Elena Malygina — Katie Swan 0:2: match report and statistics

World Tennis. Quinta-do-Lago. Women · 01.10.2026 09:00 · Finished

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Who will win?

Votes: 0
  • Elena Malygina0%
  • Draw0%
  • Katie Swan0%

Overview

The World Tennis. Quinta-do-Lago. Women match Elena Malygina – Katie Swan on 01.10.2026 09:00 (UTC) finished 0:2. The win went to Katie Swan.

Elena Malygina, last 6 games: won 4, drawn 0, lost 2. Katie Swan, last 5 games: won 4, drawn 0, lost 1.

All meetings of Elena Malygina and Katie Swan: 1 (wins of Elena Malygina: 1, wins of Katie Swan: 0, draws: 0). The last meeting on 04.11.2023 10:00 ended Katie Swan 0:1 Elena Malygina.

Related pages: Elena Malygina results and fixtures, Katie Swan results and fixtures, World Tennis. Quinta-do-Lago. Women.

Other games: all Tennis matches of the day. The statistics are powered by the SportAPI sports data API.

Score by periods

Team12Σ
Elena Malygina
440
Katie Swan
662

Match statistics

  • 1 Aces 0
  • 5 Double faults 5
  • 59% First Serve Percentage 65.7%
  • 24 1st serve points won 29
  • 84.4% Second Serve Percentage 78.3%
  • 12 2nd serve points won 8
  • 8 Break points Played 14
  • 4 Break points converted 6
  • 66 Total points won 79
  • 0 Set Points 5
  • 0 Match Points 3

Game by game

Elena Malygina
Katie Swan
2/5Service games won3/52Breaks32/4Break points converted3/3
  • Lost serve0 : 1
    15:0 15:15 30:15 30:30 30:40 BP
  • 0 : 2
    15:0 15:15 15:30 15:40 30:40
  • Lost serve0 : 3
    0:15 15:15 15:30 15:40 BP
  • 0 : 4
    0:15 0:30 0:40 15:40
  • Lost serve0 : 5
    15:0 15:15 30:15 30:30 30:40 BP
  • 1 : 5Lost serve
    0:15 15:15 30:15 30:30 40:30 BP
  • 2 : 5
    15:0 30:0 30:15 30:30 40:30 40:40 A:40
  • 3 : 5Lost serve
    0:15 15:15 15:30 30:30 40:30 BP40:40 40:A MP40:40 A:40 BP40:40 40:A MP40:40 A:40 BP
  • 4 : 5
    15:0 30:0 30:15 40:15 40:30
  • 4 : 6
    15:0 15:15 15:30 15:40 MP

Head-to-head

Matches played: 1
draws: 0

1 / 1
Wins
0 / 1
1 / 1
Points
0 / 1
Matches

Previous matches: Elena Malygina

Previous matches: Katie Swan

Match info

Tournament
Quinta do Lago
Season
2026

Upcoming matches: Katie Swan

05.11.2026Match starts
Katie Swan02:35Rina Saigo

World Tennis. Quinta-do-Lago. Women

Match forecast and markets

Quick readKatie Swan favourite · 58%Likely score 0:2Expected games 24.3Tiebreak in match 30%
42%Win · Elena Malygina2.36
58%Win · Katie Swan1.74
24.3Expected games
45%Elena Malygina wins 1st set2.23
30%Tiebreak in match3.34
49%Deciding set2.02
  • On serve the model gives Elena Malygina 54% of points and Katie Swan 56% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
  • Most likely score in sets is 0:2 (30%), then 1:2 (27%).
  • About 24.3 games expected; over 21.5 — 62%.
MarkethistoryhistoryModelFair odds
Elena Malygina wins70%7/1029%2/742%2.36
Katie Swan wins30%3/1071%5/758%1.74
Elena Malygina wins 1st set50%5/100%0/745%2.23
Deciding set60%6/1043%3/749%2.02
Tiebreak in match20%2/1029%2/730%3.34
Score in sets
0:210%1/1057%4/730%3.30
1:220%2/1014%1/727%3.67
2:140%4/1029%2/722%4.50
2:030%3/100%0/720%4.96

Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (10 and 7) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.

Players' style of play

Elena Malyginamatches: 10

Strengths

  • Comebacks after losing 1st set 3/5Very strong
  • First serve in 69% (avg 63%)Strong
  • Deciding sets 4/6Strong
Aces per match
1.8
Double faults per match
3.9
First serve in
69%
Service games held
61%
Return games won
45%

Katie Swanmatches: 7

Strengths

  • Aces per match 2.7 (avg 1.8)Very strong
  • Service games held 69% (avg 59%)Very strong
  • Points won on 1st serve 66% (avg 61%)Strong
  • Points won on 2nd serve 47% (avg 42%)Strong

Weaknesses

  • Deciding sets 1/3Weak
Aces per match
2.7
Double faults per match
3.6
First serve in
63%
Service games held
69%
Return games won
45%

What to expect

  • Katie Swan will hit many aces — 2.7 per match on averageVery likely

Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.

Trends

  • Won the 1st set in 7 of 7 matches100%
  • Wins in 7 of 10 matches70%
  • Over 21.5 games in 7 of 10 matches70%
  • Wins in 5 of 7 matches71%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 7

Win probability

Points won on serve: 52% Points won on serve: 58%Before the match: 20%

Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.