Anastasia Potapova — Shuai Zhang 2:0: match report and statistics

WTA. Madrid · 24.04.2026 09:10 · Finished

Head-to-head: Anastasia Potapova vs Shuai Zhang
ClayKader Nouni (France)
Anastasia PotapovaWTA: 26
Finished2 : 024.04.2026 09:10
Shuai ZhangWTA: 81

Who will win?

Votes: 0
  • Anastasia Potapova0%
  • Draw0%
  • Shuai Zhang0%

Overview

The WTA. Madrid match Anastasia Potapova – Shuai Zhang on 24.04.2026 09:10 (UTC) finished 2:0. The win went to Anastasia Potapova.

Form of Anastasia Potapova in the last 6 matches: wins 4, defeats 2. Form of Shuai Zhang in the last 6 matches: wins 1, defeats 5.

Head-to-head meetings: 2. Wins of Anastasia Potapova: 2, wins of Shuai Zhang: 0. The last meeting on 08.04.2026 15:00 ended Anastasia Potapova 2:0 Shuai Zhang.

Related pages: Anastasia Potapova results and fixtures, Shuai Zhang results and fixtures, WTA. Madrid table.

More matches: Tennis results and fixtures.

Score by periods

Team12Σ
Anastasia Potapova
662
Shuai Zhang
310

Match statistics

  • 6 Aces 0
  • 3 Double faults 3
  • 64% First serve 62%
  • 92% (23/25)1st serve points won(19/39) 49%
  • 50% (7/14)2nd serve points won(10/24) 42%
  • 0% Break points saved 0%
  • 51% (20/39)1st serve return points won(2/25) 8%
  • 58% (14/24)2nd serve return points won(7/14) 50%
  • 0% Break points converted 0%
  • 77% (30/39)Service points won(29/63) 46%
  • 54% (34/63)Return points won(9/39) 23%
  • 63% (64/102)Total points won(38/102) 37%
  • 5 Посл. 10 мячей 5
  • 0 Match Points Saved 1
  • 88% (7/8)Service games won(3/8) 38%
  • 63% (5/8)Return games won(1/8) 13%
  • 75% (12/16)Total games won(4/16) 25%

Game by game

Anastasia Potapova
Shuai Zhang
4/4Service games won1/32Breaks02/6Break points converted0
  • 1 : 0
    15:0 30:0 40:0
  • 2 : 0Lost serve
    15:0 15:15 30:15 40:15 BP40:30 BP40:40 A:40 BP40:40 40:A 40:40 A:40 BP40:40 40:A 40:40 A:40 BP
  • 3 : 0
    15:0 30:0 40:0
  • 4 : 0Lost serve
    15:0 15:15 30:15 40:15 BP
  • 5 : 0
    15:0 30:0 40:0
  • 5 : 1
    15:0 15:15 30:15 30:30 30:40
  • 6 : 1
    15:0 30:0 40:0 MP40:15 MP

Head-to-head

Matches played: 2
draws: 0

2 / 2
Wins
0 / 2
3 / 3
Points
0 / 3
Matches

Previous matches: Anastasia Potapova

Previous matches: Shuai Zhang

Match info

Tournament
Madrid
Season
2026
Referee
Kader Nouni

WTA. Madrid

Match forecast and markets

Quick readAnastasia Potapova favourite · 93%Likely score 2:0Expected games 21.2Tiebreak in match 22%
93%Win · Anastasia Potapova1.08
7%Win · Shuai Zhang13.82
21.2Expected games
84%Anastasia Potapova wins 1st set1.20
22%Tiebreak in match4.59
28%Deciding set3.64
  • On serve the model gives Anastasia Potapova 64% of points and Shuai Zhang 53% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
  • Most likely score in sets is 2:0 (70%), then 2:1 (23%).
  • About 21.2 games expected; over 21.5 — 37%.
MarkethistoryhistoryModelFair odds
Anastasia Potapova wins67%4/683%5/693%1.08
Shuai Zhang wins33%2/617%1/67%13.82
Anastasia Potapova wins 1st set83%5/667%4/684%1.20
Deciding set33%2/617%1/628%3.64
Tiebreak in match33%2/60%0/622%4.59
Score in sets
2:067%4/667%4/670%1.43
2:10%0/617%1/623%4.35
1:233%2/60%0/65%22.09
0:20%0/617%1/63%36.91

Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (6 and 6) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.

Players' style of play

Anastasia Potapovamatches: 6

Strengths

  • Return games won 43% (avg 31%)Very strong
  • Points won on 1st serve 69% (avg 66%)Strong
  • Return points won 46% (avg 42%)Strong

Weaknesses

  • First serve in 59% (avg 64%)Weak
Aces per match
4.2
Double faults per match
3
First serve in
59%
Service games held
71%
Return games won
43%

Shuai Zhangmatches: 6

Weaknesses

  • Return points won 35% (avg 42%)Very weak
  • Return games won 16% (avg 31%)Very weak
  • Aces per match 3 (avg 4.1)Weak
  • Points won on 1st serve 60% (avg 66%)Weak
  • Comebacks after losing 1st set 0/4Weak
Aces per match
3
Double faults per match
3
First serve in
67%
Service games held
65%
Return games won
16%

What to expect

  • Anastasia Potapova will break Shuai Zhang's serveLikely

Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.

Trends

  • Won the 1st set in 5 of 6 matches83%
  • Losses in 5 of 6 matches83%
  • Matches without a deciding set: 5 of 683%
  • Under 21.5 games in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

Win probability

Points won on serve: 69% Points won on serve: 52%Before the match: 99%

Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.