Alexander Zverev — Cameron Norrie 2:1: match report and statistics

ATP. Cincinnati · 16.08.2026 03:40 · Finished

Compare teams
HardMohamed Lahyani (Sweden)

Who will win?

Votes: 0
  • Alexander Zverev0%
  • Draw0%
  • Cameron Norrie0%

Overview

The ATP. Cincinnati match Alexander Zverev – Cameron Norrie on 16.08.2026 03:40 (UTC) finished 2:1. Alexander Zverev took the victory.

Form of Alexander Zverev in the last 6 matches: wins 4, draws 0, defeats 2. Form of Cameron Norrie in the last 6 matches: wins 4, draws 0, defeats 2.

Head-to-head meetings: 7. Wins of Alexander Zverev: 7, wins of Cameron Norrie: 0, draws: 0. The last meeting on 23.01.2026 08:25 ended Alexander Zverev 3:1 Cameron Norrie.

Statistics and results: Alexander Zverev results and fixtures, Cameron Norrie results and fixtures, ATP. Cincinnati.

See also all Tennis matches of the day. Want the same statistics on your site? Try SportAPI Match Centre widget.

Score by periods

Team123Σ
Alexander Zverev
3662
Cameron Norrie
6331

Match statistics

  • 16 Aces 3
  • 5 Double faults 6
  • 53% First serve 58%
  • 85% (33/39)1st serve points won(42/64) 66%
  • 57% (20/35)2nd serve points won(23/47) 49%
  • 0% Break points saved 0%
  • 34% (22/64)1st serve return points won(6/39) 15%
  • 51% (24/47)2nd serve return points won(15/35) 43%
  • 0% Break points converted 0%
  • 72% (53/74)Service points won(66/113) 58%
  • 42% (47/113)Return points won(21/74) 28%
  • 53% (100/187)Total points won(87/187) 47%
  • 7 Посл. 10 мячей 3
  • 0 Match Points Saved 0
  • 92% (12/13)Service games won(11/14) 79%
  • 21% (3/14)Return games won(1/13) 8%
  • 56% (15/27)Total games won(12/27) 44%

Game by game

Alexander Zverev
Cameron Norrie
4/4Service games won3/52Breaks02/9Break points converted0/1
  • 0 : 1
    15:0 30:0 30:15 30:30 40:30 BP40:40 A:40 BP40:40 A:40 BP40:40 A:40 BP40:40 40:A 40:40 40:A 40:40 A:40 BP40:40 A:40 BP40:40 40:A
  • 1 : 1
    0:15 15:15 30:15 30:30 40:30
  • 1 : 2
    15:0 15:15 30:15 30:30 40:30 BP40:40 40:A 40:40 40:A
  • 2 : 2
    0:15 15:15 15:30 30:30 40:30 40:40 A:40
  • 2 : 3
    0:15 0:30 0:40 15:40
  • 3 : 3
    15:0 15:15 15:30 30:30 40:30
  • 4 : 3Lost serve
    15:0 15:15 30:15 40:15 BP
  • 5 : 3
    0:15 15:15 30:15 30:30 30:40 BP40:40 A:40 40:40 A:40
  • 6 : 3Lost serve
    15:0 15:15 30:15 30:30 40:30 MP

Head-to-head

Matches played: 7
draws: 0

7 / 7
Wins
0 / 7
17 / 20
Points
3 / 20
Matches

Previous matches: Alexander Zverev

Previous matches: Cameron Norrie

Match info

Tournament
Cincinnati
Season
2026
Referee
Mohamed Lahyani

Upcoming matches: Alexander Zverev

Upcoming matches: Cameron Norrie

ATP. Cincinnati

Match forecast and markets

Quick readCameron Norrie favourite · 61%Likely score 0:2Expected games 25.6Tiebreak in match 48%
39%Win · Alexander Zverev2.59
61%Win · Cameron Norrie1.63
25.6Expected games
42%Alexander Zverev wins 1st set2.36
48%Tiebreak in match2.07
49%Deciding set2.05
  • On serve the model gives Alexander Zverev 63% of points and Cameron Norrie 66% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
  • Most likely score in sets is 0:2 (33%), then 1:2 (28%).
  • About 25.6 games expected; over 21.5 — 69%.
MarkethistoryhistoryModelFair odds
Alexander Zverev wins67%4/622%2/939%2.59
Cameron Norrie wins33%2/678%7/961%1.63
Alexander Zverev wins 1st set100%6/644%4/942%2.36
Deciding set17%1/633%3/949%2.05
Tiebreak in match83%5/633%3/948%2.07
Score in sets
0:20%0/656%5/933%3.01
1:217%1/622%2/928%3.55
2:10%0/611%1/921%4.84
2:00%0/611%1/918%5.59

Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (6 and 9) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.

Players' style of play

Alexander Zverevmatches: 6

Strengths

  • Aces per match 13.2 (avg 7.5)Very strong
  • First serve in 73% (avg 61%)Very strong
  • Points won on 2nd serve 59% (avg 51%)Very strong
  • Tiebreaks 5/6Very strong
  • Service games held 91% (avg 81%)Strong

Weaknesses

  • Closing out after winning 1st set 4/6Weak
Aces per match
13.2
Double faults per match
2.8
First serve in
73%
Service games held
91%
Return games won
15%

Cameron Norriematches: 9

Strengths

  • Return points won 43% (avg 35%)Very strong
  • Return games won 34% (avg 19%)Very strong
  • Tiebreaks 2/3Strong
  • Deciding sets 2/3Strong
  • Comebacks after losing 1st set 2/4Strong
  • Closing out after winning 1st set 5/5Strong

Weaknesses

  • Aces per match 3.6 (avg 7.5)Very weak
  • First serve in 57% (avg 61%)Weak
Aces per match
3.6
Double faults per match
3.4
First serve in
57%
Service games held
82%
Return games won
34%

What to expect

  • Alexander Zverev will hit many aces — 13.2 per match on averageVery likely
  • Cameron Norrie will break Alexander Zverev's serveLikely

Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.

Trends

  • Won the 1st set in 6 of 6 matches100%
  • Over 21.5 games in 6 of 6 matches100%
  • Matches without a deciding set: 5 of 683%
  • Tiebreak in 5 of 6 matches83%
  • Wins in 7 of 9 matches78%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 9

Win probability

Points won on serve: 68% Points won on serve: 59%Before the match: 87%

Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.