Alex Barrena — Juan Cruz Martin Manzano 2:0: match report and statistics

• 2 Aces 0
• 1 Double faults 0
• 69% First serve 69%
• 74% (28/38)1st serve points won(25/44) 57%
• 59% (10/17)2nd serve points won(8/20) 40%
• 0% Break points saved 0%
• 43% (19/44)1st serve return points won(10/38) 26%
• 60% (12/20)2nd serve return points won(7/17) 41%
• 0% Break points converted 0%
• 69% (38/55)Service points won(33/64) 52%
• 48% (31/64)Return points won(17/55) 31%
• 58% (69/119)Total points won(50/119) 42%
• 5 Посл. 10 мячей 5
• 0 Match Points Saved 2
• 80% (8/10)Service games won(5/9) 56%
• 44% (4/9)Return games won(2/10) 20%
• 63% (12/19)Total games won(7/19) 37%

• 0 : 1
  0:15 15:15 15:30 30:30 40:30 BP40:40 40:A
• 1 : 1
  15:0 30:0 40:0
• 1 : 2
  0:15 0:30 0:40
• 2 : 2
  15:0 30:0 40:0
• 2 : 3
  15:0 15:15 30:15 30:30 40:30 BP40:40 40:A 40:40 40:A 40:40 40:A 40:40 40:A
• 3 : 3
  15:0 15:15 15:30 15:40 BP30:40 BP40:40 40:A BP40:40 A:40
• 4 : 3Lost serve
  0:15 15:15 30:15 40:15 BP40:30 BP
• 5 : 3
  15:0 30:0 40:0
• 5 : 4
  15:0 15:15 30:15 40:15 MP40:30 MP40:40 40:A
• 6 : 4
  15:0 30:0 30:15 40:15 MP

Tournament

Biella

Season

2026

• On serve the model gives Alex Barrena 55% of points and Juan Cruz Martin Manzano 57% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
• Most likely score in sets is 0:2 (29%), then 1:2 (27%).
• About 24.4 games expected; over 21.5 — 63%.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Alex Barrena wins	83%5/6	50%5/10	44%	2.27
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano wins	17%1/6	50%5/10	56%	1.79
Alex Barrena wins 1st set	50%3/6	50%5/10	46%	2.17
Deciding set	67%4/6	30%3/10	50%	2.01
Tiebreak in match	33%2/6	10%1/10	31%	3.20
Score in sets
0:2	17%1/6	40%4/10	29%	3.44
1:2	0%0/6	10%1/10	27%	3.73
2:1	67%4/6	20%2/10	23%	4.37
2:0	17%1/6	30%3/10	21%	4.71

Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (6 and 10) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.

Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.

Both teams Alex Barrena Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

• Wins in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Matches without a deciding set: 7 of 1070%
• Under 21.5 games in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 10

Points won on serve: 66% Points won on serve: 56%Before the match: 91%

Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.