Petr Nesterov — Yanaki Milev 1:2: match report and statistics

Challenger. Plovdiv 3 · 01.09.2026 15:10 · Finished

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Who will win?

Votes: 0
  • Petr Nesterov0%
  • Draw0%
  • Yanaki Milev0%

Overview

Petr Nesterov vs Yanaki Milev ended 1:2 on 01.09.2026 15:10 (UTC) in Challenger. Plovdiv 3. The win went to Yanaki Milev.

Petr Nesterov, last 6 games: won 4, drawn 0, lost 2. Yanaki Milev, last 5 games: won 2, drawn 0, lost 3.

All meetings of Petr Nesterov and Yanaki Milev: 2 (wins of Petr Nesterov: 1, wins of Yanaki Milev: 1, draws: 0). The last meeting on 22.07.2024 08:10 ended Yanaki Milev 1:2 Petr Nesterov.

More on the site: Petr Nesterov, Yanaki Milev, Challenger. Plovdiv 3 standings and results.

More matches: all Tennis matches of the day. The statistics are powered by the SportAPI sports data API.

Score by periods

Team123Σ
Petr Nesterov
6641
Yanaki Milev
7362

Match statistics

  • 3 Aces 1
  • 3 Double faults 4
  • 71% First serve 65%
  • 75% (50/67)1st serve points won(42/64) 66%
  • 43% (12/28)2nd serve points won(20/35) 57%
  • 0% Break points saved 0%
  • 34% (22/64)1st serve return points won(17/67) 25%
  • 43% (15/35)2nd serve return points won(16/28) 57%
  • 0% Break points converted 0%
  • 65% (62/95)Service points won(62/99) 63%
  • 37% (37/99)Return points won(33/95) 35%
  • 51% (99/194)Total points won(95/194) 49%
  • 4 Посл. 10 мячей 6
  • 0 Match Points Saved 0
  • 81% (13/16)Service games won(12/15) 80%
  • 20% (3/15)Return games won(3/16) 19%
  • 52% (16/31)Total games won(15/31) 48%

Game by game

Petr Nesterov
Yanaki Milev
3/5Service games won4/51Breaks21/2Break points converted2/2
  • 1 : 0Lost serve
    0:15 15:15 30:15 30:30 40:30 BP
  • 2 : 0
    15:0 30:0 30:15 40:15 40:30 40:40 A:40
  • 2 : 1
    0:15 15:15 30:15 30:30 30:40 40:40 40:A
  • 3 : 1
    15:0 30:0 40:0
  • 3 : 2
    0:15 0:30 0:40 15:40 30:40 40:40 40:A
  • Lost serve3 : 3
    0:15 15:15 15:30 30:30 40:30 40:40 A:40 40:40 40:A BP
  • 3 : 4
    15:0 30:0 30:15 30:30 40:30 BP40:40 40:A
  • 4 : 4
    15:0 30:0 40:0
  • 4 : 5
    0:15 0:30 0:40 15:40 30:40
  • Lost serve4 : 6
    15:0 15:15 30:15 30:30 30:40 MP

Head-to-head

Matches played: 2
draws: 0

1 / 2
Wins
1 / 2
2 / 5
Points
3 / 5
Matches

Previous matches: Petr Nesterov

Previous matches: Yanaki Milev

Match info

Tournament
Plovdiv 3
Season
2026

Challenger. Plovdiv 3

Match forecast and markets

Quick readPetr Nesterov favourite · 89%Likely score 2:0Expected games 21.8Tiebreak in match 22%
89%Win · Petr Nesterov1.12
11%Win · Yanaki Milev9.03
21.8Expected games
79%Petr Nesterov wins 1st set1.26
22%Tiebreak in match4.53
33%Deciding set3.05
  • On serve the model gives Petr Nesterov 60% of points and Yanaki Milev 51% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
  • Most likely score in sets is 2:0 (63%), then 2:1 (26%).
  • About 21.8 games expected; over 21.5 — 43%.
MarkethistoryhistoryModelFair odds
Petr Nesterov wins67%4/660%3/589%1.12
Yanaki Milev wins33%2/640%2/511%9.03
Petr Nesterov wins 1st set83%5/640%2/579%1.26
Deciding set17%1/640%2/533%3.05
Tiebreak in match50%3/640%2/522%4.53
Score in sets
2:067%4/640%2/563%1.59
2:10%0/620%1/526%3.84
1:217%1/620%1/57%14.72
0:217%1/620%1/54%23.35

Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (6 and 5) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.

Players' style of play

Petr Nesterovmatches: 6

Strengths

  • Points won on 1st serve 68% (avg 61%)Very strong
  • Return games won 49% (avg 39%)Very strong
  • Service games held 67% (avg 61%)Strong
  • Return points won 50% (avg 45%)Strong

Weaknesses

  • First serve in 54% (avg 59%)Weak
Aces per match
1.4
Double faults per match
2.6
First serve in
54%
Service games held
67%
Return games won
49%

Yanaki Milevmatches: 5

Weaknesses

  • Double faults per match 4.4 (avg 3)Weak
  • Closing out after winning 1st set 2/3Weak
Aces per match
1.4
Double faults per match
4.4
First serve in
58%
Service games held
61%
Return games won
28%

What to expect

  • Petr Nesterov will break Yanaki Milev's serveLikely
  • Yanaki Milev makes many double faults — 4.4 per matchLikely

Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.

Trends

  • Won the 1st set in 5 of 6 matches83%
  • Matches without a deciding set: 5 of 683%
  • Under 23.5 games in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 5

Win probability

Points won on serve: 65% Points won on serve: 63%Before the match: 63%

Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.