Ksenia Zaytseva — Ilay Yoruk 1:2: match report and statistics

• 2 Aces 0
• 10 Double faults 9
• 66% First serve 67%
• 65% (35/54)1st serve points won(45/77) 58%
• 43% (12/28)2nd serve points won(17/38) 45%
• 0% Break points saved 0%
• 42% (32/77)1st serve return points won(19/54) 35%
• 55% (21/38)2nd serve return points won(16/28) 57%
• 0% Break points converted 0%
• 57% (47/82)Service points won(63/117) 54%
• 46% (54/117)Return points won(35/82) 43%
• 51% (101/199)Total points won(98/199) 49%
• 3 Посл. 10 мячей 7
• 1 Match Points Saved 6
• 60% (9/15)Service games won(9/15) 60%
• 40% (6/15)Return games won(6/15) 40%
• 50% (15/30)Total games won(15/30) 50%

• 1 : 0
  15:0 30:0 40:0
• 2 : 0Lost serve
  15:0 30:0 30:15 40:15 BP40:30 BP
• 3 : 0
  15:0 30:0 40:0
• 3 : 1
  0:15 0:30 0:40
• Lost serve3 : 2
  0:15 0:30 15:30 15:40 BP
• 3 : 3
  15:0 30:0 30:15 30:30 40:30 BP40:40 A:40 BP40:40 40:A
• 4 : 3
  0:15 15:15 15:30 30:30 40:30 40:40 A:40
• 5 : 3Lost serve
  0:15 15:15 30:15 30:30 30:40 40:40 A:40 BP40:40 40:A 40:40 A:40 BP40:40 A:40 BP
• Lost serve5 : 4
  0:15 15:15 15:30 30:30 30:40 BP
• 5 : 5
  15:0 15:15 30:15 30:30 40:30 MP40:40 A:40 MP40:40 A:40 MP40:40 A:40 MP40:40 A:40 MP40:40 40:A 40:40 A:40 MP40:40 40:A
• Lost serve5 : 6
  0:15 0:30 15:30 15:40 BP
• 5 : 7
  15:0 15:15 15:30 15:40 MP30:40 MP

Tournament

Ankara

Season

2026

• On serve the model gives Ksenia Zaytseva 60% of points and Ilay Yoruk 44% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
• Most likely score in sets is 2:0 (86%), then 2:1 (13%).
• About 18.3 games expected; over 21.5 — 18%.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Ksenia Zaytseva wins	89%8/9	40%4/10	98%	1.02
Ilay Yoruk wins	11%1/9	60%6/10	2%	64.13
Ksenia Zaytseva wins 1st set	78%7/9	40%4/10	93%	1.08
Deciding set	22%2/9	30%3/10	14%	7.30
Tiebreak in match	11%1/9	0%0/10	10%	10.33
Score in sets
2:0	67%6/9	20%2/10	86%	1.17
2:1	22%2/9	20%2/10	13%	7.89
1:2	0%0/9	10%1/10	1%	98.76
0:2	11%1/9	50%5/10	1%	—

Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (9 and 10) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.

Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.

Both teams Ksenia Zaytseva Ilay Yoruk

• 6 wins in a row100%
• Wins in 8 of 9 matches89%
• Won the 1st set in 7 of 9 matches78%
• Matches without a deciding set: 7 of 978%
• Under 21.5 games in 7 of 9 matches78%
• Matches without a deciding set: 7 of 1070%
• Under 21.5 games in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 9, away team — 10

Points won on serve: 59% Points won on serve: 56%Before the match: 65%

Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.