Providence Bruins — Springfield Thunderbirds 2:4: match report and statistics

AHL · 29.03.2026 19:05 · Finished

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Providence Bruins
Finished2 : 429.03.2026 19:05
Springfield Thunderbirds

Who will win?

Votes: 0
  • Providence Bruins0%
  • Draw0%
  • Springfield Thunderbirds0%

Overview

The AHL match Providence Bruins – Springfield Thunderbirds on 29.03.2026 19:05 (UTC) finished 2:4. The win went to Springfield Thunderbirds. Goals: Akil Thomas 16:28', Hunter Skinner 03:43', Calle Rosen 07:11', Felix Trudeau 12:56', Riley Duran 16:50', Georgi Merkulov 18:46'.

Providence Bruins, last 6 games: won 4, drawn 0, lost 2. Springfield Thunderbirds, last 6 games: won 4, drawn 0, lost 2.

All meetings of Providence Bruins and Springfield Thunderbirds: 20 (wins of Providence Bruins: 3, wins of Springfield Thunderbirds: 3, draws: 0). The last meeting on 25.03.2026 23:05 ended Springfield Thunderbirds 1:2 Providence Bruins.

Providence Bruins in the standings: place 1, points 110, played 72. Springfield Thunderbirds in the standings: place 6, points 72, played 72.

Statistics and results: Providence Bruins, Springfield Thunderbirds, AHL standings and results.

See also all Ice hockey matches of the day. The statistics are powered by SportAPI, a sports data provider.

Score by periods

Team123Σ
Providence Bruins
0022
Springfield Thunderbirds
1214

Match events

Match statistics

  • 37 Shots on target 42
  • 5.41% (2/37)Shooting PCT(4/42) 9.52%
  • 38 Saves 35
  • 90.48% (38/42)Saves PCT(35/37) 94.59%
  • 9 Penalties 11
  • 32 PIM 36
  • 0 Powerplay goals 0
  • 0 Short-handed goals 0
  • 0% (0/11)Powerplay PCT(0/9) 0%
  • 100% (9/9)Pen. killing PCT(11/11) 100%
  • 0 Empty net goals 0

Box score

PlayerGAstPts
Jake SchmaltzUnited StatesSchmaltz J.—11
Riley DuranUnited StatesDuran1—1
Joseph LaBateUnited StatesАбате—11
Georgi MerkulovRussiaMerkulov G.1—1
James HagensUnited StatesHagens—11
Victor SoderstromSwedenSoderstrom V.—11

Lineups

Lead tracker

Providence Bruins +0Biggest lead+4 Springfield Thunderbirds
123

Head-to-head

Matches played: 20
draws: 0

3 / 20
Wins
3 / 20
15 / 30
Points
15 / 30
Matches

Previous matches: Providence Bruins

Previous matches: Springfield Thunderbirds

Match info

Tournament
AHL
Attendance
7,633

Upcoming matches: Providence Bruins

Upcoming matches: Springfield Thunderbirds

AHL

Atlantic Division
#TeamPWDLGoals+/-Pts
1Providence Bruins7241016239:162+77110
2Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins7240017243:186+57101
3Charlotte Checkers7235023238:187+5193
4Hamilton Hammers7227030219:222-376
5Hershey Bears7225031210:230-2073
6Springfield Thunderbirds7228032207:240-3372
7Lehigh Valley Phantoms7221035210:247-3768
8Hartford Wolf Pack7222038190:253-6360
Central division
#TeamPWDLGoals+/-Pts
1Grand Rapids Griffins7243016255:159+96107
2Chicago Wolves7227021225:218+787
3Texas Stars7228029222:228-680
4Manitoba Moose7229029185:216-3178
5Milwaukee Admirals7219033206:221-1571
6Iowa Wild7220036179:226-4763
7Rockford IceHogs7220039196:245-4961
Pacific division
#TeamPWDLGoals+/-Pts
1Ontario Reign7236020237:187+5099
2Colorado Eagles7232020237:198+3993
3Henderson Silver Knights7234021263:225+3890
4Coachella Valley Firebirds7228025235:218+1788
5Bakersfield Condors7229023244:236+886
6San Jose Barracuda7230028243:230+1384
7San Diego Gulls7227027224:228-478
8Tucson Roadrunners7221028230:239-978
9Abbotsford Canucks7220037173:234-6163
10Calgary Wranglers7214034203:269-6661
North Division
#TeamPWDLGoals+/-Pts
1Laval Rocket7229023233:200+3390
2Syracuse Crunch7238024237:189+4889
3Cleveland Monsters7224026217:227-1083
4Toronto Marlies7228026229:228+182
5Rochester Americans7222031214:235-2172
6Utica Comets7226031199:220-2171
7Belleville Senators7221035223:262-3965
  • Promotion - AHL (Play-Offs)

Match forecast

Quick readEven matchOver 2.5 98%Both teams to score 95%Goal peak P3
49%Win · Providence Bruins2.06
15%Draw6.79
37%Win · Springfield Thunderbirds2.72
7.5Expected goals
  • The model expects 7.5 goals: 3.96 for Providence Bruins and 3.54 for Springfield Thunderbirds.
  • Most likely score is 3–3 (4%), followed by 4–3 (4%).
  • Most goals in both teams' matches come in P3: 25 in total.
  • Expected goals by half: 1st — 2.71, 2nd — 1.13.

Correct score by the model

3–34.2%4–34.2%3–43.7%4–43.7%3–23.6%4–23.6%5–33.3%2–33.2%5–42.9%

Scores 4+ goals: Providence Bruins — 56%, Springfield Thunderbirds — 47%

MarkethistoryhistoryModelFair odds
Over 0.5——100%1.00
Over 1.5——100%1.00
Over 2.5——98%1.02
Over 3.5100%100%94%1.06
Over 4.5100%100%87%1.15

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (3), away team away (4). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Trends

  • Both teams scored in 6 matches in a row100%
  • Over 2.5 in 6 matches in a row100%
  • Scored in 6 matches in a row100%
  • Both teams scored in 6 matches in a row100%
  • Over 2.5 in 6 matches in a row100%
  • Scored in 6 matches in a row100%
  • 4 wins in a row100%
  • Unbeaten in 4 matches100%
  • Over 5.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
  • Scored over 2.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
  • Conceded over 1.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
  • Over 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

Markets by recent matches

Providence Bruinsmatches: 3 · 4Springfield Thunderbirds
8.0Avg match total7.0
100%3/3Over 3.5100%4/4
0%0/3Under 3.50%0/4
100%3/3Over 4.5100%4/4
0%0/3Under 4.50%0/4
100%3/3Over 5.575%3/4
0%0/3Under 5.525%1/4
100%3/3Over 6.575%3/4
0%0/3Under 6.525%1/4
33%1/3Over 7.550%2/4
67%2/3Under 7.550%2/4

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First goal and after

First to score…

Providence BruinsSpringfield Thunderbirds
67%2/3Scores first75%3/4
50%1/2…and wins67%2/3
0%0/2…and draws0%0/3
50%1/2…and loses33%1/3
100%2/2…and then concedes100%3/3

First to concede…

33%1/3Concedes first25%1/4
100%1/1…and then scores100%1/1
100%1/1…and comes back to win100%1/1
0%0/1…and saves a draw0%0/1

Overall

33%1/3Scores in both halves50%2/4
100%3/3Scores at all100%4/4
  • • Providence Bruins opened the scoring in 67% of matches.
  • • Providence Bruins avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.
  • • Springfield Thunderbirds opened the scoring in 75% of matches.
  • • Springfield Thunderbirds avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.

Scoring by period

matches: 3 · 4
Providence BruinsSpringfield Thunderbirds
ForAg.%Period%ForAg.
53100%Period 1100%65
2167%Period 275%32
76100%Period 3100%66
  • • Providence Bruins scores most in Period 3: 7 of 14 goals (50%).
  • • Providence Bruins concedes most in Period 3: 6 of 10 conceded.
  • • Springfield Thunderbirds scores most in Period 1: 6 of 15 goals (40%).
  • • Springfield Thunderbirds concedes most in Period 3: 6 of 13 conceded.
  • Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Markets in head-to-head

100%Over 1.56 of 6
100%Over 2.56 of 6
83%Over 3.55 of 6
100%Both teams to score6 of 6
50%Providence Bruins wins3 of 6
50%Springfield Thunderbirds wins3 of 6
0%Draw0 of 6

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 5 goals per match on average.