Alejandro Davidovich Fokina — Matteo Berrettini 1:2: match report and statistics
ATP. Tokyo · 01.10.2026 09:30 · Finished
Compare teamsWho will win?
Votes: 0- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina0%
- Draw0%
- Matteo Berrettini0%
Overview
The ATP. Tokyo match Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – Matteo Berrettini on 01.10.2026 09:30 (UTC) finished 1:2. Matteo Berrettini took the victory.
Form of Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the last 6 matches: wins 5, draws 0, defeats 1. Form of Matteo Berrettini in the last 6 matches: wins 2, draws 0, defeats 4.
Head-to-head meetings: 2. Wins of Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: 1, wins of Matteo Berrettini: 1, draws: 0. The last meeting on 04.09.2022 15:10 ended Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 2:3 Matteo Berrettini.
Related pages: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina statistics, Matteo Berrettini statistics, ATP. Tokyo.
See also Tennis results and fixtures. Want the same statistics on your site? Try the SportAPI statistics widget.
Score by periods
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | Σ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 6 | 6 | 4 | 1 |
 Matteo Berrettini | 1 | 7 | 6 | 2 |
Match statistics
- 4 Aces 16
- 2 Double faults 1
- 68% First serve 70%
- 69% (42/61)1st serve points won(46/67) 69%
- 66% (19/29)2nd serve points won(17/29) 59%
- 0% Break points saved 0%
- 31% (21/67)1st serve return points won(19/61) 31%
- 41% (12/29)2nd serve return points won(10/29) 34%
- 0% Break points converted 0%
- 68% (61/90)Service points won(63/96) 66%
- 34% (33/96)Return points won(29/90) 32%
- 51% (94/186)Total points won(92/186) 49%
- 5 Посл. 10 мячей 5
- 0 Match Points Saved 0
- 87% (13/15)Service games won(11/14) 79%
- 21% (3/14)Return games won(2/15) 13%
- 55% (16/29)Total games won(13/29) 45%
Game by game
- Lost serve0 : 115:0 30:0 30:15 30:30 30:40 BP
- 0 : 215:0 15:15 15:30 15:40
- Lost serve0 : 30:15 15:15 15:30 15:40 BP
- 1 : 3Lost serve0:15 15:15 30:15 30:30 40:30 BP40:40 A:40 BP40:40 40:A 40:40 40:A 40:40 A:40 BP
- 2 : 315:0 30:0 40:0 40:15
- 2 : 40:15 0:30 0:40
- 3 : 40:15 15:15 30:15 40:15
- 3 : 515:0 15:15 15:30 15:40
- 4 : 50:15 0:30 15:30 30:30 40:30
- 4 : 615:0 15:15 15:30 15:40 MP
Head-to-head
Alejandro Davidovich FokinaMatches played: 2
draws: 0
Matteo BerrettiniPrevious matches: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Previous matches: Matteo Berrettini
Match info
- Tournament
- Tokyo
- Season
- 2026
- Referee
- Fergus Murphy
ATP. Tokyo
Match forecast and markets
- On serve the model gives Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 70% of points and Matteo Berrettini 65% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
- Most likely score in sets is 2:0 (44%), then 2:1 (30%).
- About 25.7 games expected; over 21.5 — 70%.
| Market | history | history | Model | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina wins | 80%8/10 | 50%4/8 | 74% | 1.36 |
| Matteo Berrettini wins | 20%2/10 | 50%4/8 | 26% | 3.77 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina wins 1st set | 90%9/10 | 63%5/8 | 66% | 1.51 |
| Deciding set | 30%3/10 | 50%4/8 | 45% | 2.24 |
| Tiebreak in match | 40%4/10 | 63%5/8 | 55% | 1.81 |
| Score in sets | ||||
| 2:0 | 40%4/10 | 0%0/8 | 44% | 2.28 |
| 2:1 | 10%1/10 | 25%2/8 | 30% | 3.38 |
| 1:2 | 10%1/10 | 13%1/8 | 15% | 6.62 |
| 0:2 | 0%0/10 | 0%0/8 | 11% | 8.77 |
Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (10 and 8) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.
Players' style of play
Alejandro Davidovich Fokinamatches: 10
Strengths
- Tiebreaks 5/6Very strong
- Double faults per match 1.8 (avg 3)Strong
- First serve in 67% (avg 64%)Strong
- Points won on 2nd serve 57% (avg 53%)Strong
- Return points won 38% (avg 33%)Strong
- Return games won 22% (avg 14%)Strong
Weaknesses
- Aces per match 6.3 (avg 9.7)Weak
- Deciding sets 1/3Weak
- Aces per match
- 6.3
- Double faults per match
- 1.8
- First serve in
- 67%
- Service games held
- 88%
- Return games won
- 22%
Matteo Berrettinimatches: 8
Strengths
- Aces per match 14.5 (avg 9.7)Strong
- Points won on 1st serve 80% (avg 75%)Strong
- Tiebreaks 7/9Strong
- Comebacks after losing 1st set 2/5Strong
Weaknesses
- Deciding sets 1/4Weak
- Closing out after winning 1st set 2/3Weak
- Aces per match
- 14.5
- Double faults per match
- 3.5
- First serve in
- 64%
- Service games held
- 88%
- Return games won
- 12%
What to expect
- Both hold serve confidently — a tiebreak is possible (55% by the model)Very likely
- Matteo Berrettini will hit many aces — 14.5 per match on averageLikely
Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.
Trends
- Over 21.5 games in 8 of 8 matches100%
- 4 wins in a row100%
- Won the 1st set in 9 of 10 matches90%
- Wins in 8 of 10 matches80%
- Over 21.5 games in 8 of 10 matches80%
- Matches without a deciding set: 7 of 1070%
Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 8
Win probability
Points won on serve: 67% Points won on serve: 63%Before the match: 68%Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.