Jazmin Ortenzi — Paula Badosa Gibert 1:2: match report and statistics

WTA. Sao Paulo · 17.09.2026 17:40 · Finished

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Who will win?

Votes: 0
  • Jazmin Ortenzi0%
  • Draw0%
  • Paula Badosa Gibert0%

Overview

Final score Jazmin Ortenzi 1:2 Paula Badosa Gibert, WTA. Sao Paulo, 17.09.2026 17:40 (UTC). Paula Badosa Gibert took the victory.

Form of Jazmin Ortenzi in the last 6 matches: wins 2, draws 0, defeats 4. Form of Paula Badosa Gibert in the last 6 matches: wins 4, draws 0, defeats 2.

Statistics and results: Jazmin Ortenzi, Paula Badosa Gibert, WTA. Sao Paulo table.

More matches: Tennis matches today. Data on this page is provided by Tennis live score API.

Score by periods

Team123Σ
Jazmin Ortenzi
6221
Paula Badosa Gibert
4662

Match statistics

  • 1 Aces 0
  • 7 Double faults 7
  • 59% First serve 53%
  • 51% (28/55)1st serve points won(26/38) 68%
  • 44% (17/39)2nd serve points won(17/34) 50%
  • 0% Break points saved 0%
  • 32% (12/38)1st serve return points won(27/55) 49%
  • 50% (17/34)2nd serve return points won(22/39) 56%
  • 0% Break points converted 0%
  • 48% (46/96)Service points won(43/72) 60%
  • 40% (29/72)Return points won(50/96) 52%
  • 45% (75/168)Total points won(93/168) 55%
  • 2 Посл. 10 мячей 8
  • 0 Match Points Saved 0
  • 46% (6/13)Service games won(9/13) 69%
  • 31% (4/13)Return games won(7/13) 54%
  • 38% (10/26)Total games won(16/26) 62%

Game by game

Jazmin Ortenzi
Paula Badosa Gibert
1/4Service games won3/41Breaks31/1Break points converted3/6
  • 0 : 1
    0:15 0:30 0:40 15:40 30:40 40:40 40:A
  • Lost serve0 : 2
    15:0 15:15 15:30 30:30 30:40 BP40:40 40:A BP40:40 40:A BP40:40 40:A BP
  • 1 : 2Lost serve
    15:0 30:0 40:0 BP
  • Lost serve1 : 3
    15:0 30:0 40:0 40:15 40:30 40:40 40:A BP
  • 1 : 4
    0:15 0:30 0:40
  • 2 : 4
    0:15 15:15 15:30 30:30 40:30 40:40 A:40
  • 2 : 5
    15:0 15:15 15:30 15:40
  • Lost serve2 : 6
    0:15 0:30 0:40 MP

Head-to-head

Matches played: 0
draws: 0

0 / 0
Wins
0 / 0
0 / 0
Points
0 / 0
Matches

The teams have not met yet

Previous matches: Jazmin Ortenzi

Previous matches: Paula Badosa Gibert

Match info

Tournament
Sao Paulo
Season
2026

WTA. Sao Paulo

Match forecast and markets

Quick readPaula Badosa Gibert favourite · 86%Likely score 0:2Expected games 22.1Tiebreak in match 23%
14%Win · Jazmin Ortenzi7.37
86%Win · Paula Badosa Gibert1.16
22.1Expected games
23%Jazmin Ortenzi wins 1st set4.32
23%Tiebreak in match4.34
36%Deciding set2.81
  • On serve the model gives Jazmin Ortenzi 51% of points and Paula Badosa Gibert 59% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
  • Most likely score in sets is 0:2 (59%), then 1:2 (27%).
  • About 22.1 games expected; over 21.5 — 46%.
MarkethistoryhistoryModelFair odds
Jazmin Ortenzi wins33%2/633%2/614%7.37
Paula Badosa Gibert wins67%4/667%4/686%1.16
Jazmin Ortenzi wins 1st set50%3/633%2/623%4.32
Deciding set17%1/617%1/636%2.81
Tiebreak in match0%0/633%2/623%4.34
Score in sets
0:250%3/667%4/659%1.69
1:217%1/60%0/627%3.66
2:10%0/617%1/68%12.16
2:033%2/617%1/65%18.70

Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (6 and 6) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.

Players' style of play

Jazmin Ortenzimatches: 6

Strengths

  • Double faults per match 2.2 (avg 3.9)Strong

Weaknesses

  • Aces per match 0.3 (avg 1.2)Very weak
  • Service games held 53% (avg 64%)Very weak
  • Points won on 1st serve 56% (avg 61%)Weak
  • Points won on 2nd serve 42% (avg 47%)Weak
  • Comebacks after losing 1st set 0/3Weak
  • Closing out after winning 1st set 2/3Weak
Aces per match
0.3
Double faults per match
2.2
First serve in
65%
Service games held
53%
Return games won
33%

Paula Badosa Gibertmatches: 6

Strengths

  • Aces per match 2.7 (avg 1.2)Very strong
  • Points won on 1st serve 68% (avg 61%)Very strong
  • Service games held 76% (avg 64%)Very strong
  • Closing out after winning 1st set 4/4Strong

Weaknesses

  • Double faults per match 6.7 (avg 3.9)Very weak
  • First serve in 58% (avg 62%)Weak
  • Tiebreaks 1/3Weak
Aces per match
2.7
Double faults per match
6.7
First serve in
58%
Service games held
76%
Return games won
40%

What to expect

  • Paula Badosa Gibert will break Jazmin Ortenzi's serveLikely
  • Paula Badosa Gibert will hit many aces — 2.7 per match on averageVery likely
  • Paula Badosa Gibert makes many double faults — 6.7 per matchVery likely

Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.

Trends

  • Matches without a deciding set: 5 of 683%
  • Under 21.5 games in 5 of 6 matches83%
  • Matches without a deciding set: 5 of 683%
  • Under 23.5 games in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

Win probability

Points won on serve: 52% Points won on serve: 61%Before the match: 13%

Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.