Alice Tubello — Julia Grabher 1:2: match report and statistics
WTA. Tolentino · 24.09.2026 10:35 · Finished
Compare teamsWho will win?
Votes: 0- Alice Tubello0%
- Draw0%
- Julia Grabher0%
Overview
Alice Tubello vs Julia Grabher ended 1:2 on 24.09.2026 10:35 (UTC) in WTA. Tolentino. Julia Grabher took the victory.
Form of Alice Tubello in the last 6 matches: wins 3, draws 0, defeats 3. Form of Julia Grabher in the last 6 matches: wins 4, draws 0, defeats 2.
Statistics and results: Alice Tubello, Julia Grabher, WTA. Tolentino.
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Score by periods
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | Σ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | |
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 2 |
Match statistics
- 0 Aces 1
- 2 Double faults 7
- 76% First serve 72%
- 67% (41/61)1st serve points won(46/71) 65%
- 53% (10/19)2nd serve points won(12/28) 43%
- 0% Break points saved 0%
- 35% (25/71)1st serve return points won(20/61) 33%
- 57% (16/28)2nd serve return points won(9/19) 47%
- 0% Break points converted 0%
- 63% (51/81)Service points won(58/99) 59%
- 41% (41/99)Return points won(30/81) 37%
- 51% (92/180)Total points won(88/180) 49%
- 6 Посл. 10 мячей 4
- 2 Match Points Saved 0
- 71% (10/14)Service games won(11/14) 79%
- 21% (3/14)Return games won(4/14) 29%
- 46% (13/28)Total games won(15/28) 54%
Game by game
- 1 : 015:0 30:0 40:0 40:15
- 1 : 115:0 15:15 15:30 15:40 30:40
- 2 : 10:15 15:15 30:15 30:30 40:30
- 2 : 20:15 15:15 30:15 30:30 30:40
- 3 : 215:0 30:0 40:0
- 3 : 315:0 15:15 15:30 15:40
- Lost serve3 : 40:15 0:30 15:30 15:40 BP
- 3 : 515:0 15:15 15:30 15:40
- 4 : 515:0 30:0 40:0
- 4 : 60:15 0:30 0:40 MP15:40 MP30:40 MP
Head-to-head
Alice TubelloMatches played: 0
draws: 0
Julia GrabherPrevious matches: Alice Tubello
Previous matches: Julia Grabher
Match info
- Tournament
- Tolentino
- Season
- 2026
Upcoming matches: Alice Tubello
WTA. Tolentino
Match forecast and markets
- On serve the model gives Alice Tubello 58% of points and Julia Grabher 52% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
- Most likely score in sets is 2:0 (48%), then 2:1 (30%).
- About 23.2 games expected; over 21.5 — 54%.
| Market | Model | Fair odds | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alice Tubello wins | 50%3/6 | 33%2/6 | 77% | 1.30 |
| Julia Grabher wins | 50%3/6 | 67%4/6 | 23% | 4.38 |
| Alice Tubello wins 1st set | 83%5/6 | 50%3/6 | 69% | 1.45 |
| Deciding set | 33%2/6 | 33%2/6 | 43% | 2.34 |
| Tiebreak in match | 33%2/6 | 17%1/6 | 26% | 3.79 |
| Score in sets | ||||
| 2:0 | 50%3/6 | 33%2/6 | 48% | 2.10 |
| 2:1 | 0%0/6 | 0%0/6 | 30% | 3.39 |
| 1:2 | 33%2/6 | 33%2/6 | 13% | 7.55 |
| 0:2 | 17%1/6 | 33%2/6 | 10% | 10.42 |
Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (6 and 6) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.
Players' style of play
Alice Tubellomatches: 6
Strengths
- Double faults per match 1.5 (avg 3.7)Very strong
- First serve in 71% (avg 64%)Very strong
- Return games won 50% (avg 39%)Very strong
- Points won on 2nd serve 50% (avg 46%)Strong
- Return points won 50% (avg 45%)Strong
Weaknesses
- Aces per match 0.8 (avg 1.2)Weak
- Points won on 1st serve 56% (avg 59%)Weak
- Closing out after winning 1st set 3/5Weak
- Aces per match
- 0.8
- Double faults per match
- 1.5
- First serve in
- 71%
- Service games held
- 63%
- Return games won
- 50%
Julia Grabhermatches: 6
Strengths
- Aces per match 1.8 (avg 1.2)Very strong
- Points won on 1st serve 65% (avg 59%)Strong
- Closing out after winning 1st set 3/3Strong
Weaknesses
- Double faults per match 6.2 (avg 3.7)Very weak
- First serve in 55% (avg 64%)Very weak
- Points won on 2nd serve 42% (avg 46%)Weak
- Return points won 41% (avg 45%)Weak
- Return games won 33% (avg 39%)Weak
- Aces per match
- 1.8
- Double faults per match
- 6.2
- First serve in
- 55%
- Service games held
- 61%
- Return games won
- 33%
What to expect
- Alice Tubello will break Julia Grabher's serveLikely
- Julia Grabher will hit many aces — 1.8 per match on averageVery likely
- Julia Grabher makes many double faults — 6.2 per matchVery likely
Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.
Trends
Won the 1st set in 5 of 6 matches83%
Over 18.5 games in 5 of 6 matches83%
Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6
Win probability
Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.