Elena Gabriela Ruse — Karolina Muchova 0:2: match report and statistics
WTA. Bad Homburg · 26.06.2026 13:10 · Finished
Head-to-head: Elena Gabriela Ruse vs Karolina MuchovaWho will win?
Votes: 0- Elena Gabriela Ruse0%
- Draw0%
- Karolina Muchova0%
Overview
Elena Gabriela Ruse vs Karolina Muchova ended 0:2 on 26.06.2026 13:10 (UTC) in WTA. Bad Homburg. The win went to Karolina Muchova.
Form of Elena Gabriela Ruse in the last 6 matches: wins 5, defeats 1. Form of Karolina Muchova in the last 6 matches: wins 4, defeats 2.
Head-to-head meetings: 1. Wins of Elena Gabriela Ruse: 0, wins of Karolina Muchova: 1. The last meeting on 05.01.2023 06:30 ended Karolina Muchova 2:0 Elena Gabriela Ruse.
More on the site: Elena Gabriela Ruse results and fixtures, Karolina Muchova results and fixtures, WTA. Bad Homburg standings and results.
See also Tennis results and fixtures.
Score by periods
| Team | 1 | 2 | Σ |
|---|---|---|---|
 Elena Gabriela Ruse | 4 | 4 | 0 |
 Karolina Muchova | 6 | 6 | 2 |
Match statistics
- 2 Aces 4
- 10 Double faults 2
- 43% First serve 52%
- 68% (19/28)1st serve points won(28/33) 85%
- 51% (19/37)2nd serve points won(15/31) 48%
- 0% Break points saved 0%
- 15% (5/33)1st serve return points won(10/28) 36%
- 52% (16/31)2nd serve return points won(18/37) 49%
- 0% Break points converted 0%
- 57% (37/65)Service points won(43/64) 67%
- 33% (21/64)Return points won(28/65) 43%
- 45% (58/129)Total points won(71/129) 55%
- 4 Посл. 10 мячей 6
- 2 Match Points Saved 0
- 70% (7/10)Service games won(9/10) 90%
- 10% (1/10)Return games won(3/10) 30%
- 40% (8/20)Total games won(12/20) 60%
Game by game
- 0 : 10:15 0:30 0:40
- 1 : 115:0 30:0 30:15 40:15
- 1 : 215:0 15:15 15:30 15:40 30:40
- Lost serve1 : 30:15 0:30 0:40 BP15:40 BP30:40 BP
- 1 : 40:15 0:30 15:30 15:40 30:40
- 2 : 415:0 30:0 30:15 40:15
- 2 : 515:0 15:15 15:30 15:40
- 3 : 515:0 15:15 15:30 15:40 MP30:40 MP40:40 A:40
- 4 : 5Lost serve15:0 30:0 30:15 30:30 40:30 BP
- Lost serve4 : 615:0 30:0 40:0 40:15 40:30 40:40 A:40 40:40 40:A MP
Head-to-head
Elena Gabriela RuseMatches played: 1
draws: 0
Karolina MuchovaPrevious matches: Elena Gabriela Ruse
Previous matches: Karolina Muchova
Match info
- Tournament
- Bad Homburg
- Season
- 2026
WTA. Bad Homburg
Iga Swiatek
Karolina Muchova
Elina Svitolina
Mirra AndreevaMatch forecast and markets
- On serve the model gives Elena Gabriela Ruse 59% of points and Karolina Muchova 59% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
- Most likely score in sets is 0:2 (25%), then 1:2 (25%).
- About 24.8 games expected; over 21.5 — 65%.
| Market | history | history | Model | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elena Gabriela Ruse wins | 83%5/6 | 33%2/6 | 50% | 2.01 |
| Karolina Muchova wins | 17%1/6 | 67%4/6 | 50% | 1.99 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse wins 1st set | 67%4/6 | 50%3/6 | 50% | 2.00 |
| Deciding set | 17%1/6 | 17%1/6 | 50% | 2.00 |
| Tiebreak in match | 0%0/6 | 0%0/6 | 36% | 2.79 |
| Score in sets | ||||
| 0:2 | 17%1/6 | 50%3/6 | 25% | 3.98 |
| 1:2 | 0%0/6 | 17%1/6 | 25% | 3.99 |
| 2:1 | 17%1/6 | 0%0/6 | 25% | 4.01 |
| 2:0 | 67%4/6 | 33%2/6 | 25% | 4.02 |
Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (6 and 6) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.
Players' style of play
Elena Gabriela Rusematches: 6
Strengths
- Aces per match 7.2 (avg 4.5)Very strong
- Points won on 2nd serve 52% (avg 45%)Very strong
- Service games held 81% (avg 69%)Very strong
- Points won on 1st serve 73% (avg 68%)Strong
- Closing out after winning 1st set 4/4Strong
Weaknesses
- Double faults per match 4.5 (avg 3.1)Weak
- First serve in 57% (avg 63%)Weak
- Aces per match
- 7.2
- Double faults per match
- 4.5
- First serve in
- 57%
- Service games held
- 81%
- Return games won
- 36%
Karolina Muchovamatches: 6
Strengths
- Return games won 43% (avg 31%)Very strong
- Double faults per match 2 (avg 3.1)Strong
- Return points won 46% (avg 41%)Strong
- Closing out after winning 1st set 3/3Strong
- Aces per match
- 3.8
- Double faults per match
- 2
- First serve in
- 64%
- Service games held
- 71%
- Return games won
- 43%
What to expect
- Elena Gabriela Ruse will hit many aces — 7.2 per match on averageVery likely
- Elena Gabriela Ruse makes many double faults — 4.5 per matchLikely
- Karolina Muchova will break Elena Gabriela Ruse's serveLikely
Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.
Trends
- 5 wins in a row100%
- Wins in 5 of 6 matches83%
- Matches without a deciding set: 5 of 683%
- Under 22.5 games in 5 of 6 matches83%
- Matches without a deciding set: 5 of 683%
- Under 22.5 games in 5 of 6 matches83%
Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6
Win probability
Points won on serve: 59% Points won on serve: 65%Before the match: 21%Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.