Emiliana Arango — Aliaksandra Sasnovich 2:1: match report and statistics
WTA. Cincinnati. Qualification · 12.08.2026 22:30 · Finished
Compare teamsWho will win?
Votes: 0- Emiliana Arango0%
- Draw0%
- Aliaksandra Sasnovich0%
Overview
Emiliana Arango vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich ended 2:1 on 12.08.2026 22:30 (UTC) in WTA. Cincinnati. Qualification. The win went to Emiliana Arango.
Emiliana Arango, last 6 games: won 1, drawn 0, lost 5. Aliaksandra Sasnovich, last 6 games: won 3, drawn 0, lost 3.
All meetings of Emiliana Arango and Aliaksandra Sasnovich: 1 (wins of Emiliana Arango: 0, wins of Aliaksandra Sasnovich: 1, draws: 0). The last meeting on 28.04.2025 09:45 ended Aliaksandra Sasnovich 2:1 Emiliana Arango.
Statistics and results: Emiliana Arango results and fixtures, Aliaksandra Sasnovich results and fixtures, WTA. Cincinnati. Qualification.
More matches: all Tennis matches of the day. The statistics are powered by SportAPI.
Score by periods
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | Σ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Emiliana Arango | 3 | 6 | 6 | 2 |
 Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 6 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
Match statistics
- 3 Aces 1
- 6 Double faults 7
- 43% First serve 63%
- 65% (26/40)1st serve points won(40/60) 67%
- 58% (30/52)2nd serve points won(19/35) 54%
- 0% Break points saved 0%
- 33% (20/60)1st serve return points won(14/40) 35%
- 46% (16/35)2nd serve return points won(22/52) 42%
- 0% Break points converted 0%
- 61% (56/92)Service points won(59/115) 51%
- 49% (56/115)Return points won(36/92) 39%
- 44% (92/207)Total points won(95/207) 46%
- 8 Посл. 10 мячей 2
- 0 Match Points Saved 0
- 73% (11/15)Service games won(12/15) 80%
- 20% (3/15)Return games won(4/15) 27%
- 47% (14/30)Total games won(16/30) 53%
Game by game
- 1 : 00:15 15:15 30:15 30:30 30:40 BP40:40 40:A BP40:40 A:40
- 1 : 10:15 0:30 0:40
- Lost serve1 : 20:15 0:30 0:40 BP
- 1 : 30:15 0:30 0:40
- 2 : 315:0 30:0 40:0
- 3 : 3Lost serve15:0 15:15 15:30 15:40 30:40 40:40 A:40 BP40:40 A:40 BP
- 4 : 315:0 30:0 30:15 40:15 40:30
- 4 : 40:15 0:30 15:30 15:40
- 5 : 415:0 30:0 40:0 40:15
- 6 : 4Lost serve15:0 30:0 30:15 40:15 MP
Head-to-head
Emiliana ArangoMatches played: 1
draws: 0
Aliaksandra SasnovichPrevious matches: Emiliana Arango
Previous matches: Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Match info
- Tournament
- Cincinnati
- Season
- 2026
- Referee
- Jorge Ducci
WTA. Cincinnati. Qualification
Match forecast and markets
- On serve the model gives Emiliana Arango 54% of points and Aliaksandra Sasnovich 57% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
- Most likely score in sets is 0:2 (37%), then 1:2 (29%).
- About 24 games expected; over 21.5 — 60%.
| Market | history | history | Model | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emiliana Arango wins | 29%2/7 | 50%3/6 | 33% | 2.99 |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich wins | 71%5/7 | 50%3/6 | 67% | 1.50 |
| Emiliana Arango wins 1st set | 43%3/7 | 100%6/6 | 39% | 2.58 |
| Deciding set | 14%1/7 | 50%3/6 | 47% | 2.11 |
| Tiebreak in match | 29%2/7 | 17%1/6 | 29% | 3.39 |
| Score in sets | ||||
| 0:2 | 57%4/7 | 0%0/6 | 37% | 2.67 |
| 1:2 | 14%1/7 | 50%3/6 | 29% | 3.44 |
| 2:1 | 0%0/7 | 0%0/6 | 18% | 5.43 |
| 2:0 | 29%2/7 | 50%3/6 | 15% | 6.64 |
Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (7 and 6) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.
Players' style of play
Emiliana Arangomatches: 7
Strengths
- Double faults per match 2.9 (avg 4)Strong
Weaknesses
- Aces per match 1.4 (avg 2.2)Weak
- Service games held 54% (avg 62%)Weak
- Return games won 29% (avg 38%)Weak
- Comebacks after losing 1st set 0/4Weak
- Closing out after winning 1st set 2/3Weak
- Aces per match
- 1.4
- Double faults per match
- 2.9
- First serve in
- 67%
- Service games held
- 54%
- Return games won
- 29%
Aliaksandra Sasnovichmatches: 6
Strengths
- Aces per match 3.7 (avg 2.2)Very strong
- Deciding sets 3/3Very strong
- Comebacks after losing 1st set 3/6Strong
Weaknesses
- Points won on 2nd serve 42% (avg 45%)Weak
- Aces per match
- 3.7
- Double faults per match
- 3.8
- First serve in
- 64%
- Service games held
- 60%
- Return games won
- 38%
What to expect
- Aliaksandra Sasnovich will hit many aces — 3.7 per match on averageVery likely
Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.
Trends
- 3 defeats in a row100%
- Matches without a deciding set: 6 of 786%
- Over 18.5 games in 5 of 6 matches83%
- Losses in 5 of 7 matches71%
- Under 21.5 games in 5 of 7 matches71%
Based on recent matches: home team — 7, away team — 6
Win probability
Points won on serve: 61% Points won on serve: 62%Before the match: 46%Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.