Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida — Alex Barrena 1:2: match report and statistics
Challenger. Concepcion · 28.01.2026 14:10 · Finished
Compare teams
Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaATP: 270 · seed Alt
Alex BarrenaATP: 220 · seed 7Who will win?
Votes: 0- Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida0%
- Draw0%
- Alex Barrena0%
Overview
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Alex Barrena ended 1:2 on 28.01.2026 14:10 (UTC) in Challenger. Concepcion. Alex Barrena took the victory.
Form of Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida in the last 6 matches: wins 2, draws 0, defeats 4. Form of Alex Barrena in the last 6 matches: wins 3, draws 0, defeats 3.
Head-to-head meetings: 2. Wins of Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida: 2, wins of Alex Barrena: 0, draws: 0. The last meeting on 08.10.2024 13:10 ended Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 2:0 Alex Barrena.
More on the site: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida results and fixtures, Alex Barrena results and fixtures, Challenger. Concepcion standings and results.
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Score by periods
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | Σ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 6 | 6 | 4 | 1 |
 Alex Barrena | 1 | 7 | 6 | 2 |
Match statistics
- 1 Aces 5
- 8 Double faults 6
- 53% First serve 48%
- 61% (30/49)1st serve points won(30/46) 65%
- 51% (22/43)2nd serve points won(23/50) 46%
- 0% Break points saved 0%
- 35% (16/46)1st serve return points won(19/49) 39%
- 54% (27/50)2nd serve return points won(21/43) 49%
- 0% Break points converted 0%
- 23 Winners 30
- 54 Unforced errors 52
- 63 (15/24)Net points won(4/7) 57
- 57% (52/92)Service points won(53/96) 55%
- 45% (43/96)Return points won(40/92) 43%
- 51% (95/188)Total points won(93/188) 49%
- 4 Посл. 10 мячей 6
- 0 Match Points Saved 0
- 67% (10/15)Service games won(8/14) 57%
- 43% (6/14)Return games won(5/15) 33%
- 55% (16/29)Total games won(13/29) 45%
Game by game
- Lost serve0 : 10:15 15:15 30:15 40:15 40:30 40:40 40:A BP40:40 40:A BP
- 0 : 20:15 0:30 15:30 15:40 30:40
- 1 : 215:0 30:0 40:0 40:15
- 2 : 2Lost serve15:0 30:0 40:0 BP40:15 BP40:30 BP
- 3 : 215:0 15:15 15:30 30:30 40:30
- 3 : 30:15 0:30 0:40
- Lost serve3 : 40:15 0:30 0:40 BP
- 3 : 50:15 15:15 15:30 15:40 30:40
- 4 : 515:0 15:15 30:15 30:30 40:30
- 4 : 615:0 15:15 15:30 15:40 MP
Head-to-head
Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaMatches played: 2
draws: 0
Alex BarrenaPrevious matches: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Previous matches: Alex Barrena
Match info
- Tournament
- Concepcion
- Season
- 2026
- Referee
- Bastian Parada
Upcoming matches: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Challenger. Concepcion
Match forecast and markets
- On serve the model gives Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 59% of points and Alex Barrena 54% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
- Most likely score in sets is 2:0 (44%), then 2:1 (30%).
- About 23.7 games expected; over 21.5 — 57%.
| Market | history | history | Model | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida wins | 40%2/5 | 50%3/6 | 74% | 1.36 |
| Alex Barrena wins | 60%3/5 | 50%3/6 | 26% | 3.81 |
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida wins 1st set | 40%2/5 | 50%3/6 | 66% | 1.51 |
| Deciding set | 20%1/5 | 17%1/6 | 45% | 2.24 |
| Tiebreak in match | 40%2/5 | 17%1/6 | 29% | 3.39 |
| Score in sets | ||||
| 2:0 | 40%2/5 | 33%2/6 | 44% | 2.27 |
| 2:1 | 0%0/5 | 17%1/6 | 30% | 3.38 |
| 1:2 | 20%1/5 | 0%0/6 | 15% | 6.67 |
| 0:2 | 40%2/5 | 50%3/6 | 11% | 8.86 |
Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (5 and 6) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.
Players' style of play
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeidamatches: 5
Strengths
- First serve in 65% (avg 57%)Very strong
- Points won on 2nd serve 51% (avg 44%)Very strong
Weaknesses
- Return games won 27% (avg 38%)Very weak
- Comebacks after losing 1st set 0/3Weak
- Aces per match
- 2.8
- Double faults per match
- 3
- First serve in
- 65%
- Service games held
- 61%
- Return games won
- 27%
Alex Barrenamatches: 6
Strengths
- Closing out after winning 1st set 3/3Strong
Weaknesses
- Double faults per match 4.3 (avg 3.3)Weak
- First serve in 51% (avg 57%)Weak
- Points won on 2nd serve 41% (avg 44%)Weak
- Service games held 53% (avg 62%)Weak
- Comebacks after losing 1st set 0/3Weak
- Aces per match
- 1.8
- Double faults per match
- 4.3
- First serve in
- 51%
- Service games held
- 53%
- Return games won
- 36%
What to expect
- Alex Barrena makes many double faults — 4.3 per matchLikely
Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.
Trends
- Matches without a deciding set: 5 of 683%
- Under 22.5 games in 5 of 6 matches83%
- Matches without a deciding set: 4 of 580%
Based on recent matches: home team — 5, away team — 6
Win probability
Points won on serve: 59% Points won on serve: 57%Before the match: 59%Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.