Polina Iatcenko — Julie Struplova 2:0: match report and statistics
US Open. Women. Qualification · 24.08.2026 18:35 · Finished
Head-to-head: Polina Iatcenko vs Julie StruplovaWho will win?
Votes: 0- Polina Iatcenko0%
- Draw0%
- Julie Struplova0%
Overview
The US Open. Women. Qualification match Polina Iatcenko – Julie Struplova on 24.08.2026 18:35 (UTC) finished 2:0. Polina Iatcenko took the victory.
Polina Iatcenko, last 6 games: won 1, lost 5. Julie Struplova, last 5 games: won 3, lost 2.
Related pages: Polina Iatcenko, Julie Struplova, US Open. Women. Qualification standings and results.
See also Tennis results and fixtures.
Score by periods
| Team | 1 | 2 | Σ |
|---|---|---|---|
 Polina Iatcenko | 6 | 6 | 2 |
 Julie Struplova | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Match statistics
- 1 Aces 0
- 1 Double faults 4
- 67% First serve 67%
- 85% (22/26)1st serve points won(16/33) 48%
- 62% (8/13)2nd serve points won(6/16) 38%
- 0% Break points saved 0%
- 161 Средн. скорость 1-й подачи 137
- 52% (17/33)1st serve return points won(4/26) 15%
- 63% (10/16)2nd serve return points won(5/13) 38%
- 0% Break points converted 0%
- 9 Winners 3
- 8 Unforced errors 20
- 100 (3/3)Net points won(1/4) 25
- 77% (30/39)Service points won(22/49) 45%
- 55% (27/49)Return points won(9/39) 23%
- 65% (57/88)Total points won(31/88) 35%
- 7 Посл. 10 мячей 3
- 0 Match Points Saved 1
- 100% (7/7)Service games won(3/8) 38%
- 63% (5/8)Return games won(0/7) 0%
- 80% (12/15)Total games won(3/15) 20%
Game by game
- 1 : 0Lost serve15:0 30:0 40:0 BP40:15 BP40:30 BP
- 2 : 015:0 30:0 40:0
- 3 : 0Lost serve15:0 15:15 15:30 30:30 30:40 40:40 A:40 BP40:40 A:40 BP40:40 A:40 BP
- 4 : 015:0 30:0 40:0
- 4 : 10:15 15:15 15:30 15:40
- 5 : 115:0 15:15 30:15 40:15
- 6 : 1Lost serve15:0 15:15 30:15 40:15 MP40:30 MP
Head-to-head
Polina IatcenkoMatches played: 0
draws: 0
Julie StruplovaThe teams have not met yet
Previous matches: Polina Iatcenko
Previous matches: Julie Struplova
Match info
- Tournament
- US Open. Women
US Open. Women. Qualification
Darja Semenistaja
Storm Hunter
Elvina Kalieva
Vendula Valdmannova
Christina Lyutova
Martyna KubkaMatch forecast and markets
- On serve the model gives Polina Iatcenko 56% of points and Julie Struplova 64% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
- Most likely score in sets is 0:2 (59%), then 1:2 (27%).
- About 22.6 games expected; over 21.5 — 48%.
| Market | history | history | Model | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polina Iatcenko wins | 17%1/6 | 30%3/10 | 13% | 7.45 |
| Julie Struplova wins | 83%5/6 | 70%7/10 | 87% | 1.15 |
| Polina Iatcenko wins 1st set | 33%2/6 | 60%6/10 | 23% | 4.35 |
| Deciding set | 17%1/6 | 50%5/10 | 35% | 2.82 |
| Tiebreak in match | 33%2/6 | 20%2/10 | 29% | 3.48 |
| Score in sets | ||||
| 0:2 | 67%4/6 | 30%3/10 | 59% | 1.69 |
| 1:2 | 17%1/6 | 40%4/10 | 27% | 3.67 |
| 2:1 | 0%0/6 | 10%1/10 | 8% | 12.29 |
| 2:0 | 17%1/6 | 20%2/10 | 5% | 18.93 |
Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (6 and 10) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.
Players' style of play
Polina Iatcenkomatches: 6
Weaknesses
- Double faults per match 7.4 (avg 4.7)Very weak
- Points won on 2nd serve 30% (avg 43%)Very weak
- Service games held 55% (avg 69%)Very weak
- Return points won 32% (avg 41%)Very weak
- Return games won 16% (avg 31%)Very weak
- Aces per match 2.2 (avg 3)Weak
- First serve in 61% (avg 65%)Weak
- Comebacks after losing 1st set 0/4Weak
- Aces per match
- 2.2
- Double faults per match
- 7.4
- First serve in
- 61%
- Service games held
- 55%
- Return games won
- 16%
Julie Struplovamatches: 10
Strengths
- Deciding sets 4/5Very strong
- Tiebreaks 2/3Strong
- Comebacks after losing 1st set 3/6Strong
- Closing out after winning 1st set 4/4Strong
- Aces per match
- 2
- Double faults per match
- 4
- First serve in
- 71%
- Service games held
- 57%
- Return games won
- 15%
What to expect
- Polina Iatcenko makes many double faults — 7.4 per matchVery likely
- Julie Struplova will break Polina Iatcenko's serveLikely
Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.
Trends
- Losses in 5 of 6 matches83%
- Matches without a deciding set: 5 of 683%
- Under 21.5 games in 5 of 6 matches83%
- Wins in 7 of 10 matches70%
- Over 18.5 games in 7 of 10 matches70%
Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 10
Win probability
Points won on serve: 69% Points won on serve: 53%Before the match: 98%Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.