Varvara Lepchenko — Aliaksandra Sasnovich 0:2: match report and statistics

WTA. Beijing. Qualification · 23.09.2025 05:10 · Finished

Compare teams
HardMiriam Bley (Germany)

Who will win?

Votes: 0
  • Varvara Lepchenko0%
  • Draw0%
  • Aliaksandra Sasnovich0%

Overview

The WTA. Beijing. Qualification match Varvara Lepchenko – Aliaksandra Sasnovich on 23.09.2025 05:10 (UTC) finished 0:2. The win went to Aliaksandra Sasnovich.

Varvara Lepchenko, last 6 games: won 3, drawn 0, lost 3. Aliaksandra Sasnovich, last 6 games: won 1, drawn 0, lost 5.

All meetings of Varvara Lepchenko and Aliaksandra Sasnovich: 3 (wins of Varvara Lepchenko: 2, wins of Aliaksandra Sasnovich: 1, draws: 0). The last meeting on 10.09.2023 18:10 ended Aliaksandra Sasnovich 2:0 Varvara Lepchenko.

More on the site: Varvara Lepchenko, Aliaksandra Sasnovich, WTA. Beijing. Qualification table.

More matches: Tennis matches today. Scores and statistics come from SportAPI live match visualisation.

Score by periods

Team12Σ
Varvara Lepchenko
410
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
662

Match statistics

  • 2 Aces 4
  • 2 Double faults 1
  • 66% First serve 56%
  • 51% (19/37)1st serve points won(17/25) 68%
  • 11% (2/19)2nd serve points won(9/20) 45%
  • 0% Break points saved 0%
  • 32% (8/25)1st serve return points won(18/37) 49%
  • 55% (11/20)2nd serve return points won(17/19) 89%
  • 0% Break points converted 0%
  • 38% (21/56)Service points won(26/45) 58%
  • 42% (19/45)Return points won(35/56) 63%
  • 40% (40/101)Total points won(61/101) 60%
  • 2 Посл. 10 мячей 8
  • 0 Match Points Saved 0
  • 22% (2/9)Service games won(5/8) 63%
  • 38% (3/8)Return games won(7/9) 78%
  • 29% (5/17)Total games won(12/17) 71%

Game by game

Varvara Lepchenko
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
1/4Service games won3/30Breaks30Break points converted3/7
  • Lost serve0 : 1
    0:15 0:30 0:40 BP15:40 BP
  • 0 : 2
    0:15 0:30 0:40
  • 1 : 2
    15:0 15:15 30:15 30:30 40:30
  • 1 : 3
    0:15 0:30 0:40
  • Lost serve1 : 4
    0:15 0:30 0:40 BP15:40 BP30:40 BP40:40 40:A BP
  • 1 : 5
    0:15 0:30 15:30 15:40
  • Lost serve1 : 6
    0:15 15:15 15:30 15:40 MP

Head-to-head

Matches played: 3
draws: 0

2 / 3
Wins
1 / 3
4 / 8
Points
4 / 8
Matches

Previous matches: Varvara Lepchenko

Previous matches: Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Match info

Tournament
Beijing
Season
2025
Referee
Miriam Bley

WTA. Beijing. Qualification

Match forecast and markets

Quick readVarvara Lepchenko favourite · 73%Likely score 2:0Expected games 23.8Tiebreak in match 30%
73%Win · Varvara Lepchenko1.38
27%Win · Aliaksandra Sasnovich3.65
23.8Expected games
66%Varvara Lepchenko wins 1st set1.52
30%Tiebreak in match3.34
45%Deciding set2.22
  • On serve the model gives Varvara Lepchenko 59% of points and Aliaksandra Sasnovich 55% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
  • Most likely score in sets is 2:0 (43%), then 2:1 (30%).
  • About 23.8 games expected; over 21.5 — 58%.
MarkethistoryhistoryModelFair odds
Varvara Lepchenko wins50%3/683%5/673%1.38
Aliaksandra Sasnovich wins50%3/617%1/627%3.65
Varvara Lepchenko wins 1st set83%5/683%5/666%1.52
Deciding set50%3/650%3/645%2.22
Tiebreak in match33%2/633%2/630%3.34
Score in sets
2:033%2/633%2/643%2.32
2:117%1/650%3/630%3.38
1:233%2/60%0/616%6.44
0:217%1/617%1/612%8.44

Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (6 and 6) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.

Players' style of play

Varvara Lepchenkomatches: 6

Strengths

  • First serve in 73% (avg 66%)Very strong
  • Double faults per match 2 (avg 3.9)Strong
  • Points won on 2nd serve 50% (avg 45%)Strong
  • Service games held 73% (avg 67%)Strong
  • Tiebreaks 2/3Strong

Weaknesses

  • Deciding sets 1/3Weak
  • Closing out after winning 1st set 3/5Weak
Aces per match
3.8
Double faults per match
2
First serve in
73%
Service games held
73%
Return games won
30%

Aliaksandra Sasnovichmatches: 6

Strengths

  • Aces per match 4.2 (avg 3.3)Strong

Weaknesses

  • Double faults per match 7 (avg 3.9)Very weak
  • First serve in 59% (avg 66%)Very weak
  • Points won on 2nd serve 38% (avg 45%)Very weak
  • Deciding sets 0/3Very weak
  • Service games held 59% (avg 67%)Weak
  • Comebacks after losing 1st set 0/5Weak
Aces per match
4.2
Double faults per match
7
First serve in
59%
Service games held
59%
Return games won
33%
Break points converted
86%

What to expect

  • Aliaksandra Sasnovich will hit many aces — 4.2 per match on averageLikely
  • Aliaksandra Sasnovich makes many double faults — 7 per matchVery likely

Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.

Trends

  • Won the 1st set in 5 of 6 matches83%
  • Losses in 5 of 6 matches83%
  • Over 21.5 games in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

Win probability

Points won on serve: 48% Points won on serve: 60%Before the match: 5%

Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.