Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur — Francesca Curmi 2:1: match report and statistics

WTA. Valencia · 16.09.2026 13:05 · Finished

Compare teams
Clay
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Finished2 : 116.09.2026 13:05
Francesca Curmi

Who will win?

Votes: 0
  • Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur0%
  • Draw0%
  • Francesca Curmi0%

Overview

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Francesca Curmi ended 2:1 on 16.09.2026 13:05 (UTC) in WTA. Valencia. Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur took the victory.

Form of Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur in the last 6 matches: wins 4, draws 0, defeats 2. Form of Francesca Curmi in the last 5 matches: wins 3, draws 0, defeats 2.

Head-to-head meetings: 1. Wins of Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur: 0, wins of Francesca Curmi: 1, draws: 0. The last meeting on 16.07.2026 10:20 ended Francesca Curmi 2:0 Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur.

Statistics and results: Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur statistics, Francesca Curmi statistics, WTA. Valencia table.

More matches: Tennis results and fixtures. Data on this page is provided by Tennis API by SportAPI.

Score by periods

Team123Σ
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
6662
Francesca Curmi
7341

Match statistics

  • 2 Aces 1
  • 3 Double faults 7
  • 76% First serve 73%
  • 65% (44/68)1st serve points won(49/90) 54%
  • 50% (11/22)2nd serve points won(12/33) 36%
  • 0% Break points saved 0%
  • 46% (41/90)1st serve return points won(24/68) 35%
  • 64% (21/33)2nd serve return points won(11/22) 50%
  • 0% Break points converted 0%
  • 61% (55/90)Service points won(61/123) 50%
  • 50% (62/123)Return points won(35/90) 39%
  • 55% (117/213)Total points won(96/213) 45%
  • 8 Посл. 10 мячей 2
  • 0 Match Points Saved 0
  • 67% (10/15)Service games won(8/16) 50%
  • 50% (8/16)Return games won(5/15) 33%
  • 58% (18/31)Total games won(13/31) 42%

Game by game

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Francesca Curmi
4/5Service games won3/52Breaks12/6Break points converted1/4
  • 1 : 0
    15:0 30:0 40:0
  • 1 : 1
    15:0 15:15 15:30 30:30 40:30 BP40:40 A:40 BP40:40 40:A 40:40 40:A
  • Lost serve1 : 2
    0:15 0:30 0:40 BP15:40 BP30:40 BP
  • 1 : 3
    15:0 15:15 30:15 30:30 40:30 BP40:40 A:40 BP40:40 40:A 40:40 40:A
  • 2 : 3
    15:0 30:0 40:0 40:15
  • 2 : 4
    0:15 15:15 15:30 30:30 30:40
  • 3 : 4
    15:0 15:15 30:15 40:15 40:30 40:40 40:A BP40:40 A:40
  • 4 : 4Lost serve
    15:0 30:0 40:0 BP
  • 5 : 4
    15:0 15:15 30:15 30:30 40:30
  • 6 : 4Lost serve
    15:0 30:0 40:0 MP

Head-to-head

Matches played: 1
draws: 0

0 / 1
Wins
1 / 1
0 / 2
Points
2 / 2
Matches

Previous matches: Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur

Previous matches: Francesca Curmi

Match info

Tournament
Valencia
Season
2026

WTA. Valencia

Match forecast and markets

Quick readJoelle Lilly Sophie Steur favourite · 92%Likely score 2:0Expected games 20.7Tiebreak in match 17%
92%Win · Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur1.08
8%Win · Francesca Curmi13.22
20.7Expected games
83%Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur wins 1st set1.20
17%Tiebreak in match5.81
28%Deciding set3.57
  • On serve the model gives Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur 54% of points and Francesca Curmi 43% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
  • Most likely score in sets is 2:0 (69%), then 2:1 (23%).
  • About 20.7 games expected; over 21.5 — 36%.
MarkethistoryhistoryModelFair odds
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur wins75%6/843%3/792%1.08
Francesca Curmi wins25%2/857%4/78%13.22
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur wins 1st set100%8/857%4/783%1.20
Deciding set25%2/843%3/728%3.57
Tiebreak in match13%1/80%0/717%5.81
Score in sets
2:075%6/829%2/769%1.45
2:10%0/814%1/723%4.29
1:225%2/829%2/75%21.17
0:20%0/829%2/73%35.21

Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (8 and 7) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.

Players' style of play

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steurmatches: 8

Strengths

  • Double faults per match 0.2 (avg 2.6)Very strong
  • First serve in 79% (avg 69%)Very strong
Aces per match
0.8
Double faults per match
0.2
First serve in
79%
Service games held
64%
Return games won
77%

Francesca Curmimatches: 7

Strengths

  • Deciding sets 2/3Strong
  • Closing out after winning 1st set 3/3Strong
Aces per match
1
Double faults per match
2
First serve in
73%
Service games held
55%
Return games won
48%

Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.

Trends

  • Won the 1st set in 8 of 8 matches100%
  • 3 wins in a row100%
  • Wins in 6 of 8 matches75%
  • Matches without a deciding set: 6 of 875%
  • Under 21.5 games in 6 of 8 matches75%
  • Under 23.5 games in 5 of 7 matches71%

Based on recent matches: home team — 8, away team — 7

Win probability

Points won on serve: 61% Points won on serve: 52%Before the match: 89%

Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.