Maria Camila Osorio Serrano — Ekaterina Alexandrova 2:0: match report and statistics

WTA. Roland Garros · 25.05.2026 17:40 · Finished

Compare teams
ClayChase Urban (USA)

Who will win?

Votes: 0
  • Maria Camila Osorio Serrano0%
  • Draw0%
  • Ekaterina Alexandrova0%

Overview

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano vs Ekaterina Alexandrova ended 2:0 on 25.05.2026 17:40 (UTC) in WTA. Roland Garros. The win went to Maria Camila Osorio Serrano.

Form of Maria Camila Osorio Serrano in the last 6 matches: wins 4, defeats 2. Form of Ekaterina Alexandrova in the last 6 matches: wins 1, defeats 5.

Head-to-head meetings: 2. Wins of Maria Camila Osorio Serrano: 2, wins of Ekaterina Alexandrova: 0. The last meeting on 17.10.2022 22:20 ended Ekaterina Alexandrova 0:2 Maria Camila Osorio Serrano.

Related pages: Maria Camila Osorio Serrano, Ekaterina Alexandrova, WTA. Roland Garros table.

Other games: Tennis results and fixtures.

Score by periods

Team12Σ
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
662
Ekaterina Alexandrova
240

Match statistics

  • 3 Aces 1
  • 7 Double faults 6
  • 55% First serve 43%
  • 61% (25/41)1st serve points won(17/26) 65%
  • 48% (16/33)2nd serve points won(11/35) 31%
  • 0% Break points saved 0%
  • 35% (9/26)1st serve return points won(16/41) 39%
  • 69% (24/35)2nd serve return points won(17/33) 52%
  • 0% Break points converted 0%
  • 23 Winners 18
  • 33 Unforced errors 35
  • 0 (0/1)Net points won(5/7) 71
  • 55% (41/74)Service points won(28/61) 46%
  • 54% (33/61)Return points won(33/74) 45%
  • 55% (74/135)Total points won(61/135) 45%
  • 7 Посл. 10 мячей 3
  • 0 Match Points Saved 0
  • 67% (6/9)Service games won(3/9) 33%
  • 67% (6/9)Return games won(3/9) 33%
  • 67% (12/18)Total games won(6/18) 33%

Game by game

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
Ekaterina Alexandrova
2/5Service games won1/54Breaks34/5Break points converted3/10
  • 1 : 0Lost serve
    0:15 0:30 15:30 15:40 30:40 40:40 40:A 40:40 A:40 BP40:40 40:A 40:40 A:40 BP
  • Lost serve1 : 1
    0:15 0:30 0:40 BP15:40 BP30:40 BP40:40 40:A BP40:40 40:A BP
  • 2 : 1Lost serve
    0:15 15:15 15:30 30:30 40:30 BP
  • Lost serve2 : 2
    0:15 15:15 30:15 30:30 30:40 BP40:40 A:40 40:40 40:A BP
  • 3 : 2Lost serve
    15:0 30:0 30:15 30:30 30:40 40:40 A:40 BP
  • Lost serve3 : 3
    15:0 15:15 30:15 30:30 30:40 BP
  • 3 : 4
    0:15 0:30 15:30 15:40
  • 4 : 4
    15:0 15:15 30:15 30:30 30:40 BP40:40 40:A BP40:40 A:40
  • 5 : 4Lost serve
    15:0 15:15 30:15 40:15 BP
  • 6 : 4
    15:0 30:0 30:15 30:30 40:30 MP

Head-to-head

Matches played: 2
draws: 0

2 / 2
Wins
0 / 2
4 / 4
Points
0 / 4
Matches

Previous matches: Maria Camila Osorio Serrano

Previous matches: Ekaterina Alexandrova

Match info

Tournament
Roland Garros
Season
2026
Referee
Chase Urban

WTA. Roland Garros

Match forecast and markets

Quick readMaria Camila Osorio Serrano favourite · 84%Likely score 2:0Expected games 22.5Tiebreak in match 25%
84%Win · Maria Camila Osorio Serrano1.18
16%Win · Ekaterina Alexandrova6.41
22.5Expected games
75%Maria Camila Osorio Serrano wins 1st set1.33
25%Tiebreak in match4.05
37%Deciding set2.67
  • On serve the model gives Maria Camila Osorio Serrano 60% of points and Ekaterina Alexandrova 52% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
  • Most likely score in sets is 2:0 (56%), then 2:1 (28%).
  • About 22.5 games expected; over 21.5 — 48%.
MarkethistoryhistoryModelFair odds
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano wins67%4/683%5/684%1.18
Ekaterina Alexandrova wins33%2/617%1/616%6.41
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano wins 1st set67%4/667%4/675%1.33
Deciding set50%3/650%3/637%2.67
Tiebreak in match17%1/633%2/625%4.05
Score in sets
2:033%2/633%2/656%1.78
2:133%2/650%3/628%3.56
1:217%1/60%0/69%10.69
0:217%1/617%1/66%16.04

Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (6 and 6) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.

Players' style of play

Maria Camila Osorio Serranomatches: 6

Strengths

  • First serve in 70% (avg 62%)Very strong
  • Points won on 2nd serve 48% (avg 44%)Strong
  • Return points won 48% (avg 44%)Strong
  • Return games won 43% (avg 35%)Strong
  • Deciding sets 2/3Strong
  • Closing out after winning 1st set 4/4Strong

Weaknesses

  • Aces per match 2 (avg 3.3)Weak
Aces per match
2
Double faults per match
4.7
First serve in
70%
Service games held
69%
Return games won
43%

Ekaterina Alexandrovamatches: 6

Strengths

  • Aces per match 5 (avg 3.3)Very strong

Weaknesses

  • First serve in 55% (avg 62%)Very weak
  • Deciding sets 0/3Very weak
  • Double faults per match 5.7 (avg 4.1)Weak
  • Service games held 59% (avg 65%)Weak
  • Return points won 39% (avg 44%)Weak
  • Return games won 25% (avg 35%)Weak
  • Comebacks after losing 1st set 0/4Weak
Aces per match
5
Double faults per match
5.7
First serve in
55%
Service games held
59%
Return games won
25%

What to expect

  • Maria Camila Osorio Serrano will break Ekaterina Alexandrova's serveLikely
  • Ekaterina Alexandrova will hit many aces — 5 per match on averageVery likely
  • Ekaterina Alexandrova makes many double faults — 5.7 per matchLikely

Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.

Trends

  • 3 defeats in a row100%
  • Over 19.5 games in 5 of 6 matches83%
  • Losses in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

Win probability

Points won on serve: 58% Points won on serve: 52%Before the match: 77%

Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.