Pietro Gava — Tsz Fu Wong 1:2: match report and statistics

• 2 Aces 1
• 0 Double faults 2
• 67.2% First Serve Percentage 65.2%
• 32 1st serve points won 32
• 100% Second Serve Percentage 91.3%
• 6 2nd serve points won 10
• 4 Break points Played 6
• 2 Break points converted 2
• 62 Total points won 71
• 0 Set Points 2
• 0 Match Points 2

• 0 : 1
  0:1
• 1 : 1
  1:1
• 1 : 2
  1:2
• 1 : 3
  1:3
• 1 : 4
  1:4
• 1 : 5
  1:5
• 2 : 5
  2:5
• 2 : 6
  2:6
• 2 : 7
  2:7
• 2 : 8
  2:8
• 2 : 9
  2:9
• 2 : 10
  :

Tournament

Leme

Season

2026

• On serve the model gives Pietro Gava 64% of points and Tsz Fu Wong 48% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
• Most likely score in sets is 2:0 (85%), then 2:1 (14%).
• About 18.7 games expected; over 21.5 — 20%.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Pietro Gava wins	67%4/6	80%8/10	98%	1.02
Tsz Fu Wong wins	33%2/6	20%2/10	2%	54.52
Pietro Gava wins 1st set	33%2/6	80%8/10	92%	1.09
Deciding set	33%2/6	0%0/10	15%	6.76
Tiebreak in match	0%0/6	10%1/10	12%	8.49
Score in sets
2:0	33%2/6	80%8/10	85%	1.18
2:1	33%2/6	0%0/10	14%	7.36
1:2	0%0/6	0%0/10	1%	84.16
0:2	33%2/6	20%2/10	1%	—

Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (6 and 10) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.

Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.

Both teams Pietro Gava Tsz Fu Wong

• Matches without a deciding set: 10 of 10100%
• 6 defeats in a row100%
• Under 21.5 games in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Losses in 8 of 10 matches80%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 10

Points won on serve: 62% Points won on serve: 62%Before the match: 50%

Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.