Yibing Wu — Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 0:3: match report and statistics
US Open · 04.09.2026 18:20 · Finished
Compare teamsWho will win?
Votes: 0- Yibing Wu0%
- Draw0%
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia0%
Overview
Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Garfia ended 0:3 on 04.09.2026 18:20 (UTC) in US Open. Carlos Alcaraz Garfia took the victory.
Form of Yibing Wu in the last 6 matches: wins 3, draws 0, defeats 3. Form of Carlos Alcaraz Garfia in the last 6 matches: wins 5, draws 0, defeats 1.
Head-to-head meetings: 1. Wins of Yibing Wu: 0, wins of Carlos Alcaraz Garfia: 1, draws: 0. The last meeting on 06.10.2024 11:40 ended Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 2:0 Yibing Wu.
More on the site: Yibing Wu statistics, Carlos Alcaraz Garfia statistics, US Open standings and results.
See also Tennis results and fixtures. Data on this page is provided by Tennis API by SportAPI.
Score by periods
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | Σ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | |
| 6 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
Match statistics
- 1 Aces 6
- 5 Double faults 4
- 57% First serve 67%
- 53% (33/62)1st serve points won(40/58) 69%
- 45% (21/47)2nd serve points won(14/28) 50%
- 0% Break points saved 0%
- 192 Средн. скорость 1-й подачи 188
- 150 Средн. скорость 2-й подачи 161
- 31% (18/58)1st serve return points won(29/62) 47%
- 50% (14/28)2nd serve return points won(25/47) 53%
- 0% Break points converted 0%
- 12 Winners 21
- 39 Unforced errors 33
- 31 (4/13)Net points won(7/8) 88
- 50% (54/109)Service points won(54/86) 63%
- 37% (32/86)Return points won(55/109) 50%
- 44% (86/195)Total points won(109/195) 56%
- 3 Посл. 10 мячей 7
- 2 Match Points Saved 0
- 46% (6/13)Service games won(11/13) 85%
- 15% (2/13)Return games won(7/13) 54%
- 31% (8/26)Total games won(18/26) 69%
- 1824 Distance (meters) 1823
Game by game
- 0 : 10:15 15:15 30:15 40:15 BP40:30 BP40:40 40:A 40:40 40:A 40:40 40:A
- 1 : 115:0 30:0 40:0 40:15
- 1 : 20:15 0:30 0:40 15:40
- Lost serve1 : 315:0 15:15 15:30 30:30 40:30 40:40 40:A BP
- 1 : 40:15 0:30 15:30 15:40
- Lost serve1 : 515:0 30:0 30:15 30:30 30:40 BP
- 1 : 615:0 30:0 30:15 30:30 30:40 MP40:40 40:A MP40:40 A:40 BP40:40 40:A MP
Head-to-head
Yibing WuMatches played: 1
draws: 0
Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaPrevious matches: Yibing Wu
Previous matches: Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
Match info
- Tournament
- US Open
US Open
Match forecast and markets
- On serve the model gives Yibing Wu 59% of points and Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 63% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
- Most likely score in sets is 1:3 (27%), then 0:3 (23%).
- About 40.4 games expected; over 37.5 — 61%.
| Market | Model | Fair odds | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yibing Wu wins | 60%6/10 | 17%1/6 | 29% | 3.43 |
| Carlos Alcaraz Garfia wins | 40%4/10 | 83%5/6 | 71% | 1.41 |
| Yibing Wu wins 1st set | 60%6/10 | 33%2/6 | 38% | 2.60 |
| Deciding set | 20%2/10 | 0%0/6 | 34% | 2.97 |
| Tiebreak in match | 40%4/10 | 17%1/6 | 55% | 1.83 |
| Score in sets | ||||
| 1:3 | 0%0/10 | 17%1/6 | 27% | 3.72 |
| 0:3 | 0%0/10 | 17%1/6 | 23% | 4.29 |
| 2:3 | 0%0/10 | 0%0/6 | 21% | 4.83 |
| 3:2 | 0%0/10 | 0%0/6 | 13% | 7.73 |
| 3:1 | 0%0/10 | 0%0/6 | 11% | 9.51 |
| 3:0 | 20%2/10 | 0%0/6 | 6% | 17.56 |
Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (10 and 6) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.
Players' style of play
Yibing Wumatches: 10
Strengths
- Tiebreaks 4/4Very strong
- Points won on 2nd serve 54% (avg 51%)Strong
- Closing out after winning 1st set 6/6Strong
Weaknesses
- Comebacks after losing 1st set 0/4Weak
- Aces per match
- 4.8
- Double faults per match
- 3.2
- First serve in
- 59%
- Service games held
- 81%
- Return games won
- 24%
Carlos Alcaraz Garfiamatches: 6
Strengths
- Points won on 2nd serve 60% (avg 51%)Very strong
- Return points won 44% (avg 38%)Very strong
- Return games won 38% (avg 22%)Very strong
- Service games held 87% (avg 78%)Strong
- Closing out after winning 1st set 4/4Strong
Weaknesses
- Aces per match 2.3 (avg 5.3)Very weak
- Aces per match
- 2.3
- Double faults per match
- 3.7
- First serve in
- 62%
- Service games held
- 87%
- Return games won
- 38%
What to expect
- Both hold serve confidently — a tiebreak is possible (55% by the model)Likely
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia will break Yibing Wu's serveLikely
Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.
Trends
Under 37.5 games in 10 of 10 matches100%
Matches without a deciding set: 6 of 6100%
Under 37.5 games in 6 of 6 matches100%
3 wins in a row100%
Matches without a deciding set: 8 of 1080%
Wins in 5 of 6 matches83%
Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 6
Win probability
Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.