Daniele Rapagnetta — Lorenzo Rottoli 2:0: match report and statistics

• 3 Посл. 10 мячей 3

Tournament

Gubbio

Season

2026

• On serve the model gives Daniele Rapagnetta 62% of points and Lorenzo Rottoli 57% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
• Most likely score in sets is 2:0 (44%), then 2:1 (30%).
• About 24 games expected; over 21.5 — 58%.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Daniele Rapagnetta wins	50%3/6	50%3/6	74%	1.35
Lorenzo Rottoli wins	50%3/6	50%3/6	26%	3.86
Daniele Rapagnetta wins 1st set	67%4/6	50%3/6	67%	1.50
Deciding set	33%2/6	50%3/6	44%	2.25
Tiebreak in match	17%1/6	50%3/6	33%	3.03
Score in sets
2:0	50%3/6	17%1/6	44%	2.25
2:1	0%0/6	33%2/6	30%	3.38
1:2	33%2/6	17%1/6	15%	6.76
0:2	17%1/6	33%2/6	11%	9.01

Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (6 and 6) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.

Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.

Both teams Daniele Rapagnetta Lorenzo Rottoli

• 3 defeats in a row100%
• Under 23.5 games in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6