Elise Mertens — Diane Parry 1:2: match report and statistics

WTA. Cincinnati · 15.08.2026 23:00 · Finished

Head-to-head: Elise Mertens vs Diane Parry
HardJoshua Brace (Great Britain)

Who will win?

Votes: 0
  • Elise Mertens0%
  • Draw0%
  • Diane Parry0%

Overview

Elise Mertens vs Diane Parry ended 1:2 on 15.08.2026 23:00 (UTC) in WTA. Cincinnati. The win went to Diane Parry.

Form of Elise Mertens in the last 6 matches: wins 4, defeats 2. Form of Diane Parry in the last 6 matches: wins 2, defeats 4.

Head-to-head meetings: 1. Wins of Elise Mertens: 1, wins of Diane Parry: 0. The last meeting on 29.05.2019 09:05 ended Elise Mertens 2:0 Diane Parry.

More on the site: Elise Mertens results and fixtures, Diane Parry results and fixtures, WTA. Cincinnati.

Other games: Tennis results and fixtures.

Score by periods

Team123Σ
Elise Mertens
6221
Diane Parry
2662

Match statistics

  • 1 Aces 1
  • 5 Double faults 4
  • 54% First serve 58%
  • 54% (25/46)1st serve points won(33/44) 75%
  • 46% (18/39)2nd serve points won(13/32) 41%
  • 0% Break points saved 0%
  • 25% (11/44)1st serve return points won(21/46) 46%
  • 59% (19/32)2nd serve return points won(21/39) 54%
  • 0% Break points converted 0%
  • 51% (43/85)Service points won(46/76) 61%
  • 39% (30/76)Return points won(42/85) 49%
  • 45% (73/161)Total points won(88/161) 55%
  • 3 Посл. 10 мячей 7
  • 2 Match Points Saved 0
  • 58% (7/12)Service games won(9/12) 75%
  • 25% (3/12)Return games won(5/12) 42%
  • 42% (10/24)Total games won(14/24) 58%

Game by game

Elise Mertens
Diane Parry
1/4Service games won3/41Breaks31/1Break points converted3/7
  • 1 : 0Lost serve
    15:0 15:15 30:15 30:30 40:30 BP
  • Lost serve1 : 1
    0:15 15:15 15:30 15:40 BP
  • 1 : 2
    0:15 0:30 0:40
  • 2 : 2
    0:15 15:15 30:15 30:30 30:40 BP40:40 A:40 40:40 40:A BP40:40 A:40 40:40 A:40
  • 2 : 3
    0:15 15:15 15:30 15:40
  • Lost serve2 : 4
    0:15 15:15 15:30 15:40 BP
  • 2 : 5
    0:15 0:30 0:40 15:40 30:40 40:40 40:A 40:40 40:A
  • Lost serve2 : 6
    0:15 0:30 0:40 MP15:40 MP30:40 MP

Head-to-head

Matches played: 1
draws: 0

1 / 1
Wins
0 / 1
2 / 2
Points
0 / 2
Matches

Previous matches: Elise Mertens

Previous matches: Diane Parry

Match info

Tournament
Cincinnati
Season
2026
Referee
Joshua Brace

WTA. Cincinnati

Match forecast and markets

Quick readElise Mertens favourite · 55%Likely score 2:0Expected games 24.8Tiebreak in match 36%
55%Win · Elise Mertens1.82
45%Win · Diane Parry2.22
24.8Expected games
53%Elise Mertens wins 1st set1.87
36%Tiebreak in match2.80
50%Deciding set2.01
  • On serve the model gives Elise Mertens 60% of points and Diane Parry 59% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
  • Most likely score in sets is 2:0 (28%), then 2:1 (27%).
  • About 24.8 games expected; over 21.5 — 64%.
MarkethistoryhistoryModelFair odds
Elise Mertens wins67%4/667%4/655%1.82
Diane Parry wins33%2/633%2/645%2.22
Elise Mertens wins 1st set33%2/650%3/653%1.87
Deciding set33%2/633%2/650%2.01
Tiebreak in match17%1/650%3/636%2.80
Score in sets
2:033%2/633%2/628%3.51
2:133%2/633%2/627%3.77
1:20%0/60%0/623%4.31
0:233%2/633%2/622%4.60

Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (6 and 6) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.

Players' style of play

Elise Mertensmatches: 6

Strengths

  • Comebacks after losing 1st set 2/4Strong

Weaknesses

  • Double faults per match 6.5 (avg 4.7)Weak
  • First serve in 54% (avg 60%)Weak
  • Points won on 2nd serve 39% (avg 45%)Weak
Aces per match
4.2
Double faults per match
6.5
First serve in
54%
Service games held
68%
Return games won
33%

Diane Parrymatches: 6

Strengths

  • Aces per match 5.8 (avg 4.3)Strong

Weaknesses

  • Return points won 37% (avg 41%)Weak
  • Return games won 23% (avg 28%)Weak
  • Tiebreaks 1/3Weak
  • Comebacks after losing 1st set 0/3Weak
  • Closing out after winning 1st set 2/3Weak
Aces per match
5.8
Double faults per match
4
First serve in
59%
Service games held
73%
Return games won
23%

What to expect

  • Elise Mertens makes many double faults — 6.5 per matchLikely
  • Diane Parry will hit many aces — 5.8 per match on averageLikely

Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.

Trends

  • Over 19.5 games in 5 of 6 matches83%
  • Over 19.5 games in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

Win probability

Points won on serve: 54% Points won on serve: 61%Before the match: 19%

Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.