Maria Camila Osorio Serrano — Ann Li 0:2: match report and statistics

WTA. Guangzhou · 23.10.2025 05:05 · Finished

Head-to-head: Maria Camila Osorio Serrano vs Ann Li
HardTaise Soares (Brazil)

Who will win?

Votes: 0
  • Maria Camila Osorio Serrano0%
  • Draw0%
  • Ann Li0%

Overview

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano vs Ann Li ended 0:2 on 23.10.2025 05:05 (UTC) in WTA. Guangzhou. Ann Li took the victory.

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano, last 5 games: won 3, lost 2. Ann Li, last 5 games: won 2, lost 3.

All meetings of Maria Camila Osorio Serrano and Ann Li: 3 (wins of Maria Camila Osorio Serrano: 2, wins of Ann Li: 1). The last meeting on 25.09.2025 03:10 ended Ann Li 1:2 Maria Camila Osorio Serrano.

Statistics and results: Maria Camila Osorio Serrano results and fixtures, Ann Li results and fixtures, WTA. Guangzhou table.

More matches: all Tennis matches of the day.

Score by periods

Team12Σ
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
520
Ann Li
762

Match statistics

  • 4 Aces 6
  • 9 Double faults 2
  • 64% First serve 52%
  • 64% (32/50)1st serve points won(24/29) 83%
  • 29% (8/28)2nd serve points won(13/27) 48%
  • 0% Break points saved 0%
  • 17% (5/29)1st serve return points won(18/50) 36%
  • 52% (14/27)2nd serve return points won(20/28) 71%
  • 0% Break points converted 0%
  • 51% (40/78)Service points won(37/56) 66%
  • 34% (19/56)Return points won(38/78) 49%
  • 44% (59/134)Total points won(75/134) 56%
  • 4 Посл. 10 мячей 6
  • 1 Match Points Saved 0
  • 50% (5/10)Service games won(8/10) 80%
  • 20% (2/10)Return games won(5/10) 50%
  • 35% (7/20)Total games won(13/20) 65%

Game by game

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
Ann Li
1/4Service games won3/41Breaks31/3Break points converted3/3
  • Lost serve0 : 1
    15:0 15:15 30:15 40:15 40:30 40:40 40:A BP
  • 1 : 1Lost serve
    15:0 15:15 30:15 40:15 BP
  • 2 : 1
    15:0 30:0 30:15 40:15 40:30 40:40 A:40
  • 2 : 2
    0:15 0:30 0:40
  • Lost serve2 : 3
    0:15 15:15 15:30 30:30 30:40 BP
  • 2 : 4
    0:15 15:15 15:30 15:40 30:40
  • Lost serve2 : 5
    0:15 0:30 15:30 30:30 30:40 BP
  • 2 : 6
    15:0 30:0 30:15 40:15 BP40:30 BP40:40 40:A MP40:40 40:A MP

Head-to-head

Matches played: 3
draws: 0

2 / 3
Wins
1 / 3
4 / 8
Points
4 / 8
Matches

Previous matches: Maria Camila Osorio Serrano

Previous matches: Ann Li

Match info

Tournament
Guangzhou
Season
2025
Referee
Taise Soares

WTA. Guangzhou

Match forecast and markets

Quick readEven matchLikely score 2:0Expected games 24.4Tiebreak in match 32%
53%Win · Maria Camila Osorio Serrano1.90
47%Win · Ann Li2.11
24.4Expected games
52%Maria Camila Osorio Serrano wins 1st set1.93
32%Tiebreak in match3.17
50%Deciding set2.00
  • On serve the model gives Maria Camila Osorio Serrano 57% of points and Ann Li 56% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
  • Most likely score in sets is 2:0 (27%), then 2:1 (26%).
  • About 24.4 games expected; over 21.5 — 63%.
MarkethistoryhistoryModelFair odds
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano wins60%3/560%3/553%1.90
Ann Li wins40%2/540%2/547%2.11
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano wins 1st set60%3/560%3/552%1.93
Deciding set20%1/540%2/550%2.00
Tiebreak in match0%0/560%3/532%3.17
Score in sets
2:040%2/520%1/527%3.73
2:120%1/540%2/526%3.87
1:20%0/50%0/524%4.15
0:240%2/540%2/523%4.30

Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (5 and 5) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.

Players' style of play

Maria Camila Osorio Serranomatches: 5

Strengths

  • Return games won 46% (avg 32%)Very strong
  • Return points won 49% (avg 43%)Strong
  • Closing out after winning 1st set 3/3Strong
Aces per match
3.2
Double faults per match
5.4
First serve in
61%
Service games held
65%
Return games won
46%

Ann Limatches: 5

Strengths

  • Aces per match 5.4 (avg 3.1)Very strong
  • Double faults per match 3.4 (avg 4.6)Strong
  • Points won on 1st serve 71% (avg 65%)Strong
  • Points won on 2nd serve 48% (avg 44%)Strong
  • Service games held 73% (avg 68%)Strong
  • Tiebreaks 2/3Strong

Weaknesses

  • Return games won 25% (avg 32%)Weak
  • Comebacks after losing 1st set 0/3Weak
Aces per match
5.4
Double faults per match
3.4
First serve in
58%
Service games held
73%
Return games won
25%

What to expect

  • Maria Camila Osorio Serrano will break Ann Li's serveLikely
  • Ann Li will hit many aces — 5.4 per match on averageVery likely

Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.

Trends

  • Matches without a deciding set: 4 of 580%
  • Under 21.5 games in 4 of 5 matches80%
  • Over 20.5 games in 4 of 5 matches80%

Based on recent matches: home team — 5, away team — 5

Win probability

Points won on serve: 55% Points won on serve: 64%Before the match: 11%

Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.