Tiago Pereira — Alejo Sanchez Quilez 2:0: match report and statistics

• 1 Aces 3
• 1 Double faults 1
• 65% First serve 62%
• 70% (31/44)1st serve points won(26/40) 65%
• 54% (13/24)2nd serve points won(14/25) 56%
• 0% Break points saved 0%
• 35% (14/40)1st serve return points won(13/44) 30%
• 44% (11/25)2nd serve return points won(11/24) 46%
• 0% Break points converted 0%
• 65% (44/68)Service points won(40/65) 62%
• 38% (25/65)Return points won(24/68) 35%
• 52% (69/133)Total points won(64/133) 48%
• 7 Посл. 10 мячей 3
• 0 Match Points Saved 0
• 82% (9/11)Service games won(8/11) 73%
• 27% (3/11)Return games won(2/11) 18%
• 55% (12/22)Total games won(10/22) 45%

• 0 : 1
  0:15 0:30 0:40 15:40 30:40
• 1 : 1
  15:0 15:15 15:30 30:30 40:30
• 1 : 2
  15:0 30:0 30:15 30:30 30:40
• 2 : 2
  0:15 15:15 30:15 40:15
• 2 : 3
  0:15 0:30 15:30 30:30 30:40
• Lost serve2 : 4
  0:15 0:30 0:40 BP
• 3 : 4Lost serve
  15:0 15:15 30:15 40:15 BP40:30 BP
• 4 : 4
  15:0 30:0 40:0
• 5 : 4Lost serve
  15:0 30:0 30:15 40:15 BP
• Lost serve5 : 5
  0:15 15:15 15:30 15:40 BP
• 5 : 6
  0:15 0:30 0:40
• 6 : 6
  15:0 30:0 30:15 40:15 40:30 40:40 A:40 40:40 A:40 40:40 A:40
• Tie-break7 : 4
  0:10:21:22:23:23:34:34:45:46:47:4

Tournament

Pozoblanco

Season

2026

• On serve the model gives Tiago Pereira 63% of points and Alejo Sanchez Quilez 64% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
• Most likely score in sets is 0:2 (29%), then 1:2 (27%).
• About 25.5 games expected; over 21.5 — 68%.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Tiago Pereira wins	60%3/5	50%3/6	44%	2.25
Alejo Sanchez Quilez wins	40%2/5	50%3/6	56%	1.80
Tiago Pereira wins 1st set	60%3/5	67%4/6	46%	2.16
Deciding set	80%4/5	17%1/6	50%	2.01
Tiebreak in match	60%3/5	33%2/6	45%	2.23
Score in sets
0:2	20%1/5	33%2/6	29%	3.46
1:2	20%1/5	17%1/6	27%	3.74
2:1	60%3/5	0%0/6	23%	4.35
2:0	0%0/5	50%3/6	21%	4.67

Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (5 and 6) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.

Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.

Both teams Tiago Pereira Alejo Sanchez Quilez

• Matches without a deciding set: 5 of 683%
• Under 22.5 games in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Deciding set in 4 of 5 matches80%
• Over 21.5 games in 4 of 5 matches80%

Based on recent matches: home team — 5, away team — 6

Points won on serve: 64% Points won on serve: 63%Before the match: 54%

Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.