Polina Kudermetova — Varvara Lepchenko 2:1: match report and statistics

WTA. Washington. Qualification · 26.07.2026 14:05 · Finished

Head-to-head: Polina Kudermetova vs Varvara Lepchenko
HardJuan Zhang (China)

Who will win?

Votes: 0
  • Polina Kudermetova0%
  • Draw0%
  • Varvara Lepchenko0%

Overview

Final score Polina Kudermetova 2:1 Varvara Lepchenko, WTA. Washington. Qualification, 26.07.2026 14:05 (UTC). Polina Kudermetova took the victory.

Polina Kudermetova, last 6 games: won 3, lost 3. Varvara Lepchenko, last 6 games: won 3, lost 3.

All meetings of Polina Kudermetova and Varvara Lepchenko: 2 (wins of Polina Kudermetova: 1, wins of Varvara Lepchenko: 1). The last meeting on 31.10.2024 20:10 ended Varvara Lepchenko 0:2 Polina Kudermetova.

Related pages: Polina Kudermetova, Varvara Lepchenko, WTA. Washington. Qualification.

More matches: all Tennis matches of the day.

Score by periods

Team123Σ
Polina Kudermetova
4762
Varvara Lepchenko
6641

Match statistics

  • 4 Aces 5
  • 7 Double faults 6
  • 58% First serve 64%
  • 78% (42/54)1st serve points won(45/71) 63%
  • 54% (21/39)2nd serve points won(22/40) 55%
  • 0% Break points saved 0%
  • 37% (26/71)1st serve return points won(12/54) 22%
  • 45% (18/40)2nd serve return points won(18/39) 46%
  • 0% Break points converted 0%
  • 68% (63/93)Service points won(67/111) 60%
  • 40% (44/111)Return points won(30/93) 32%
  • 52% (107/204)Total points won(97/204) 48%
  • 5 Посл. 10 мячей 5
  • 1 Match Points Saved 0
  • 75% (12/16)Service games won(12/16) 75%
  • 25% (4/16)Return games won(4/16) 25%
  • 50% (16/32)Total games won(16/32) 50%

Game by game

Polina Kudermetova
Varvara Lepchenko
4/5Service games won3/52Breaks12/3Break points converted1/2
  • 0 : 1
    15:0 15:15 15:30 30:30 30:40
  • 1 : 1
    15:0 30:0 30:15 30:30 30:40 BP40:40 A:40
  • 1 : 2
    0:15 0:30 0:40 15:40 30:40
  • 2 : 2
    15:0 30:0 40:0
  • 3 : 2Lost serve
    15:0 30:0 40:0 BP40:15 BP
  • Lost serve3 : 3
    0:15 15:15 30:15 30:30 30:40 BP
  • 4 : 3Lost serve
    15:0 30:0 40:0 BP
  • 5 : 3
    0:15 15:15 30:15 40:15
  • 5 : 4
    0:15 0:30 15:30 15:40
  • 6 : 4
    0:15 15:15 30:15 40:15 MP

Head-to-head

Matches played: 2
draws: 0

1 / 2
Wins
1 / 2
2 / 4
Points
2 / 4
Matches

Previous matches: Polina Kudermetova

Previous matches: Varvara Lepchenko

Match info

Tournament
Washington
Season
2026
Referee
Juan Zhang

WTA. Washington. Qualification

Match forecast and markets

Quick readVarvara Lepchenko favourite · 57%Likely score 0:2Expected games 24.4Tiebreak in match 32%
43%Win · Polina Kudermetova2.30
57%Win · Varvara Lepchenko1.77
24.4Expected games
46%Polina Kudermetova wins 1st set2.19
32%Tiebreak in match3.17
50%Deciding set2.02
  • On serve the model gives Polina Kudermetova 56% of points and Varvara Lepchenko 57% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
  • Most likely score in sets is 0:2 (30%), then 1:2 (27%).
  • About 24.4 games expected; over 21.5 — 63%.
MarkethistoryhistoryModelFair odds
Polina Kudermetova wins50%3/650%3/643%2.30
Varvara Lepchenko wins50%3/650%3/657%1.77
Polina Kudermetova wins 1st set33%2/633%2/646%2.19
Deciding set17%1/667%4/650%2.02
Tiebreak in match50%3/617%1/632%3.17
Score in sets
0:250%3/617%1/630%3.38
1:20%0/633%2/627%3.70
2:117%1/633%2/623%4.42
2:033%2/617%1/621%4.81

Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (6 and 6) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.

Players' style of play

Polina Kudermetovamatches: 6

Strengths

  • Aces per match 4 (avg 2.8)Strong
  • Points won on 1st serve 67% (avg 64%)Strong

Weaknesses

  • Double faults per match 5.2 (avg 3.8)Weak
  • First serve in 58% (avg 62%)Weak
  • Tiebreaks 1/3Weak
Aces per match
4
Double faults per match
5.2
First serve in
58%
Service games held
68%
Return games won
33%

Varvara Lepchenkomatches: 6

Strengths

  • Double faults per match 2 (avg 3.8)Strong
  • First serve in 68% (avg 62%)Strong
  • Return games won 41% (avg 35%)Strong

Weaknesses

  • Closing out after winning 1st set 2/4Very weak
Aces per match
2.5
Double faults per match
2
First serve in
68%
Service games held
66%
Return games won
41%

What to expect

  • Polina Kudermetova will hit many aces — 4 per match on averageLikely
  • Polina Kudermetova makes many double faults — 5.2 per matchLikely

Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.

Trends

  • Matches without a deciding set: 5 of 683%
  • Under 23.5 games in 5 of 6 matches83%
  • Over 18.5 games in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

Win probability

Points won on serve: 65% Points won on serve: 60%Before the match: 74%

Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.