Valentin Vacherot — Arthur Fils 2:1: match report and statistics

ATP. Tokyo · 04.10.2026 07:10 · Finished

Compare teams
HardFergus Murphy (Ireland)

Who will win?

Votes: 0
  • Valentin Vacherot0%
  • Draw0%
  • Arthur Fils0%

Overview

Final score Valentin Vacherot 2:1 Arthur Fils, ATP. Tokyo, 04.10.2026 07:10 (UTC). Valentin Vacherot took the victory.

Form of Valentin Vacherot in the last 6 matches: wins 4, draws 0, defeats 2. Form of Arthur Fils in the last 6 matches: wins 5, draws 0, defeats 1.

Head-to-head meetings: 1. Wins of Valentin Vacherot: 0, wins of Arthur Fils: 1, draws: 0. The last meeting on 24.03.2026 18:00 ended Valentin Vacherot 1:2 Arthur Fils.

More on the site: Valentin Vacherot results and fixtures, Arthur Fils results and fixtures, ATP. Tokyo.

Other games: all Tennis matches of the day. Want the same statistics on your site? Try an embeddable sports statistics widget.

Score by periods

Team123Σ
Valentin Vacherot
7462
Arthur Fils
5641

Match statistics

  • 14 Aces 6
  • 4 Double faults 8
  • 63% First serve 62%
  • 73% (48/66)1st serve points won(44/67) 66%
  • 45% (17/38)2nd serve points won(20/41) 49%
  • 0% Break points saved 0%
  • 34% (23/67)1st serve return points won(18/66) 27%
  • 51% (21/41)2nd serve return points won(21/38) 55%
  • 0% Break points converted 0%
  • 63% (65/104)Service points won(64/108) 59%
  • 41% (44/108)Return points won(39/104) 38%
  • 51% (109/212)Total points won(103/212) 49%
  • 7 Посл. 10 мячей 3
  • 0 Match Points Saved 0
  • 81% (13/16)Service games won(12/16) 75%
  • 25% (4/16)Return games won(3/16) 19%
  • 53% (17/32)Total games won(15/32) 47%

Game by game

Valentin Vacherot
Arthur Fils
4/5Service games won3/52Breaks12/4Break points converted1/2
  • 1 : 0
    15:0 15:15 15:30 30:30 30:40 BP40:40 A:40
  • 1 : 1
    0:15 0:30 0:40 15:40
  • 2 : 1
    15:0 15:15 30:15 40:15
  • 2 : 2
    15:0 15:15 30:15 30:30 30:40 40:40 40:A
  • Lost serve2 : 3
    15:0 15:15 15:30 30:30 30:40 BP
  • 2 : 4
    0:15 15:15 30:15 30:30 40:30 BP40:40 40:A 40:40 40:A
  • 3 : 4
    15:0 30:0 40:0
  • 4 : 4Lost serve
    0:15 15:15 15:30 30:30 40:30 BP40:40 A:40 BP
  • 5 : 4
    15:0 30:0 30:15 40:15
  • 6 : 4Lost serve
    0:15 0:30 15:30 30:30 40:30 MP

Head-to-head

Matches played: 1
draws: 0

0 / 1
Wins
1 / 1
1 / 3
Points
2 / 3
Matches

Previous matches: Valentin Vacherot

Previous matches: Arthur Fils

Match info

Tournament
Tokyo
Season
2026
Referee
Fergus Murphy

ATP. Tokyo

Match forecast and markets

Quick readArthur Fils favourite · 77%Likely score 0:2Expected games 24.9Tiebreak in match 48%
23%Win · Valentin Vacherot4.42
77%Win · Arthur Fils1.29
24.9Expected games
31%Valentin Vacherot wins 1st set3.25
48%Tiebreak in match2.10
43%Deciding set2.35
  • On serve the model gives Valentin Vacherot 63% of points and Arthur Fils 69% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
  • Most likely score in sets is 0:2 (48%), then 1:2 (29%).
  • About 24.9 games expected; over 21.5 — 64%.
MarkethistoryhistoryModelFair odds
Valentin Vacherot wins67%6/913%1/823%4.42
Arthur Fils wins33%3/988%7/877%1.29
Valentin Vacherot wins 1st set56%5/913%1/831%3.25
Deciding set22%2/938%3/843%2.35
Tiebreak in match67%6/913%1/848%2.10
Score in sets
0:222%2/950%4/848%2.09
1:20%0/938%3/829%3.39
2:122%2/90%0/813%7.61
2:022%2/90%0/89%10.53

Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (9 and 8) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.

Players' style of play

Valentin Vacherotmatches: 9

Strengths

  • Tiebreaks 6/7Very strong
  • Aces per match 11.6 (avg 8.4)Strong
  • Points won on 1st serve 79% (avg 75%)Strong
  • Closing out after winning 1st set 5/5Strong

Weaknesses

  • Double faults per match 4.7 (avg 3.1)Weak
Aces per match
11.6
Double faults per match
4.7
First serve in
64%
Service games held
85%
Return games won
14%

Arthur Filsmatches: 8

Strengths

  • Points won on 2nd serve 60% (avg 51%)Very strong
  • Return points won 41% (avg 34%)Very strong
  • Return games won 30% (avg 17%)Very strong
  • Deciding sets 3/3Very strong
  • Double faults per match 2.1 (avg 3.1)Strong
  • Service games held 88% (avg 83%)Strong
Aces per match
8.3
Double faults per match
2.1
First serve in
61%
Service games held
88%
Return games won
30%

What to expect

  • Valentin Vacherot will hit many aces — 11.6 per match on averageLikely
  • Valentin Vacherot makes many double faults — 4.7 per matchLikely
  • Arthur Fils will break Valentin Vacherot's serveLikely

Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.

Trends

  • 4 wins in a row100%
  • Over 21.5 games in 8 of 9 matches89%
  • Wins in 7 of 8 matches88%
  • Won the 1st set in 7 of 8 matches88%
  • Matches without a deciding set: 7 of 978%
  • Under 22.5 games in 6 of 8 matches75%

Based on recent matches: home team — 9, away team — 8

Win probability

Points won on serve: 62% Points won on serve: 60%Before the match: 62%

Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.