Varvara Lepchenko — Elina Avanesyan 1:2: match report and statistics

WTA. Hamburg. Qualification · 20.07.2026 08:10 · Finished

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Who will win?

Votes: 0
  • Varvara Lepchenko0%
  • Draw0%
  • Elina Avanesyan0%

Overview

The WTA. Hamburg. Qualification match Varvara Lepchenko – Elina Avanesyan on 20.07.2026 08:10 (UTC) finished 1:2. Elina Avanesyan took the victory.

Form of Varvara Lepchenko in the last 6 matches: wins 3, draws 0, defeats 3. Form of Elina Avanesyan in the last 5 matches: wins 3, draws 0, defeats 2.

Head-to-head meetings: 2. Wins of Varvara Lepchenko: 2, wins of Elina Avanesyan: 0, draws: 0. The last meeting on 22.02.2026 19:35 ended Varvara Lepchenko 2:1 Elina Avanesyan.

Statistics and results: Varvara Lepchenko, Elina Avanesyan, WTA. Hamburg. Qualification.

See also Tennis matches today. Data on this page is provided by Tennis API by SportAPI.

Score by periods

Team123Σ
Varvara Lepchenko
6631
Elina Avanesyan
4762

Match statistics

  • 4 Aces 0
  • 2 Double faults 3
  • 72% First serve 70%
  • 58% (46/79)1st serve points won(43/64) 67%
  • 52% (16/31)2nd serve points won(10/28) 36%
  • 0% Break points saved 0%
  • 33% (21/64)1st serve return points won(33/79) 42%
  • 64% (18/28)2nd serve return points won(15/31) 48%
  • 0% Break points converted 0%
  • 56% (62/110)Service points won(53/92) 58%
  • 42% (39/92)Return points won(48/110) 44%
  • 50% (101/202)Total points won(101/202) 50%
  • 4 Посл. 10 мячей 6
  • 0 Match Points Saved 0
  • 63% (10/16)Service games won(10/15) 67%
  • 33% (5/15)Return games won(6/16) 38%
  • 48% (15/31)Total games won(16/31) 52%

Game by game

Varvara Lepchenko
Elina Avanesyan
2/5Service games won3/41Breaks31/1Break points converted3/7
  • 1 : 0
    15:0 30:0 40:0
  • 1 : 1
    0:15 15:15 15:30 15:40
  • 2 : 1
    15:0 15:15 30:15 30:30 40:30
  • 2 : 2
    0:15 0:30 0:40 15:40
  • Lost serve2 : 3
    0:15 15:15 15:30 15:40 BP30:40 BP
  • 2 : 4
    0:15 15:15 15:30 15:40
  • Lost serve2 : 5
    0:15 0:30 0:40 BP15:40 BP30:40 BP40:40 A:40 40:40 A:40 40:40 A:40 40:40 40:A BP
  • 3 : 5Lost serve
    15:0 30:0 40:0 BP
  • Lost serve3 : 6
    0:15 0:30 0:40 MP

Head-to-head

Matches played: 2
draws: 0

2 / 2
Wins
0 / 2
4 / 5
Points
1 / 5
Matches

Previous matches: Varvara Lepchenko

Previous matches: Elina Avanesyan

Match info

Tournament
Hamburg
Season
2026

WTA. Hamburg. Qualification

Match forecast and markets

Quick readElina Avanesyan favourite · 65%Likely score 0:2Expected games 23.9Tiebreak in match 27%
35%Win · Varvara Lepchenko2.84
65%Win · Elina Avanesyan1.54
23.9Expected games
40%Varvara Lepchenko wins 1st set2.50
27%Tiebreak in match3.70
48%Deciding set2.08
  • On serve the model gives Varvara Lepchenko 50% of points and Elina Avanesyan 53% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
  • Most likely score in sets is 0:2 (36%), then 1:2 (29%).
  • About 23.9 games expected; over 21.5 — 59%.
MarkethistoryhistoryModelFair odds
Varvara Lepchenko wins50%3/620%2/1035%2.84
Elina Avanesyan wins50%3/680%8/1065%1.54
Varvara Lepchenko wins 1st set50%3/630%3/1040%2.50
Deciding set33%2/620%2/1048%2.08
Tiebreak in match17%1/620%2/1027%3.70
Score in sets
0:233%2/660%6/1036%2.78
1:217%1/620%2/1029%3.47
2:117%1/60%0/1019%5.20
2:033%2/620%2/1016%6.24

Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (6 and 10) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.

Players' style of play

Varvara Lepchenkomatches: 6

Strengths

  • Aces per match 2.3 (avg 1.1)Very strong
  • Points won on 2nd serve 49% (avg 41%)Very strong
  • Service games held 69% (avg 56%)Very strong
  • Double faults per match 2 (avg 3.8)Strong

Weaknesses

  • Closing out after winning 1st set 2/3Weak
Aces per match
2.3
Double faults per match
2
First serve in
67%
Service games held
69%
Return games won
42%

Elina Avanesyanmatches: 10

Strengths

  • Return points won 56% (avg 48%)Very strong
  • Return games won 66% (avg 44%)Very strong
  • Closing out after winning 1st set 7/7Strong

Weaknesses

  • Aces per match 0.2 (avg 1.1)Very weak
  • Tiebreaks 1/3Weak
Aces per match
0.2
Double faults per match
4.4
First serve in
68%
Service games held
54%
Return games won
66%

What to expect

  • Varvara Lepchenko will hit many aces — 2.3 per match on averageVery likely
  • Elina Avanesyan will break Varvara Lepchenko's serveLikely

Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.

Trends

  • Wins in 8 of 10 matches80%
  • Matches without a deciding set: 8 of 1080%
  • Won the 1st set in 7 of 10 matches70%
  • Under 21.5 games in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 10

Win probability

Points won on serve: 57% Points won on serve: 58%Before the match: 49%

Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.