CSKA Moscow — Neftekhimik: statistics, head-to-head and preview

Tournament

Kontinental Hockey League

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	CSKA Moscow	22	14	0	5	73:42	+31	34	WWWWL
2	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	21	13	0	6	55:36	+19	30	LWWWL
3	Shanghai Dragons	21	11	0	5	64:51	+13	30	WWLWW
4	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	21	10	0	5	58:43	+15	29	WLWLW
5	Spartak Moscow	22	12	0	6	59:42	+17	28	LWLLW
6	Severstal Cherepovets	23	10	0	9	51:53	-2	26	LLWLL
7	Dynamo Moscow	24	4	0	10	50:62	-12	23	WWLLL
8	Dinamo Minsk	22	7	0	8	51:66	-15	22	LWLWL
9	SKA Saint Petersburg	20	7	0	9	62:61	+1	21	WLLWL
10	Sochi	22	5	0	15	38:75	-37	14	LWLWW
11	Lada Togliatti	22	3	0	13	34:72	-38	13	WWLLL

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Metallurg Magnitogorsk	24	13	0	5	79:56	+23	36	LWLWW
2	Neftekhimik	23	12	0	7	65:55	+10	29	WWLLW
3	Barys	21	10	0	8	71:57	+14	25	WWLLL
4	Ak Bars Kazan	23	6	0	10	51:53	-2	24	LWLWL
5	Amur Khabarovsk	21	11	0	9	42:35	+7	23	WLLWW
6	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	21	9	0	9	57:53	+4	22	LWWWW
7	Avangard Omsk	20	5	0	8	40:47	-7	22	LLWWL
8	Salavat Yulaev Ufa	22	8	0	11	61:67	-6	21	LLLWL
9	Admiral Vladivostok	21	6	0	9	52:60	-8	21	LWWLW
10	Sibir Novosibirsk	23	7	0	12	51:68	-17	19	LWLLL
11	Traktor Chelyabinsk	21	6	0	10	43:53	-10	19	LLLWW

Bobrov Division

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	21	10	0	5	58:43	+15	29	WLWLW
2	Spartak Moscow	22	12	0	6	59:42	+17	28	LWLLW
3	SKA Saint Petersburg	20	7	0	9	62:61	+1	21	WLLWL
4	Sochi	22	5	0	15	38:75	-37	14	LWLWW
5	Lada Togliatti	22	3	0	13	34:72	-38	13	WWLLL

Tarasov Division

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	CSKA Moscow	22	14	0	5	73:42	+31	34	WWWWL
2	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	21	13	0	6	55:36	+19	30	LWWWL
3	Shanghai Dragons	21	11	0	5	64:51	+13	30	WWLWW
4	Severstal Cherepovets	23	10	0	9	51:53	-2	26	LLWLL
5	Dynamo Moscow	24	4	0	10	50:62	-12	23	WWLLL
6	Dinamo Minsk	22	7	0	8	51:66	-15	22	LWLWL

Kharlamov Division

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Metallurg Magnitogorsk	24	13	0	5	79:56	+23	36	LWLWW
2	Neftekhimik	23	12	0	7	65:55	+10	29	WWLLW
3	Ak Bars Kazan	23	6	0	10	51:53	-2	24	LWLWL
4	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	21	9	0	9	57:53	+4	22	LWWWW
5	Traktor Chelyabinsk	21	6	0	10	43:53	-10	19	LLLWW

Chernyshev Division

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Barys	21	10	0	8	71:57	+14	25	WWLLL
2	Amur Khabarovsk	21	11	0	9	42:35	+7	23	WLLWW
3	Avangard Omsk	20	5	0	8	40:47	-7	22	LLWWL
4	Salavat Yulaev Ufa	22	8	0	11	61:67	-6	21	LLLWL
5	Admiral Vladivostok	21	6	0	9	52:60	-8	21	LWWLW
6	Sibir Novosibirsk	23	7	0	12	51:68	-17	19	LWLLL

• Promotion - KHL (Play-off: Round of 16)

• The model expects 6 goals: 3.13 for CSKA Moscow and 2.88 for Neftekhimik.
• Most likely score is 3–2 (5%), followed by 2–2 (5%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in P2: 19 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.25, 2nd — 2.38.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	—	—	100%	1.00
Over 1.5	—	—	98%	1.02
Over 2.5	—	—	94%	1.07
Over 3.5	75%	75%	85%	1.18
Over 4.5	50%	75%	71%	1.40

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (4), away team away (4). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams CSKA Moscow Neftekhimik

• 8 wins in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 8 matches100%
• Scored in 8 matches in a row100%
• Won 6 of 6 matches after scoring first100%
• Under 7.5 goals in 7 of 8 matches88%
• Scored over 2.5 in 6 of 8 matches75%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 6 of 8 matches75%
• Scored first in 6 of 8 matches75%
• Over 4.5 goals in 6 of 8 matches75%
• Scored over 2.5 in 6 of 8 matches75%
• Conceded under 3.5 in 6 of 8 matches75%
• Both teams scored in 6 of 8 matches75%

Based on recent matches: home team — 8, away team — 8

CSKA Moscowmatches: 4 · 4Neftekhimik

5.8Avg match total6.3

75%3/4Over 3.575%3/4

25%1/4Under 3.525%1/4

50%2/4Over 4.575%3/4

50%2/4Under 4.525%1/4

50%2/4Over 5.575%3/4

50%2/4Under 5.525%1/4

50%2/4Over 6.575%3/4

50%2/4Under 6.525%1/4

25%1/4Over 7.550%2/4

75%3/4Under 7.550%2/4

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

CSKA MoscowNeftekhimik

50%2/4Scores first50%2/4

100%2/2…and wins50%1/2

0%0/2…and draws0%0/2

0%0/2…and loses50%1/2

50%1/2…and then concedes100%2/2

First to concede…

Overall

• • CSKA Moscow opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • CSKA Moscow avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.
• • Neftekhimik opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Neftekhimik avoided defeat after conceding first in 50% of such matches.

CSKA Moscow				Neftekhimik
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
3	2	50%	Period 1	75%	2	3
6	5	75%	Period 2	75%	7	1
4	2	75%	Period 3	100%	5	7
0	0	0%	Period 4	—	—	—
1	0	100%	Period 5	—	—	—

• • CSKA Moscow scores most in Period 2: 6 of 14 goals (43%).
• • CSKA Moscow concedes most in Period 2: 5 of 9 conceded.
• • Neftekhimik scores most in Period 2: 7 of 14 goals (50%).
• • Neftekhimik concedes most in Period 3: 7 of 11 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 5 goals per match on average.