Adam Walton — Mattia Bellucci 0:2: match report and statistics
Challenger. Jingshan · 01.10.2026 03:10 · Finished
Compare teamsWho will win?
Votes: 0- Adam Walton0%
- Draw0%
- Mattia Bellucci0%
Overview
Final score Adam Walton 0:2 Mattia Bellucci, Challenger. Jingshan, 01.10.2026 03:10 (UTC). Mattia Bellucci took the victory.
Adam Walton, last 6 games: won 3, lost 3. Mattia Bellucci, last 6 games: won 4, lost 2.
All meetings of Adam Walton and Mattia Bellucci: 3 (wins of Adam Walton: 0, wins of Mattia Bellucci: 3). The last meeting on 14.03.2026 21:20 ended Adam Walton 0:2 Mattia Bellucci.
Statistics and results: Adam Walton, Mattia Bellucci, Challenger. Jingshan.
Other games: Tennis results and fixtures.
Score by periods
| Team | 1 | 2 | Σ |
|---|---|---|---|
 Adam Walton | 5 | 2 | 0 |
 Mattia Bellucci | 7 | 6 | 2 |
Match statistics
- 4 Aces 7
- 0 Double faults 2
- 72% First serve 69%
- 54% (25/46)1st serve points won(28/41) 68%
- 33% (6/18)2nd serve points won(10/18) 56%
- 0% Break points saved 0%
- 32% (13/41)1st serve return points won(21/46) 46%
- 44% (8/18)2nd serve return points won(12/18) 67%
- 0% Break points converted 0%
- 48% (31/64)Service points won(38/59) 64%
- 36% (21/59)Return points won(33/64) 52%
- 42% (52/123)Total points won(71/123) 58%
- 3 Посл. 10 мячей 7
- 3 Match Points Saved 0
- 50% (5/10)Service games won(8/10) 80%
- 20% (2/10)Return games won(5/10) 50%
- 35% (7/20)Total games won(13/20) 65%
Game by game
- 0 : 115:0 15:15 15:30 15:40
- 1 : 115:0 30:0 40:0
- 1 : 20:15 0:30 15:30 30:30 30:40
- Lost serve1 : 30:15 0:30 0:40 BP
- 1 : 40:15 0:30 0:40
- 2 : 40:15 0:30 15:30 30:30 40:30
- 2 : 515:0 30:0 40:0 BP40:15 BP40:30 BP40:40 40:A
- Lost serve2 : 60:15 0:30 0:40 MP15:40 MP30:40 MP40:40 40:A MP
Head-to-head
Adam WaltonMatches played: 3
draws: 0
Mattia BellucciPrevious matches: Adam Walton
Previous matches: Mattia Bellucci
Match info
- Tournament
- Jingshan
- Season
- 2026
Challenger. Jingshan
Mattia Bellucci
Lloyd HarrisMatch forecast and markets
- On serve the model gives Adam Walton 63% of points and Mattia Bellucci 64% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
- Most likely score in sets is 0:2 (30%), then 1:2 (27%).
- About 25.4 games expected; over 21.5 — 68%.
| Market | history | history | Model | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Walton wins | 60%6/10 | 33%2/6 | 43% | 2.33 |
| Mattia Bellucci wins | 40%4/10 | 67%4/6 | 57% | 1.75 |
| Adam Walton wins 1st set | 70%7/10 | 33%2/6 | 45% | 2.21 |
| Deciding set | 20%2/10 | 0%0/6 | 50% | 2.02 |
| Tiebreak in match | 30%3/10 | 0%0/6 | 45% | 2.23 |
| Score in sets | ||||
| 0:2 | 10%1/10 | 50%3/6 | 30% | 3.34 |
| 1:2 | 20%2/10 | 0%0/6 | 27% | 3.69 |
| 2:1 | 0%0/10 | 0%0/6 | 22% | 4.46 |
| 2:0 | 60%6/10 | 17%1/6 | 21% | 4.88 |
Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (10 and 6) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.
Players' style of play
Adam Waltonmatches: 10
Strengths
- Double faults per match 1.5 (avg 2.8)Strong
- Points won on 1st serve 75% (avg 71%)Strong
- Service games held 83% (avg 75%)Strong
- Return games won 30% (avg 25%)Strong
Weaknesses
- Tiebreaks 1/3Weak
- Comebacks after losing 1st set 0/3Weak
- Aces per match
- 7.1
- Double faults per match
- 1.5
- First serve in
- 64%
- Service games held
- 83%
- Return games won
- 30%
Mattia Belluccimatches: 6
Strengths
- Points won on 1st serve 80% (avg 71%)Very strong
- Aces per match 8.3 (avg 6.4)Strong
- Service games held 82% (avg 75%)Strong
- Return points won 42% (avg 38%)Strong
- Return games won 32% (avg 25%)Strong
- Closing out after winning 1st set 4/4Strong
- Aces per match
- 8.3
- Double faults per match
- 2.7
- First serve in
- 59%
- Service games held
- 82%
- Return games won
- 32%
What to expect
- Both hold serve confidently — a tiebreak is possible (45% by the model)Likely
- Mattia Bellucci will hit many aces — 8.3 per match on averageLikely
Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.
Trends
- Matches without a deciding set: 6 of 6100%
- 3 wins in a row100%
- 3 wins in a row100%
- Matches without a deciding set: 8 of 1080%
- Under 21.5 games in 5 of 6 matches83%
- Won the 1st set in 7 of 10 matches70%
- Under 21.5 games in 7 of 10 matches70%
Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 6
Win probability
Points won on serve: 54% Points won on serve: 63%Before the match: 10%Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.