Daria Snigur — Madison Keys 1:2: match report and statistics
WTA. Cincinnati · 16.08.2026 16:30 · Finished
Compare teamsWho will win?
Votes: 0- Daria Snigur0%
- Draw0%
- Madison Keys0%
Overview
The WTA. Cincinnati match Daria Snigur – Madison Keys on 16.08.2026 16:30 (UTC) finished 1:2. The win went to Madison Keys.
Daria Snigur, last 6 games: won 5, drawn 0, lost 1. Madison Keys, last 6 games: won 3, drawn 0, lost 3.
Statistics and results: Daria Snigur statistics, Madison Keys statistics, WTA. Cincinnati standings and results.
Other games: Tennis matches today. Scores and statistics come from a live 3D match tracker.
Score by periods
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | Σ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Daria Snigur | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
 Madison Keys | 4 | 6 | 6 | 2 |
Match statistics
- 0 Aces 14
- 6 Double faults 6
- 72% First serve 60%
- 60% (44/73)1st serve points won(40/55) 73%
- 45% (13/29)2nd serve points won(14/37) 38%
- 0% Break points saved 0%
- 27% (15/55)1st serve return points won(29/73) 40%
- 62% (23/37)2nd serve return points won(16/29) 55%
- 0% Break points converted 0%
- 56% (57/102)Service points won(54/92) 59%
- 41% (38/92)Return points won(45/102) 44%
- 49% (95/194)Total points won(99/194) 51%
- 4 Посл. 10 мячей 6
- 1 Match Points Saved 0
- 64% (9/14)Service games won(11/14) 79%
- 21% (3/14)Return games won(5/14) 36%
- 43% (12/28)Total games won(16/28) 57%
Game by game
- 1 : 015:0 30:0 40:0
- 1 : 115:0 15:15 30:15 30:30 40:30 BP40:40 A:40 BP40:40 40:A
- Lost serve1 : 20:15 0:30 15:30 15:40 BP30:40 BP40:40 A:40 40:40 A:40 40:40 40:A BP40:40 A:40 40:40 40:A BP
- 1 : 30:15 15:15 15:30 15:40 30:40
- 2 : 315:0 30:0 30:15 30:30 40:30
- 2 : 415:0 15:15 15:30 15:40
- 3 : 415:0 30:0 40:0
- 3 : 515:0 15:15 15:30 15:40
- Lost serve3 : 60:15 15:15 15:30 30:30 40:30 40:40 40:A MP40:40 40:A MP
Head-to-head
Daria SnigurMatches played: 0
draws: 0
Madison KeysThe teams have not met yet
Previous matches: Daria Snigur
Previous matches: Madison Keys
Match info
- Tournament
- Cincinnati
- Season
- 2026
- Referee
- Jorge Ducci
WTA. Cincinnati
Match forecast and markets
- On serve the model gives Daria Snigur 57% of points and Madison Keys 60% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
- Most likely score in sets is 0:2 (35%), then 1:2 (29%).
- About 24.5 games expected; over 21.5 — 63%.
| Market | history | history | Model | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daria Snigur wins | 75%6/8 | 30%3/10 | 36% | 2.79 |
| Madison Keys wins | 25%2/8 | 70%7/10 | 64% | 1.56 |
| Daria Snigur wins 1st set | 75%6/8 | 40%4/10 | 40% | 2.47 |
| Deciding set | 13%1/8 | 30%3/10 | 48% | 2.08 |
| Tiebreak in match | 25%2/8 | 20%2/10 | 35% | 2.90 |
| Score in sets | ||||
| 0:2 | 25%2/8 | 50%5/10 | 35% | 2.82 |
| 1:2 | 0%0/8 | 20%2/10 | 29% | 3.49 |
| 2:1 | 13%1/8 | 10%1/10 | 19% | 5.13 |
| 2:0 | 63%5/8 | 20%2/10 | 16% | 6.11 |
Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (8 and 10) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.
Players' style of play
Daria Snigurmatches: 8
Strengths
- Return games won 39% (avg 28%)Very strong
- Double faults per match 2.9 (avg 4.1)Strong
- First serve in 67% (avg 62%)Strong
- Return points won 46% (avg 41%)Strong
- Closing out after winning 1st set 6/6Strong
- Aces per match
- 2.8
- Double faults per match
- 2.9
- First serve in
- 67%
- Service games held
- 73%
- Return games won
- 39%
Madison Keysmatches: 10
Strengths
- Points won on 1st serve 76% (avg 68%)Very strong
- Service games held 84% (avg 72%)Very strong
- Aces per match 4.3 (avg 3.1)Strong
- Points won on 2nd serve 49% (avg 45%)Strong
- Return games won 34% (avg 28%)Strong
- Deciding sets 2/3Strong
- Comebacks after losing 1st set 2/4Strong
- Aces per match
- 4.3
- Double faults per match
- 3.7
- First serve in
- 63%
- Service games held
- 84%
- Return games won
- 34%
What to expect
- Daria Snigur will break Madison Keys's serveLikely
- Madison Keys will hit many aces — 4.3 per match on averageLikely
Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.
Trends
- Matches without a deciding set: 7 of 888%
- Wins in 6 of 8 matches75%
- Won the 1st set in 6 of 8 matches75%
- Under 21.5 games in 6 of 8 matches75%
- Wins in 7 of 10 matches70%
- Matches without a deciding set: 7 of 1070%
- Under 23.5 games in 7 of 10 matches70%
Based on recent matches: home team — 8, away team — 10
Win probability
Points won on serve: 58% Points won on serve: 60%Before the match: 39%Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.