Otto Virtanen — Andrey Rublev 2:3: match report and statistics
US Open · 31.08.2026 15:10 · Finished
Compare teamsWho will win?
Votes: 0- Otto Virtanen0%
- Draw0%
- Andrey Rublev0%
Overview
Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev ended 2:3 on 31.08.2026 15:10 (UTC) in US Open. Andrey Rublev took the victory.
Form of Otto Virtanen in the last 6 matches: wins 3, draws 0, defeats 3. Form of Andrey Rublev in the last 6 matches: wins 3, draws 0, defeats 3.
More on the site: Otto Virtanen statistics, Andrey Rublev statistics, US Open standings and results.
See also Tennis results and fixtures. Data on this page is provided by SportAPI Tennis data API.
Score by periods
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Σ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Otto Virtanen | 7 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
 Andrey Rublev | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 3 |
Match statistics
- 19 Aces 20
- 7 Double faults 3
- 60% First serve 64%
- 66% (73/111)1st serve points won(78/95) 82%
- 49% (36/74)2nd serve points won(32/54) 59%
- 0% Break points saved 0%
- 197 Средн. скорость 1-й подачи 195
- 166 Средн. скорость 2-й подачи 151
- 18% (17/95)1st serve return points won(38/111) 34%
- 41% (22/54)2nd serve return points won(38/74) 51%
- 0% Break points converted 0%
- 44 Winners 51
- 42 Unforced errors 27
- 70 (16/23)Net points won(15/20) 75
- 59% (109/185)Service points won(110/149) 74%
- 26% (39/149)Return points won(76/185) 41%
- 44% (148/334)Total points won(186/334) 56%
- 4 Посл. 10 мячей 6
- 1 Match Points Saved 1
- 72% (18/25)Service games won(23/25) 92%
- 8% (2/25)Return games won(7/25) 28%
- 40% (20/50)Total games won(30/50) 60%
- 2721 Distance (meters) 2726
Game by game
- 1 : 00:15 15:15 30:15 40:15
- 1 : 115:0 15:15 15:30 15:40
- 2 : 115:0 30:0 40:0
- 2 : 215:0 30:0 30:15 40:15 BP40:30 BP40:40 40:A
- 3 : 215:0 15:15 30:15 40:15
- 3 : 30:15 0:30 0:40
- 4 : 30:15 15:15 30:15 40:15
- 4 : 40:15 15:15 15:30 15:40
- 5 : 415:0 15:15 30:15 30:30 40:30 40:40 A:40 40:40 A:40
- 5 : 50:15 0:30 0:40
- 6 : 50:15 0:30 15:30 30:30 30:40 BP40:40 A:40 40:40 A:40
- 6 : 60:15 15:15 30:15 30:30 40:30 MP40:40 40:A
- Tie-break5 : 100:10:20:31:31:41:52:52:63:64:64:74:84:95:95:10
Head-to-head
Otto VirtanenMatches played: 0
draws: 0
Andrey RublevThe teams have not met yet
Previous matches: Otto Virtanen
Previous matches: Andrey Rublev
Match info
- Tournament
- US Open
- Season
- 2026
US Open
Match forecast and markets
- On serve the model gives Otto Virtanen 61% of points and Andrey Rublev 66% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
- Most likely score in sets is 1:3 (29%), then 0:3 (29%).
- About 40.4 games expected; over 37.5 — 60%.
| Market | history | history | Model | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otto Virtanen wins | 50%3/6 | 50%3/6 | 22% | 4.53 |
| Andrey Rublev wins | 50%3/6 | 50%3/6 | 78% | 1.28 |
| Otto Virtanen wins 1st set | 33%2/6 | 33%2/6 | 34% | 2.93 |
| Deciding set | 17%1/6 | 33%2/6 | 30% | 3.30 |
| Tiebreak in match | 50%3/6 | 33%2/6 | 60% | 1.66 |
| Score in sets | ||||
| 1:3 | 0%0/6 | 0%0/6 | 29% | 3.41 |
| 0:3 | 0%0/6 | 0%0/6 | 29% | 3.49 |
| 2:3 | 0%0/6 | 0%0/6 | 20% | 5.01 |
| 3:2 | 0%0/6 | 0%0/6 | 10% | 9.69 |
| 3:1 | 0%0/6 | 0%0/6 | 8% | 12.78 |
| 3:0 | 0%0/6 | 0%0/6 | 4% | 25.28 |
Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (6 and 6) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.
Players' style of play
Otto Virtanenmatches: 6
Strengths
- Aces per match 10.7 (avg 6.3)Very strong
- Points won on 1st serve 75% (avg 71%)Strong
Weaknesses
- Double faults per match 6.3 (avg 3.8)Very weak
- Points won on 2nd serve 47% (avg 53%)Very weak
- Tiebreaks 1/5Weak
- Aces per match
- 10.7
- Double faults per match
- 6.3
- First serve in
- 58%
- Service games held
- 82%
- Return games won
- 22%
Andrey Rublevmatches: 6
Strengths
- Double faults per match 2.8 (avg 3.8)Strong
- Points won on 1st serve 75% (avg 71%)Strong
- Return games won 27% (avg 21%)Strong
- Aces per match
- 6.7
- Double faults per match
- 2.8
- First serve in
- 59%
- Service games held
- 83%
- Return games won
- 27%
What to expect
- Both hold serve confidently — a tiebreak is possible (60% by the model)Very likely
- Otto Virtanen will hit many aces — 10.7 per match on averageVery likely
- Otto Virtanen makes many double faults — 6.3 per matchVery likely
Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.
Trends
- Under 37.5 games in 6 of 6 matches100%
- Under 37.5 games in 6 of 6 matches100%
- Matches without a deciding set: 5 of 683%
Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6
Win probability
Points won on serve: 59% Points won on serve: 73%Before the match: 2%Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.