Jelena Ostapenko — Paula Badosa Gibert 2:0: match report and statistics
WTA. Beijing · 03.10.2026 05:25 · Finished
Compare teamsWho will win?
Votes: 0- Jelena Ostapenko0%
- Draw0%
- Paula Badosa Gibert0%
Overview
Final score Jelena Ostapenko 2:0 Paula Badosa Gibert, WTA. Beijing, 03.10.2026 05:25 (UTC). Jelena Ostapenko took the victory.
Form of Jelena Ostapenko in the last 5 matches: wins 1, draws 0, defeats 4. Form of Paula Badosa Gibert in the last 6 matches: wins 4, draws 0, defeats 2.
Head-to-head meetings: 5. Wins of Jelena Ostapenko: 3, wins of Paula Badosa Gibert: 2, draws: 0. The last meeting on 08.08.2024 21:15 ended Paula Badosa Gibert 1:2 Jelena Ostapenko.
More on the site: Jelena Ostapenko, Paula Badosa Gibert, WTA. Beijing standings and results.
More matches: Tennis results and fixtures. Data on this page is provided by SportAPI Tennis data API.
Score by periods
| Team | 1 | 2 | Σ |
|---|---|---|---|
 Jelena Ostapenko | 7 | 7 | 2 |
 Paula Badosa Gibert | 6 | 5 | 0 |
Match statistics
- 7 Aces 5
- 10 Double faults 3
- 57% First serve 61%
- 64% (30/47)1st serve points won(27/43) 63%
- 50% (18/36)2nd serve points won(12/27) 44%
- 0% Break points saved 0%
- 37% (16/43)1st serve return points won(17/47) 36%
- 56% (15/27)2nd serve return points won(18/36) 50%
- 0% Break points converted 0%
- 58% (48/83)Service points won(39/70) 56%
- 44% (31/70)Return points won(35/83) 42%
- 52% (79/153)Total points won(74/153) 48%
- 7 Посл. 10 мячей 3
- 0 Match Points Saved 0
- 67% (8/12)Service games won(7/12) 58%
- 42% (5/12)Return games won(4/12) 33%
- 54% (13/24)Total games won(11/24) 46%
Game by game
- 1 : 00:15 15:15 30:15 40:15
- 2 : 0Lost serve15:0 15:15 15:30 30:30 30:40 40:40 A:40 BP
- Lost serve2 : 10:15 0:30 0:40 BP15:40 BP
- 2 : 20:15 0:30 15:30 15:40
- 3 : 215:0 30:0 40:0 40:15 40:30
- 3 : 30:15 0:30 0:40 15:40 30:40 40:40 40:A
- Lost serve3 : 415:0 15:15 15:30 15:40 BP30:40 BP
- 3 : 50:15 0:30 0:40
- 4 : 515:0 30:0 40:0 40:15 40:30
- 5 : 5Lost serve15:0 30:0 30:15 40:15 BP
- 6 : 50:15 15:15 30:15 40:15 40:30 40:40 40:A BP40:40 40:A BP40:40 A:40 40:40 A:40
- 7 : 5Lost serve0:15 15:15 30:15 30:30 40:30 MP
Head-to-head
Jelena OstapenkoMatches played: 5
draws: 0
Paula Badosa GibertPrevious matches: Jelena Ostapenko
Previous matches: Paula Badosa Gibert
Match info
- Tournament
- Beijing
- Season
- 2026
- Referee
- Miriam Bley
WTA. Beijing
Match forecast and markets
- On serve the model gives Jelena Ostapenko 55% of points and Paula Badosa Gibert 56% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
- Most likely score in sets is 0:2 (27%), then 1:2 (26%).
- About 24.4 games expected; over 21.5 — 62%.
| Market | history | history | Model | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jelena Ostapenko wins | 60%6/10 | 30%3/10 | 47% | 2.12 |
| Paula Badosa Gibert wins | 40%4/10 | 70%7/10 | 53% | 1.90 |
| Jelena Ostapenko wins 1st set | 60%6/10 | 50%5/10 | 48% | 2.08 |
| Deciding set | 30%3/10 | 30%3/10 | 50% | 2.00 |
| Tiebreak in match | 0%0/10 | 30%3/10 | 31% | 3.28 |
| Score in sets | ||||
| 0:2 | 30%3/10 | 50%5/10 | 27% | 3.72 |
| 1:2 | 10%1/10 | 20%2/10 | 26% | 3.86 |
| 2:1 | 20%2/10 | 10%1/10 | 24% | 4.16 |
| 2:0 | 40%4/10 | 20%2/10 | 23% | 4.31 |
Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (10 and 10) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.
Players' style of play
Jelena Ostapenkomatches: 10
Strengths
- Aces per match 5.3 (avg 3.2)Very strong
- Points won on 1st serve 72% (avg 63%)Very strong
- Service games held 68% (avg 63%)Strong
- Deciding sets 2/3Strong
Weaknesses
- Double faults per match 8.3 (avg 5.8)Weak
- First serve in 54% (avg 58%)Weak
- Aces per match
- 5.3
- Double faults per match
- 8.3
- First serve in
- 54%
- Service games held
- 68%
- Return games won
- 40%
Paula Badosa Gibertmatches: 10
Strengths
- Service games held 68% (avg 63%)Strong
- Return points won 48% (avg 45%)Strong
- Return games won 44% (avg 37%)Strong
- Deciding sets 2/3Strong
- Comebacks after losing 1st set 2/5Strong
- Closing out after winning 1st set 5/5Strong
Weaknesses
- Aces per match 2.2 (avg 3.2)Weak
- Aces per match
- 2.2
- Double faults per match
- 6.9
- First serve in
- 58%
- Service games held
- 68%
- Return games won
- 44%
What to expect
- Jelena Ostapenko will hit many aces — 5.3 per match on averageVery likely
- Jelena Ostapenko makes many double faults — 8.3 per matchLikely
Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.
Trends
- Matches without a deciding set: 7 of 1070%
- Under 21.5 games in 7 of 10 matches70%
- Wins in 7 of 10 matches70%
- Matches without a deciding set: 7 of 1070%
- Under 23.5 games in 7 of 10 matches70%
Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10
Win probability
Points won on serve: 59% Points won on serve: 58%Before the match: 52%Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.