Alice Tubello — Julia Grabher 1:2: match report and statistics

WTA. Tolentino · 24.09.2026 10:35 · Finished

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Who will win?

Votes: 0
  • Alice Tubello0%
  • Draw0%
  • Julia Grabher0%

Overview

Alice Tubello vs Julia Grabher ended 1:2 on 24.09.2026 10:35 (UTC) in WTA. Tolentino. Julia Grabher took the victory.

Form of Alice Tubello in the last 6 matches: wins 3, draws 0, defeats 3. Form of Julia Grabher in the last 6 matches: wins 4, draws 0, defeats 2.

Statistics and results: Alice Tubello, Julia Grabher, WTA. Tolentino.

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Score by periods

Team123Σ
Alice Tubello
6341
Julia Grabher
3662

Match statistics

  • 0 Aces 1
  • 2 Double faults 7
  • 76% First serve 72%
  • 67% (41/61)1st serve points won(46/71) 65%
  • 53% (10/19)2nd serve points won(12/28) 43%
  • 0% Break points saved 0%
  • 35% (25/71)1st serve return points won(20/61) 33%
  • 57% (16/28)2nd serve return points won(9/19) 47%
  • 0% Break points converted 0%
  • 63% (51/81)Service points won(58/99) 59%
  • 41% (41/99)Return points won(30/81) 37%
  • 51% (92/180)Total points won(88/180) 49%
  • 6 Посл. 10 мячей 4
  • 2 Match Points Saved 0
  • 71% (10/14)Service games won(11/14) 79%
  • 21% (3/14)Return games won(4/14) 29%
  • 46% (13/28)Total games won(15/28) 54%

Game by game

Alice Tubello
Julia Grabher
4/5Service games won5/50Breaks10Break points converted1/1
  • 1 : 0
    15:0 30:0 40:0 40:15
  • 1 : 1
    15:0 15:15 15:30 15:40 30:40
  • 2 : 1
    0:15 15:15 30:15 30:30 40:30
  • 2 : 2
    0:15 15:15 30:15 30:30 30:40
  • 3 : 2
    15:0 30:0 40:0
  • 3 : 3
    15:0 15:15 15:30 15:40
  • Lost serve3 : 4
    0:15 0:30 15:30 15:40 BP
  • 3 : 5
    15:0 15:15 15:30 15:40
  • 4 : 5
    15:0 30:0 40:0
  • 4 : 6
    0:15 0:30 0:40 MP15:40 MP30:40 MP

Head-to-head

Matches played: 0
draws: 0

0 / 0
Wins
0 / 0
0 / 0
Points
0 / 0
Matches

Previous matches: Alice Tubello

Previous matches: Julia Grabher

Match info

Tournament
Tolentino
Season
2026

Upcoming matches: Alice Tubello

05.11.2026Match starts
Leolia Jeanjean18:30Alice Tubello

WTA. Tolentino

Match forecast and markets

Quick readAlice Tubello favourite · 77%Likely score 2:0Expected games 23.2Tiebreak in match 26%
77%Win · Alice Tubello1.30
23%Win · Julia Grabher4.38
23.2Expected games
69%Alice Tubello wins 1st set1.45
26%Tiebreak in match3.79
43%Deciding set2.34
  • On serve the model gives Alice Tubello 58% of points and Julia Grabher 52% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
  • Most likely score in sets is 2:0 (48%), then 2:1 (30%).
  • About 23.2 games expected; over 21.5 — 54%.
MarkethistoryhistoryModelFair odds
Alice Tubello wins50%3/633%2/677%1.30
Julia Grabher wins50%3/667%4/623%4.38
Alice Tubello wins 1st set83%5/650%3/669%1.45
Deciding set33%2/633%2/643%2.34
Tiebreak in match33%2/617%1/626%3.79
Score in sets
2:050%3/633%2/648%2.10
2:10%0/60%0/630%3.39
1:233%2/633%2/613%7.55
0:217%1/633%2/610%10.42

Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (6 and 6) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.

Players' style of play

Alice Tubellomatches: 6

Strengths

  • Double faults per match 1.5 (avg 3.7)Very strong
  • First serve in 71% (avg 64%)Very strong
  • Return games won 50% (avg 39%)Very strong
  • Points won on 2nd serve 50% (avg 46%)Strong
  • Return points won 50% (avg 45%)Strong

Weaknesses

  • Aces per match 0.8 (avg 1.2)Weak
  • Points won on 1st serve 56% (avg 59%)Weak
  • Closing out after winning 1st set 3/5Weak
Aces per match
0.8
Double faults per match
1.5
First serve in
71%
Service games held
63%
Return games won
50%

Julia Grabhermatches: 6

Strengths

  • Aces per match 1.8 (avg 1.2)Very strong
  • Points won on 1st serve 65% (avg 59%)Strong
  • Closing out after winning 1st set 3/3Strong

Weaknesses

  • Double faults per match 6.2 (avg 3.7)Very weak
  • First serve in 55% (avg 64%)Very weak
  • Points won on 2nd serve 42% (avg 46%)Weak
  • Return points won 41% (avg 45%)Weak
  • Return games won 33% (avg 39%)Weak
Aces per match
1.8
Double faults per match
6.2
First serve in
55%
Service games held
61%
Return games won
33%

What to expect

  • Alice Tubello will break Julia Grabher's serveLikely
  • Julia Grabher will hit many aces — 1.8 per match on averageVery likely
  • Julia Grabher makes many double faults — 6.2 per matchVery likely

Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.

Trends

  • Won the 1st set in 5 of 6 matches83%
  • Over 18.5 games in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

Win probability

Points won on serve: 63% Points won on serve: 59%Before the match: 67%

Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.