Ermak Angarsk — Belgorod 13:0: match report and statistics

Tournament

Russian Hockey League

Season

2025/2026

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	MHK Ryazan-VDV	48	40	0	1	192:69	+123	92	WWWWW
2	Ermak Angarsk	48	35	0	7	223:96	+127	80	WWWWW
3	Dizelist Penza	48	27	0	14	160:108	+52	67	LWLLL
4	Bobrov Voronezh	48	28	0	14	187:114	+73	66	WWWWW
5	Sokol Novocheboksarsk	48	18	0	15	155:123	+32	60	LWWWL
6	MHK Kristall Saratov	48	18	0	19	127:131	-4	51	WLLLL
7	Progress Glazov	48	16	0	21	137:162	-25	50	WLWLW
8	Krasnodar	48	18	0	22	141:170	-29	45	LLLWL
9	Proton Novovoronezh	48	20	0	25	124:151	-27	44	WWWWL
10	Samara	48	14	0	24	127:144	-17	44	WWLLL
11	MHK Tambov	48	10	0	28	106:154	-48	36	LLLLL
12	MHC Lipetsk	48	5	0	30	89:182	-93	26	LLLLL
13	Belgorod	48	6	0	35	94:258	-164	20	LLLLW

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Buran Moscow	48	41	0	3	238:82	+156	87	WWWWW
2	Kaluzhskiye Rakety	48	29	0	11	203:101	+102	72	WWLWW
3	Ahmat-Granit	48	26	0	11	168:123	+45	69	LLWLL
4	Dynamo-576 Saint Petersburg	48	27	0	12	171:120	+51	67	WWWLL
5	MHC Metallurg Cherepovets	47	21	0	12	171:141	+30	64	WWWLL
6	Polet Rybinsk	48	22	0	15	176:173	+3	59	WLLWL
7	Vityaz	48	22	0	17	130:148	-18	57	WWWLW
8	Fakel Salekhard	48	20	0	18	140:156	-16	56	LWLWW
9	Bryansk	47	14	0	24	145:167	-22	42	LLWWW
10	MHC Arctica	48	8	0	27	106:164	-58	35	LLLLL
11	Taifun Saint Petersburg	48	12	0	31	112:178	-66	32	WLLWL
12	Leningradets	48	6	0	35	109:216	-107	21	LLLLL
13	Tverichi	48	3	0	35	95:195	-100	21	LLLLL

• Promotion - Russian Hockey League (Play-off: Round of 16)

• The model expects 7.17 goals: 4.17 for Ermak Angarsk and 3 for Belgorod.
• Most likely score is 4–2 (4%), followed by 4–3 (4%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in P3: 39 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.09, 2nd — 2.67.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	—	—	100%	1.00
Over 1.5	—	—	99%	1.01
Over 2.5	—	—	97%	1.03
Over 3.5	100%	83%	93%	1.08
Over 4.5	100%	83%	84%	1.19

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (6), away team away (6). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Ermak Angarsk Belgorod

• 6 wins in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 6 matches100%
• Both teams scored in 6 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 6 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 6 matches in a row100%
• Both teams scored in 6 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 6 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 6 matches in a row100%
• Over 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Scored over 2.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Conceded under 3.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Conceded over 1.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

Ermak Angarskmatches: 6 · 6Belgorod

6.8Avg match total7.5

100%6/6Over 3.583%5/6

0%0/6Under 3.517%1/6

100%6/6Over 4.583%5/6

0%0/6Under 4.517%1/6

67%4/6Over 5.583%5/6

33%2/6Under 5.517%1/6

67%4/6Over 6.583%5/6

33%2/6Under 6.517%1/6

33%2/6Over 7.550%3/6

67%4/6Under 7.550%3/6

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Ermak AngarskBelgorod

83%5/6Scores first33%2/6

100%5/5…and wins100%2/2

0%0/5…and draws0%0/2

0%0/5…and loses0%0/2

100%5/5…and then concedes100%2/2

First to concede…

Overall

• • Ermak Angarsk opened the scoring in 83% of matches.
• • Ermak Angarsk avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.
• • Belgorod opened the scoring in 33% of matches.
• • Belgorod avoided defeat after conceding first in 25% of such matches.

Ermak Angarsk				Belgorod
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
4	3	67%	Period 1	50%	1	5
8	4	100%	Period 2	100%	11	9
13	8	100%	Period 3	100%	8	10
0	0	0%	Period 4	0%	0	0
2	1	100%	Period 5	100%	3	2

• • Ermak Angarsk scores most in Period 3: 13 of 27 goals (48%).
• • Ermak Angarsk concedes most in Period 3: 8 of 16 conceded.
• • Belgorod scores most in Period 2: 11 of 23 goals (48%).
• • Belgorod concedes most in Period 3: 10 of 26 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Head-to-head matches: 3 · 7.67 goals per match on average.