Yibing Wu — Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 0:3: match report and statistics

US Open · 04.09.2026 18:20 · Finished

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Who will win?

Votes: 0
  • Yibing Wu0%
  • Draw0%
  • Carlos Alcaraz Garfia0%

Overview

Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Garfia ended 0:3 on 04.09.2026 18:20 (UTC) in US Open. Carlos Alcaraz Garfia took the victory.

Form of Yibing Wu in the last 6 matches: wins 3, draws 0, defeats 3. Form of Carlos Alcaraz Garfia in the last 6 matches: wins 5, draws 0, defeats 1.

Head-to-head meetings: 1. Wins of Yibing Wu: 0, wins of Carlos Alcaraz Garfia: 1, draws: 0. The last meeting on 06.10.2024 11:40 ended Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 2:0 Yibing Wu.

More on the site: Yibing Wu statistics, Carlos Alcaraz Garfia statistics, US Open standings and results.

See also Tennis results and fixtures. Data on this page is provided by Tennis API by SportAPI.

Score by periods

Team123Σ
Yibing Wu
3410
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
6663

Match statistics

  • 1 Aces 6
  • 5 Double faults 4
  • 57% First serve 67%
  • 53% (33/62)1st serve points won(40/58) 69%
  • 45% (21/47)2nd serve points won(14/28) 50%
  • 0% Break points saved 0%
  • 192 Средн. скорость 1-й подачи 188
  • 150 Средн. скорость 2-й подачи 161
  • 31% (18/58)1st serve return points won(29/62) 47%
  • 50% (14/28)2nd serve return points won(25/47) 53%
  • 0% Break points converted 0%
  • 12 Winners 21
  • 39 Unforced errors 33
  • 31 (4/13)Net points won(7/8) 88
  • 50% (54/109)Service points won(54/86) 63%
  • 37% (32/86)Return points won(55/109) 50%
  • 44% (86/195)Total points won(109/195) 56%
  • 3 Посл. 10 мячей 7
  • 2 Match Points Saved 0
  • 46% (6/13)Service games won(11/13) 85%
  • 15% (2/13)Return games won(7/13) 54%
  • 31% (8/26)Total games won(18/26) 69%
  • 1824 Distance (meters) 1823

Game by game

Yibing Wu
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
1/3Service games won4/40Breaks20/3Break points converted2/2
  • 0 : 1
    0:15 15:15 30:15 40:15 BP40:30 BP40:40 40:A 40:40 40:A 40:40 40:A
  • 1 : 1
    15:0 30:0 40:0 40:15
  • 1 : 2
    0:15 0:30 0:40 15:40
  • Lost serve1 : 3
    15:0 15:15 15:30 30:30 40:30 40:40 40:A BP
  • 1 : 4
    0:15 0:30 15:30 15:40
  • Lost serve1 : 5
    15:0 30:0 30:15 30:30 30:40 BP
  • 1 : 6
    15:0 30:0 30:15 30:30 30:40 MP40:40 40:A MP40:40 A:40 BP40:40 40:A MP

Head-to-head

Matches played: 1
draws: 0

0 / 1
Wins
1 / 1
0 / 2
Points
2 / 2
Matches

Previous matches: Yibing Wu

30.08.2026Finished
Yibing Wu3 : 0Adam Walton
W
13.08.2026Finished
Jaime Faria2 : 0Yibing Wu
L
16.07.2026Finished
Yibing Wu0 : 2Bu Yunchaokete
L

Previous matches: Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

Match info

Tournament
US Open

US Open

Match forecast and markets

Quick readCarlos Alcaraz Garfia favourite · 71%Likely score 1:3Expected games 40.4Tiebreak in match 55%
29%Win · Yibing Wu3.43
71%Win · Carlos Alcaraz Garfia1.41
40.4Expected games
38%Yibing Wu wins 1st set2.60
55%Tiebreak in match1.83
34%Deciding set2.97
  • On serve the model gives Yibing Wu 59% of points and Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 63% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
  • Most likely score in sets is 1:3 (27%), then 0:3 (23%).
  • About 40.4 games expected; over 37.5 — 61%.
MarkethistoryhistoryModelFair odds
Yibing Wu wins60%6/1017%1/629%3.43
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia wins40%4/1083%5/671%1.41
Yibing Wu wins 1st set60%6/1033%2/638%2.60
Deciding set20%2/100%0/634%2.97
Tiebreak in match40%4/1017%1/655%1.83
Score in sets
1:30%0/1017%1/627%3.72
0:30%0/1017%1/623%4.29
2:30%0/100%0/621%4.83
3:20%0/100%0/613%7.73
3:10%0/100%0/611%9.51
3:020%2/100%0/66%17.56

Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (10 and 6) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.

Players' style of play

Yibing Wumatches: 10

Strengths

  • Tiebreaks 4/4Very strong
  • Points won on 2nd serve 54% (avg 51%)Strong
  • Closing out after winning 1st set 6/6Strong

Weaknesses

  • Comebacks after losing 1st set 0/4Weak
Aces per match
4.8
Double faults per match
3.2
First serve in
59%
Service games held
81%
Return games won
24%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfiamatches: 6

Strengths

  • Points won on 2nd serve 60% (avg 51%)Very strong
  • Return points won 44% (avg 38%)Very strong
  • Return games won 38% (avg 22%)Very strong
  • Service games held 87% (avg 78%)Strong
  • Closing out after winning 1st set 4/4Strong

Weaknesses

  • Aces per match 2.3 (avg 5.3)Very weak
Aces per match
2.3
Double faults per match
3.7
First serve in
62%
Service games held
87%
Return games won
38%

What to expect

  • Both hold serve confidently — a tiebreak is possible (55% by the model)Likely
  • Carlos Alcaraz Garfia will break Yibing Wu's serveLikely

Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.

Trends

  • Under 37.5 games in 10 of 10 matches100%
  • Matches without a deciding set: 6 of 6100%
  • Under 37.5 games in 6 of 6 matches100%
  • 3 wins in a row100%
  • Matches without a deciding set: 8 of 1080%
  • Wins in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 6

Win probability

Points won on serve: 53% Points won on serve: 63%Before the match: 6%

Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.