Varvara Lepchenko — Katrina Scott 2:0: match report and statistics

WTA. Merida. Qualification · 21.02.2026 18:45 · Finished

Compare teams
HardPaula Vieira Souza (Brazil)

Who will win?

Votes: 0
  • Varvara Lepchenko0%
  • Draw0%
  • Katrina Scott0%

Overview

The WTA. Merida. Qualification match Varvara Lepchenko – Katrina Scott on 21.02.2026 18:45 (UTC) finished 2:0. Varvara Lepchenko took the victory.

Form of Varvara Lepchenko in the last 6 matches: wins 2, draws 0, defeats 4. Form of Katrina Scott in the last 6 matches: wins 4, draws 0, defeats 2.

Head-to-head meetings: 1. Wins of Varvara Lepchenko: 0, wins of Katrina Scott: 1, draws: 0. The last meeting on 21.10.2025 19:10 ended Katrina Scott 2:0 Varvara Lepchenko.

Statistics and results: Varvara Lepchenko results and fixtures, Katrina Scott results and fixtures, WTA. Merida. Qualification standings and results.

More matches: all Tennis matches of the day. Want the same statistics on your site? Try SportAPI Match Centre widget.

Score by periods

Team12Σ
Varvara Lepchenko
662
Katrina Scott
430

Match statistics

  • 6 Aces 0
  • 1 Double faults 3
  • 77% First serve 66%
  • 66% (27/41)1st serve points won(25/43) 58%
  • 75% (9/12)2nd serve points won(10/22) 45%
  • 0% Break points saved 0%
  • 42% (18/43)1st serve return points won(14/41) 34%
  • 55% (12/22)2nd serve return points won(3/12) 25%
  • 0% Break points converted 0%
  • 68% (36/53)Service points won(35/65) 54%
  • 46% (30/65)Return points won(17/53) 32%
  • 56% (66/118)Total points won(52/118) 44%
  • 7 Посл. 10 мячей 3
  • 0 Match Points Saved 0
  • 80% (8/10)Service games won(5/9) 56%
  • 44% (4/9)Return games won(2/10) 20%
  • 63% (12/19)Total games won(7/19) 37%

Game by game

Varvara Lepchenko
Katrina Scott
4/5Service games won2/42Breaks12/7Break points converted1/2
  • Lost serve0 : 1
    0:15 15:15 15:30 15:40 BP30:40 BP
  • 0 : 2
    0:15 0:30 0:40
  • 1 : 2
    0:15 15:15 30:15 30:30 40:30
  • 1 : 3
    0:15 0:30 15:30 15:40 30:40 40:40 40:A
  • 2 : 3
    15:0 30:0 40:0
  • 3 : 3Lost serve
    0:15 0:30 15:30 15:40 30:40 40:40 40:A 40:40 A:40 BP40:40 A:40 BP40:40 A:40 BP40:40 A:40 BP
  • 4 : 3
    0:15 15:15 30:15 30:30 40:30
  • 5 : 3Lost serve
    15:0 30:0 30:15 40:15 BP40:30 BP40:40 A:40 BP
  • 6 : 3
    15:0 30:0 30:15 40:15 MP

Head-to-head

Matches played: 1
draws: 0

0 / 1
Wins
1 / 1
0 / 2
Points
2 / 2
Matches

Previous matches: Varvara Lepchenko

Previous matches: Katrina Scott

Match info

Tournament
Merida
Season
2026
Referee
Paula Vieira Souza

WTA. Merida. Qualification

Match forecast and markets

Quick readVarvara Lepchenko favourite · 56%Likely score 2:0Expected games 24.2Tiebreak in match 29%
56%Win · Varvara Lepchenko1.78
44%Win · Katrina Scott2.29
24.2Expected games
54%Varvara Lepchenko wins 1st set1.85
29%Tiebreak in match3.39
50%Deciding set2.01
  • On serve the model gives Varvara Lepchenko 55% of points and Katrina Scott 54% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
  • Most likely score in sets is 2:0 (29%), then 2:1 (27%).
  • About 24.2 games expected; over 21.5 — 62%.
MarkethistoryhistoryModelFair odds
Varvara Lepchenko wins33%2/633%2/656%1.78
Katrina Scott wins67%4/667%4/644%2.29
Varvara Lepchenko wins 1st set17%1/633%2/654%1.85
Deciding set17%1/617%1/650%2.01
Tiebreak in match17%1/60%0/629%3.39
Score in sets
2:017%1/633%2/629%3.41
2:117%1/60%0/627%3.72
1:20%0/617%1/623%4.40
0:267%4/650%3/621%4.76

Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (6 and 6) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.

Players' style of play

Varvara Lepchenkomatches: 6

Strengths

  • Aces per match 2.2 (avg 1.6)Strong
  • Double faults per match 1.5 (avg 2.4)Strong

Weaknesses

  • Points won on 2nd serve 35% (avg 43%)Very weak
  • Service games held 52% (avg 62%)Weak
  • Return games won 30% (avg 38%)Weak
Aces per match
2.2
Double faults per match
1.5
First serve in
64%
Service games held
52%
Return games won
30%

Katrina Scottmatches: 6

Strengths

  • Aces per match 2.3 (avg 1.6)Strong
  • Closing out after winning 1st set 4/4Strong
Aces per match
2.3
Double faults per match
2.5
First serve in
63%
Service games held
44%
Return games won
13%

What to expect

  • Varvara Lepchenko will hit many aces — 2.2 per match on averageLikely
  • Katrina Scott will hit many aces — 2.3 per match on averageLikely

Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.

Trends

  • Matches without a deciding set: 5 of 683%
  • Under 22.5 games in 5 of 6 matches83%
  • Matches without a deciding set: 5 of 683%
  • Under 21.5 games in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

Win probability

Points won on serve: 65% Points won on serve: 57%Before the match: 86%

Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.