Nicolai Budkov Kjaer — Otto Virtanen 1:3: match report and statistics
Wimbledon. Qualification · 25.06.2026 12:45 · Finished
Compare teamsWho will win?
Votes: 0- Nicolai Budkov Kjaer0%
- Draw0%
- Otto Virtanen0%
Overview
The Wimbledon. Qualification match Nicolai Budkov Kjaer – Otto Virtanen on 25.06.2026 12:45 (UTC) finished 1:3. Otto Virtanen took the victory.
Form of Nicolai Budkov Kjaer in the last 6 matches: wins 2, draws 0, defeats 4. Form of Otto Virtanen in the last 6 matches: wins 5, draws 0, defeats 1.
Head-to-head meetings: 2. Wins of Nicolai Budkov Kjaer: 2, wins of Otto Virtanen: 0, draws: 0. The last meeting on 04.05.2026 12:10 ended Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 2:1 Otto Virtanen.
More on the site: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, Otto Virtanen, Wimbledon. Qualification table.
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Score by periods
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Σ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 6 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
 Otto Virtanen | 4 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 3 |
Match statistics
- 6 Aces 15
- 3 Double faults 7
- 63% First serve 61%
- 67% (56/83)1st serve points won(65/86) 76%
- 55% (27/49)2nd serve points won(22/54) 41%
- 0% Break points saved 0%
- 188 Средн. скорость 1-й подачи 203
- 159 Средн. скорость 2-й подачи 165
- 24% (21/86)1st serve return points won(27/83) 33%
- 59% (32/54)2nd serve return points won(22/49) 45%
- 0% Break points converted 0%
- 43 Winners 59
- 24 Unforced errors 45
- 62 (21/34)Net points won(30/41) 73
- 63% (83/132)Service points won(87/140) 62%
- 38% (53/140)Return points won(49/132) 37%
- 50% (136/272)Total points won(136/272) 50%
- 4 Посл. 10 мячей 6
- 0 Match Points Saved 0
- 76% (16/21)Service games won(18/21) 86%
- 14% (3/21)Return games won(5/21) 24%
- 45% (19/42)Total games won(23/42) 55%
- 2507 Distance (meters) 2374
Game by game
- 1 : 015:0 30:0 40:0
- 2 : 0Lost serve15:0 30:0 40:0 BP
- 3 : 015:0 30:0 40:0
- 3 : 10:15 15:15 15:30 15:40 30:40
- 4 : 10:15 15:15 30:15 40:15 40:30 40:40 A:40 40:40 A:40 40:40 A:40
- 4 : 20:15 0:30 15:30 15:40 30:40
- 5 : 215:0 15:15 30:15 30:30 40:30
- 5 : 30:15 15:15 15:30 30:30 30:40
- Lost serve5 : 40:15 0:30 0:40 BP15:40 BP30:40 BP40:40 40:A BP
- 5 : 50:15 0:30 15:30 15:40 30:40
- Lost serve5 : 60:15 0:30 15:30 30:30 30:40 BP
- 5 : 715:0 15:15 30:15 30:30 30:40 MP
Head-to-head
Nicolai Budkov KjaerMatches played: 2
draws: 0
Otto VirtanenPrevious matches: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Previous matches: Otto Virtanen
Match info
- Tournament
- Wimbledon
- Season
- 2026
Upcoming matches: Otto Virtanen
Wimbledon. Qualification
Match forecast and markets
- On serve the model gives Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 63% of points and Otto Virtanen 69% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
- Most likely score in sets is 0:3 (31%), then 1:3 (30%).
- About 40.7 games expected; over 37.5 — 61%.
| Market | history | history | Model | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer wins | 33%2/6 | 17%1/6 | 19% | 5.15 |
| Otto Virtanen wins | 67%4/6 | 83%5/6 | 81% | 1.24 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer wins 1st set | 50%3/6 | 17%1/6 | 32% | 3.10 |
| Deciding set | 33%2/6 | 33%2/6 | 29% | 3.49 |
| Tiebreak in match | 83%5/6 | 50%3/6 | 66% | 1.51 |
| Score in sets | ||||
| 0:3 | 0%0/6 | 0%0/6 | 31% | 3.22 |
| 1:3 | 0%0/6 | 0%0/6 | 30% | 3.32 |
| 2:3 | 0%0/6 | 0%0/6 | 19% | 5.15 |
| 3:2 | 0%0/6 | 0%0/6 | 9% | 10.83 |
| 3:1 | 0%0/6 | 0%0/6 | 7% | 14.67 |
| 3:0 | 0%0/6 | 0%0/6 | 3% | 29.82 |
Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (6 and 6) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.
Players' style of play
Nicolai Budkov Kjaermatches: 6
Strengths
- Points won on 2nd serve 50% (avg 46%)Strong
Weaknesses
- Double faults per match 3.2 (avg 2.1)Very weak
- Aces per match 5.2 (avg 8.1)Weak
- Service games held 79% (avg 85%)Weak
- Tiebreaks 1/5Weak
- Comebacks after losing 1st set 0/3Weak
- Closing out after winning 1st set 2/3Weak
- Aces per match
- 5.2
- Double faults per match
- 3.2
- First serve in
- 64%
- Service games held
- 79%
- Return games won
- 15%
Otto Virtanenmatches: 6
Strengths
- Aces per match 16 (avg 8.1)Very strong
- Points won on 1st serve 82% (avg 74%)Very strong
- Service games held 94% (avg 85%)Strong
- Closing out after winning 1st set 5/5Strong
Weaknesses
- Points won on 2nd serve 41% (avg 46%)Weak
- Aces per match
- 16
- Double faults per match
- 2
- First serve in
- 65%
- Service games held
- 94%
- Return games won
- 18%
What to expect
- Both hold serve confidently — a tiebreak is possible (66% by the model)Very likely
- Nicolai Budkov Kjaer makes many double faults — 3.2 per matchVery likely
- Otto Virtanen will hit many aces — 16 per match on averageVery likely
Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.
Trends
- Under 37.5 games in 6 of 6 matches100%
- Under 37.5 games in 6 of 6 matches100%
- Tiebreak in 5 of 6 matches83%
- Wins in 5 of 6 matches83%
- Won the 1st set in 5 of 6 matches83%
Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6
Win probability
Points won on serve: 63% Points won on serve: 62%Before the match: 54%Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.