Ekaterina Alexandrova — Laura Siegemund 1:2: match report and statistics

WTA. Rome · 08.05.2026 15:25 · Finished

Compare teams
ClayMeruyert Kaukeyeva (Kazakhstan)

Who will win?

Votes: 0
  • Ekaterina Alexandrova0%
  • Draw0%
  • Laura Siegemund0%

Overview

The WTA. Rome match Ekaterina Alexandrova – Laura Siegemund on 08.05.2026 15:25 (UTC) finished 1:2. Laura Siegemund took the victory.

Form of Ekaterina Alexandrova in the last 6 matches: wins 2, draws 0, defeats 4. Form of Laura Siegemund in the last 6 matches: wins 3, draws 0, defeats 3.

Head-to-head meetings: 4. Wins of Ekaterina Alexandrova: 3, wins of Laura Siegemund: 1, draws: 0. The last meeting on 30.08.2025 21:00 ended Ekaterina Alexandrova 2:0 Laura Siegemund.

More on the site: Ekaterina Alexandrova results and fixtures, Laura Siegemund results and fixtures, WTA. Rome table.

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Score by periods

Team123Σ
Ekaterina Alexandrova
4711
Laura Siegemund
6662

Match statistics

  • 3 Aces 2
  • 9 Double faults 2
  • 49% First serve 67%
  • 63% (31/49)1st serve points won(42/76) 55%
  • 35% (18/51)2nd serve points won(22/38) 58%
  • 0% Break points saved 0%
  • 45% (34/76)1st serve return points won(18/49) 37%
  • 42% (16/38)2nd serve return points won(33/51) 65%
  • 0% Break points converted 0%
  • 49% (50/102)Service points won(64/114) 56%
  • 44% (50/114)Return points won(52/102) 51%
  • 46% (100/216)Total points won(116/216) 54%
  • 4 Посл. 10 мячей 6
  • 0 Match Points Saved 0
  • 43% (6/14)Service games won(10/15) 67%
  • 33% (5/15)Return games won(8/14) 57%
  • 38% (11/29)Total games won(18/29) 62%

Game by game

Ekaterina Alexandrova
Laura Siegemund
0/3Service games won3/41Breaks31/4Break points converted3/3
  • 0 : 1
    15:0 15:15 15:30 15:40 30:40
  • Lost serve0 : 2
    15:0 15:15 15:30 15:40 BP
  • 0 : 3
    0:15 0:30 15:30 15:40 30:40
  • Lost serve0 : 4
    0:15 0:30 0:40 BP
  • 1 : 4Lost serve
    0:15 0:30 0:40 15:40 30:40 40:40 A:40 BP40:40 A:40 BP
  • Lost serve1 : 5
    15:0 30:0 30:15 30:30 40:30 40:40 40:A BP
  • 1 : 6
    0:15 15:15 15:30 30:30 40:30 BP40:40 A:40 BP40:40 40:A MP

Head-to-head

Matches played: 4
draws: 0

3 / 4
Wins
1 / 4
7 / 10
Points
3 / 10
Matches

Previous matches: Ekaterina Alexandrova

Previous matches: Laura Siegemund

Match info

Tournament
Rome
Season
2026
Referee
Meruyert Kaukeyeva

WTA. Rome

Match forecast and markets

Quick readLaura Siegemund favourite · 62%Likely score 0:2Expected games 24.5Tiebreak in match 34%
38%Win · Ekaterina Alexandrova2.62
62%Win · Laura Siegemund1.62
24.5Expected games
42%Ekaterina Alexandrova wins 1st set2.38
34%Tiebreak in match2.98
49%Deciding set2.05
  • On serve the model gives Ekaterina Alexandrova 57% of points and Laura Siegemund 59% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
  • Most likely score in sets is 0:2 (34%), then 1:2 (28%).
  • About 24.5 games expected; over 21.5 — 63%.
MarkethistoryhistoryModelFair odds
Ekaterina Alexandrova wins33%2/650%5/1038%2.62
Laura Siegemund wins67%4/650%5/1062%1.62
Ekaterina Alexandrova wins 1st set33%2/650%5/1042%2.38
Deciding set17%1/650%5/1049%2.05
Tiebreak in match17%1/630%3/1034%2.98
Score in sets
0:250%3/630%3/1034%2.97
1:217%1/620%2/1028%3.54
2:10%0/630%3/1020%4.89
2:033%2/620%2/1018%5.67

Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (6 and 10) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.

Players' style of play

Ekaterina Alexandrovamatches: 6

Strengths

  • Aces per match 5.3 (avg 3.1)Very strong
  • Points won on 1st serve 66% (avg 63%)Strong

Weaknesses

  • First serve in 55% (avg 66%)Very weak
  • Return points won 38% (avg 42%)Weak
  • Return games won 22% (avg 32%)Weak
  • Comebacks after losing 1st set 0/4Weak
Aces per match
5.3
Double faults per match
3.7
First serve in
55%
Service games held
69%
Return games won
22%

Laura Siegemundmatches: 10

Strengths

  • First serve in 76% (avg 66%)Very strong
  • Double faults per match 2.6 (avg 3.6)Strong
  • Tiebreaks 2/3Strong
  • Comebacks after losing 1st set 2/5Strong

Weaknesses

  • Aces per match 1.4 (avg 3.1)Very weak
  • Points won on 1st serve 59% (avg 63%)Weak
  • Closing out after winning 1st set 3/5Weak
Aces per match
1.4
Double faults per match
2.6
First serve in
76%
Service games held
64%
Return games won
35%

What to expect

  • Ekaterina Alexandrova will hit many aces — 5.3 per match on averageVery likely

Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.

Trends

  • Matches without a deciding set: 5 of 683%
  • Under 21.5 games in 5 of 6 matches83%
  • Over 19.5 games in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 10

Win probability

Points won on serve: 52% Points won on serve: 58%Before the match: 20%

Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.