Alexis Galarneau — Federico Cina 1:2: match report and statistics

• 3 Aces 1
• 4 Double faults 4
• 59% First serve 67%
• 65% (39/60)1st serve points won(48/64) 75%
• 50% (21/42)2nd serve points won(16/31) 52%
• 0% Break points saved 0%
• 187 Средн. скорость 1-й подачи 184
• 144 Средн. скорость 2-й подачи 143
• 25% (16/64)1st serve return points won(21/60) 35%
• 48% (15/31)2nd serve return points won(21/42) 50%
• 0% Break points converted 0%
• 28 Winners 27
• 36 Unforced errors 31
• 69 (18/26)Net points won(20/36) 56
• 59% (60/102)Service points won(64/95) 67%
• 33% (31/95)Return points won(42/102) 41%
• 46% (91/197)Total points won(106/197) 54%
• 1 Посл. 10 мячей 9
• 0 Match Points Saved 0
• 69% (11/16)Service games won(13/16) 81%
• 19% (3/16)Return games won(5/16) 31%
• 44% (14/32)Total games won(18/32) 56%

• Lost serve0 : 1
  15:0 15:15 30:15 30:30 30:40 BP
• 0 : 2
  15:0 15:15 30:15 30:30 30:40 40:40 A:40 BP40:40 40:A
• 1 : 2
  0:15 15:15 15:30 30:30 40:30
• 1 : 3
  0:15 0:30 0:40
• 2 : 3
  15:0 15:15 15:30 30:30 30:40 BP40:40 A:40
• 2 : 4
  0:15 0:30 0:40
• 3 : 4
  0:15 0:30 15:30 30:30 40:30 40:40 A:40
• 4 : 4Lost serve
  0:15 0:30 15:30 30:30 40:30 BP
• 5 : 4
  0:15 0:30 15:30 30:30 40:30
• 5 : 5
  0:15 0:30 0:40
• Lost serve5 : 6
  0:15 0:30 0:40 BP15:40 BP
• 5 : 7
  0:15 0:30 0:40 MP

Tournament

ATP. Roland Garros

Season

2026

Referee

Thea Finke

• On serve the model gives Alexis Galarneau 60% of points and Federico Cina 62% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
• Most likely score in sets is 0:2 (34%), then 1:2 (28%).
• About 24.9 games expected; over 21.5 — 65%.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Alexis Galarneau wins	67%4/6	33%2/6	37%	2.69
Federico Cina wins	33%2/6	67%4/6	63%	1.59
Alexis Galarneau wins 1st set	17%1/6	17%1/6	41%	2.42
Deciding set	67%4/6	33%2/6	49%	2.06
Tiebreak in match	33%2/6	17%1/6	39%	2.55
Score in sets
0:2	17%1/6	50%3/6	34%	2.91
1:2	17%1/6	17%1/6	28%	3.52
2:1	50%3/6	17%1/6	20%	4.98
2:0	17%1/6	17%1/6	17%	5.84

Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (6 and 6) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.

Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.

Both teams Alexis Galarneau Federico Cina

• Over 18.5 games in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Won the 1st set in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

Points won on serve: 60% Points won on serve: 66%Before the match: 22%

Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.