Daniel Michalski — Jelle Sels 1:0: match report and statistics
Challenger. Plovdiv · 24.06.2026 13:05 · Finished
Head-to-head: Daniel Michalski vs Jelle SelsWho will win?
Votes: 0- Daniel Michalski0%
- Draw0%
- Jelle Sels0%
Overview
Daniel Michalski vs Jelle Sels: the match starts on 24.06.2026 13:05 (UTC) in Challenger. Plovdiv.
Form of Daniel Michalski in the last 6 matches: wins 2, defeats 4. Form of Jelle Sels in the last 6 matches: wins 3, defeats 3.
Head-to-head meetings: 1. Wins of Daniel Michalski: 1, wins of Jelle Sels: 0. The last meeting on 08.01.2025 04:25 ended Daniel Michalski 2:1 Jelle Sels.
More on the site: Daniel Michalski results and fixtures, Jelle Sels results and fixtures, Challenger. Plovdiv table.
See also all Tennis matches of the day.
Score by periods
| Team | 1 | 2 | Σ |
|---|---|---|---|
 Daniel Michalski | 6 | 1 | 1 |
 Jelle Sels | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Match statistics
- 1 Aces 0
- 1 Double faults 2
- 35% First serve 38%
- 67% (4/6)1st serve points won(3/9) 33%
- 73% (8/11)2nd serve points won(3/15) 20%
- 0% Break points saved 0%
- 67% (6/9)1st serve return points won(2/6) 33%
- 80% (12/15)2nd serve return points won(3/11) 27%
- 0% Break points converted 0%
- 71% (12/17)Service points won(6/24) 25%
- 75% (18/24)Return points won(5/17) 29%
- 73% (30/41)Total points won(11/41) 27%
- 8 Посл. 10 мячей 2
- 0 Match Points Saved 0
- 100% (3/3)Service games won(0/4) 0%
- 100% (4/4)Return games won(0/3) 0%
- 100% (7/7)Total games won(0/7) 0%
Game by game
- 1 : 0Lost serve15:0 30:0 30:15 40:15 BP
Head-to-head
Daniel MichalskiMatches played: 1
draws: 0
Jelle SelsPrevious matches: Daniel Michalski
Previous matches: Jelle Sels
Match info
- Tournament
- Plovdiv
- Season
- 2026
Upcoming matches: Daniel Michalski
Upcoming matches: Jelle Sels
Challenger. Plovdiv
Match forecast and markets
- On serve the model gives Daniel Michalski 59% of points and Jelle Sels 59% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
- Most likely score in sets is 0:2 (26%), then 1:2 (26%).
- About 24.7 games expected; over 21.5 — 64%.
| Market | history | history | Model | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Michalski wins | 33%2/6 | 50%3/6 | 48% | 2.07 |
| Jelle Sels wins | 67%4/6 | 50%3/6 | 52% | 1.94 |
| Daniel Michalski wins 1st set | 33%2/6 | 33%2/6 | 49% | 2.05 |
| Deciding set | 33%2/6 | 17%1/6 | 50% | 2.00 |
| Tiebreak in match | 17%1/6 | 33%2/6 | 35% | 2.84 |
| Score in sets | ||||
| 0:2 | 50%3/6 | 50%3/6 | 26% | 3.83 |
| 1:2 | 17%1/6 | 0%0/6 | 26% | 3.92 |
| 2:1 | 17%1/6 | 17%1/6 | 24% | 4.09 |
| 2:0 | 17%1/6 | 33%2/6 | 24% | 4.18 |
Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (6 and 6) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.
Players' style of play
Daniel Michalskimatches: 6
Weaknesses
- Return points won 38% (avg 41%)Weak
- Return games won 26% (avg 32%)Weak
- Comebacks after losing 1st set 0/4Weak
- Aces per match
- 2.2
- Double faults per match
- 2.2
- First serve in
- 64%
- Service games held
- 69%
- Return games won
- 26%
Jelle Selsmatches: 6
Strengths
- Double faults per match 1.3 (avg 2.7)Very strong
Weaknesses
- Points won on 1st serve 62% (avg 66%)Weak
- Service games held 62% (avg 68%)Weak
- Aces per match
- 2.3
- Double faults per match
- 1.3
- First serve in
- 62%
- Service games held
- 62%
- Return games won
- 32%
Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.
Trends
- Matches without a deciding set: 5 of 683%
- Under 23.5 games in 5 of 6 matches83%
Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6
Win probability
Points won on serve: 65% Points won on serve: 48%Before the match: 98%Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.