Hershey Bears — Charlotte Checkers 1:4: match report and statistics

• 25 Shots on target 23
• 4% (1/25)Shooting PCT(4/23) 17.39%
• 19 Saves 24
• 86.36% (19/22)Saves PCT(24/25) 96%
• 4 Penalties 1
• 8 PIM 2
• 0 Powerplay goals 0
• 0 Short-handed goals 0
• 0% (0/1)Powerplay PCT(0/4) 0%
• 100% (4/4)Pen. killing PCT(1/1) 100%
• 0 Empty net goals 1

Tournament

AHL

Attendance

8,591

Atlantic Division

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Providence Bruins	72	41	0	16	239:162	+77	110	LLWWW
2	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	72	40	0	17	243:186	+57	101	WWLWL
3	Charlotte Checkers	72	35	0	23	238:187	+51	93	WLWLW
4	Hamilton Hammers	72	27	0	30	219:222	-3	76	WLWWL
5	Hershey Bears	72	25	0	31	210:230	-20	73	WLWLW
6	Springfield Thunderbirds	72	28	0	32	207:240	-33	72	WLWLL
7	Lehigh Valley Phantoms	72	21	0	35	210:247	-37	68	LWLWW
8	Hartford Wolf Pack	72	22	0	38	190:253	-63	60	LWLLW

Central division

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Grand Rapids Griffins	72	43	0	16	255:159	+96	107	LWWLL
2	Chicago Wolves	72	27	0	21	225:218	+7	87	WWWWL
3	Texas Stars	72	28	0	29	222:228	-6	80	WWLLL
4	Manitoba Moose	72	29	0	29	185:216	-31	78	WLLWW
5	Milwaukee Admirals	72	19	0	33	206:221	-15	71	LLLWW
6	Iowa Wild	72	20	0	36	179:226	-47	63	LWLLW
7	Rockford IceHogs	72	20	0	39	196:245	-49	61	LLLWL

Pacific division

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Ontario Reign	72	36	0	20	237:187	+50	99	LWWWW
2	Colorado Eagles	72	32	0	20	237:198	+39	93	LLWLL
3	Henderson Silver Knights	72	34	0	21	263:225	+38	90	LLWWW
4	Coachella Valley Firebirds	72	28	0	25	235:218	+17	88	LWWLL
5	Bakersfield Condors	72	29	0	23	244:236	+8	86	LWLLW
6	San Jose Barracuda	72	30	0	28	243:230	+13	84	WLLLL
7	San Diego Gulls	72	27	0	27	224:228	-4	78	LLLWL
8	Tucson Roadrunners	72	21	0	28	230:239	-9	78	WWWLW
9	Abbotsford Canucks	72	20	0	37	173:234	-61	63	WWWWL
10	Calgary Wranglers	72	14	0	34	203:269	-66	61	WWLLL

North Division

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Laval Rocket	72	29	0	23	233:200	+33	90	LLWLW
2	Syracuse Crunch	72	38	0	24	237:189	+48	89	WLLWL
3	Cleveland Monsters	72	24	0	26	217:227	-10	83	WWLLL
4	Toronto Marlies	72	28	0	26	229:228	+1	82	WWWLW
5	Rochester Americans	72	22	0	31	214:235	-21	72	LLLLL
6	Utica Comets	72	26	0	31	199:220	-21	71	WWWLW
7	Belleville Senators	72	21	0	35	223:262	-39	65	LWLLW

• Promotion - AHL (Play-Offs)

• The model expects 6.46 goals: 3.5 for Hershey Bears and 2.96 for Charlotte Checkers.
• Most likely score is 3–2 (5%), followed by 3–3 (5%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in P1: 23 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 2.42, 2nd — 2.33.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	—	—	100%	1.00
Over 1.5	—	—	99%	1.01
Over 2.5	—	—	96%	1.05
Over 3.5	100%	100%	89%	1.13
Over 4.5	100%	83%	77%	1.30

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (4), away team away (6). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Hershey Bears Charlotte Checkers

• Over 2.5 in 6 matches in a row100%
• Both teams scored in 5 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 5 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 5 matches in a row100%
• Both teams scored in 5 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 5 matches in a row100%
• 3 wins in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 3 matches100%
• Over 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 matches100%
• Over 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Scored under 3.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Conceded over 2.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 5, away team — 6

Hershey Bearsmatches: 4 · 6Charlotte Checkers

7.3Avg match total5.7

100%4/4Over 3.5100%6/6

0%0/4Under 3.50%0/6

100%4/4Over 4.583%5/6

0%0/4Under 4.517%1/6

50%2/4Over 5.550%3/6

50%2/4Under 5.550%3/6

50%2/4Over 6.533%2/6

50%2/4Under 6.567%4/6

50%2/4Over 7.50%0/6

50%2/4Under 7.5100%6/6

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Hershey BearsCharlotte Checkers

75%3/4Scores first17%1/6

67%2/3…and wins100%1/1

0%0/3…and draws0%0/1

33%1/3…and loses0%0/1

100%3/3…and then concedes100%1/1

First to concede…

Overall

• • Hershey Bears opened the scoring in 75% of matches.
• • Hershey Bears avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Charlotte Checkers opened the scoring in 17% of matches.
• • Charlotte Checkers avoided defeat after conceding first in 20% of such matches.

Hershey Bears				Charlotte Checkers
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
4	8	100%	Period 1	100%	4	7
7	5	75%	Period 2	83%	2	8
2	2	75%	Period 3	67%	6	4
1	0	100%	Period 4	100%	1	2

• • Hershey Bears scores most in Period 2: 7 of 14 goals (50%).
• • Hershey Bears concedes most in Period 1: 8 of 15 conceded.
• • Charlotte Checkers scores most in Period 3: 6 of 13 goals (46%).
• • Charlotte Checkers concedes most in Period 2: 8 of 21 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 6.17 goals per match on average.