chambry	30	14	0	12	110:96	+14	48	LWWLL
8	Morzine-Avoriaz	30	13	0	12	101:92	+9	46	WLWLW
9	Valenciennes	30	13	0	10	116:113	+3	45	WLWLL
10	Epinal	30	12	0	12	101:103	-2	44	LWLWL
11	Yetis du Mont-Blanc	30	9	0	12	97:101	-4	43	LWLWW
12	Dunkerque Corsaires	30	9	0	15	87:90	-3	38	LWWLL
13	Nantes	30	5	0	13	79:100	-21	34	WWLWL
14	Ours de Villard-de-Lans	30	9	0	17	67:98	-31	33	WLLWW
15	Meudon	30	7	0	16	93:120	-27	31	LLLWW
16	Les Bouquetins HCMP	30	6	0	18	97:135	-38	27	LLLLL

• Promotion - Division 1 (Play-off: Round of 8)
• Promotion - Division 1 (Play-off: Round of 16)
• France Championship. Division 1 (Play Out)

• The model expects 5.54 goals: 3.25 for Etoile Noire de Strasbourg and 2.29 for Les Bouquetins HCMP.
• Most likely score is 3–2 (6%), followed by 2–2 (5%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in P1: 15 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 2, 2nd — 1.71.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	—	—	100%	1.00
Over 1.5	—	—	97%	1.03
Over 2.5	—	—	91%	1.09
Over 3.5	67%	100%	80%	1.25
Over 4.5	67%	100%	65%	1.54

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (3), away team away (4). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Etoile Noire de Strasbourg Les Bouquetins HCMP

• Both teams scored in 9 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 9 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 9 matches in a row100%
• Both teams scored in 6 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 6 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 6 matches in a row100%
• 4 defeats in a row100%
• Winless in 4 matches100%
• 3 wins in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 3 matches100%
• Over 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 matches100%
• Conceded over 1.5 in 9 of 9 matches100%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 9

Etoile Noire de Strasbourgmatches: 3 · 4Les Bouquetins HCMP

4.3Avg match total6.8

67%2/3Over 3.5100%4/4

33%1/3Under 3.50%0/4

67%2/3Over 4.5100%4/4

33%1/3Under 4.50%0/4

0%0/3Over 5.550%2/4

100%3/3Under 5.550%2/4

0%0/3Over 6.550%2/4

100%3/3Under 6.550%2/4

0%0/3Over 7.550%2/4

100%3/3Under 7.550%2/4

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Etoile Noire de StrasbourgLes Bouquetins HCMP

—Scores first—

—…and wins—

—…and draws—

—…and loses—

—…and then concedes—

First to concede…

Overall

Etoile Noire de Strasbourg				Les Bouquetins HCMP
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
2	1	33%	Period 1	100%	4	8
3	2	100%	Period 2	75%	1	6
1	4	100%	Period 3	75%	2	4

• • Etoile Noire de Strasbourg scores most in Period 2: 3 of 6 goals (50%).
• • Etoile Noire de Strasbourg concedes most in Period 3: 4 of 7 conceded.
• • Les Bouquetins HCMP scores most in Period 1: 4 of 9 goals (44%).
• • Les Bouquetins HCMP concedes most in Period 1: 8 of 18 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Head-to-head matches: 3 · 7.67 goals per match on average.