S-Kiekko — Riemu 1:4: match report and statistics

Tournament

Finland. Suomi-sarja

Season

2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	SaPKo	13	7	0	3	54:28	+26	26	WWWWW
2	Leki	13	7	0	3	45:29	+16	26	LLWWW
3	Haukat	13	7	0	3	49:38	+11	26	LWWLW
4	Laser HT	14	8	0	5	58:48	+10	26	LWWWL
5	Suolahden Urho	13	7	0	4	52:43	+9	25	WWWWL
6	Riemu	10	5	0	2	40:35	+5	19	WWWLL
7	RaaheK	12	5	0	4	34:35	-1	19	LLWLL
8	S-Kiekko	13	6	0	6	39:44	-5	19	LWLLL
9	JHT Kalajoki	12	5	0	5	42:35	+7	18	WLWLW
10	Virkia	12	4	0	4	32:36	-4	18	WWLWW
11	Muik	13	5	0	7	45:39	+6	17	LLWLW
12	Hunters	12	4	0	6	44:47	-3	14	LLLWL
13	Forssan Palloseura	13	2	0	7	35:60	-25	11	WLLWL
14	Titaanit	13	0	0	13	25:77	-52	0	LLLLL

• Promotion - Finland. Suomi-sarja (Play-off: Round of 8)
• Promotion - Finland. Suomi-sarja (Play-off: Round of 16)

• The model expects 7.9 goals: 4.6 for S-Kiekko and 3.3 for Riemu.
• Most likely score is 4–3 (4%), followed by 5–3 (4%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in P3: 46 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 2.48, 2nd — 2.08.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	—	—	100%	1.00
Over 1.5	—	—	100%	1.00
Over 2.5	—	—	99%	1.02
Over 3.5	100%	100%	95%	1.05
Over 4.5	80%	89%	89%	1.12

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (5), away team away (9). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams S-Kiekko Riemu

• Over 2.5 in 10 matches in a row100%
• Both teams scored in 8 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 8 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 8 matches in a row100%
• Both teams scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Over 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Conceded over 2.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Over 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 matches88%
• Scored over 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Both teams scored in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Scored under 3.5 in 6 of 8 matches75%

Based on recent matches: home team — 8, away team — 10

S-Kiekkomatches: 5 · 9Riemu

6.8Avg match total9.0

100%5/5Over 3.5100%9/9

0%0/5Under 3.50%0/9

80%4/5Over 4.589%8/9

20%1/5Under 4.511%1/9

80%4/5Over 5.589%8/9

20%1/5Under 5.511%1/9

60%3/5Over 6.567%6/9

40%2/5Under 6.533%3/9

20%1/5Over 7.567%6/9

80%4/5Under 7.533%3/9

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

S-KiekkoRiemu

67%2/3Scores first17%1/6

50%1/2…and wins0%0/1

0%0/2…and draws0%0/1

50%1/2…and loses100%1/1

100%2/2…and then concedes100%1/1

First to concede…

Overall

• • S-Kiekko opened the scoring in 67% of matches.
• • S-Kiekko avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Riemu opened the scoring in 17% of matches.
• • Riemu avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

S-Kiekko				Riemu
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
5	7	60%	Period 1	89%	9	14
3	5	60%	Period 2	89%	7	16
8	5	80%	Period 3	100%	10	23
0	1	100%	Period 4	50%	1	0

• • S-Kiekko scores most in Period 3: 8 of 16 goals (50%).
• • S-Kiekko concedes most in Period 1: 7 of 18 conceded.
• • Riemu scores most in Period 3: 10 of 27 goals (37%).
• • Riemu concedes most in Period 3: 23 of 54 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 8.17 goals per match on average.