Valentin Vacherot — Arthur Fils 2:1: match report and statistics
ATP. Tokyo · 04.10.2026 07:10 · Finished
Compare teamsWho will win?
Votes: 0- Valentin Vacherot0%
- Draw0%
- Arthur Fils0%
Overview
Final score Valentin Vacherot 2:1 Arthur Fils, ATP. Tokyo, 04.10.2026 07:10 (UTC). Valentin Vacherot took the victory.
Form of Valentin Vacherot in the last 6 matches: wins 4, draws 0, defeats 2. Form of Arthur Fils in the last 6 matches: wins 5, draws 0, defeats 1.
Head-to-head meetings: 1. Wins of Valentin Vacherot: 0, wins of Arthur Fils: 1, draws: 0. The last meeting on 24.03.2026 18:00 ended Valentin Vacherot 1:2 Arthur Fils.
More on the site: Valentin Vacherot results and fixtures, Arthur Fils results and fixtures, ATP. Tokyo.
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Score by periods
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | Σ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 4 | 6 | 2 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 1 |
Match statistics
- 14 Aces 6
- 4 Double faults 8
- 63% First serve 62%
- 73% (48/66)1st serve points won(44/67) 66%
- 45% (17/38)2nd serve points won(20/41) 49%
- 0% Break points saved 0%
- 34% (23/67)1st serve return points won(18/66) 27%
- 51% (21/41)2nd serve return points won(21/38) 55%
- 0% Break points converted 0%
- 63% (65/104)Service points won(64/108) 59%
- 41% (44/108)Return points won(39/104) 38%
- 51% (109/212)Total points won(103/212) 49%
- 7 Посл. 10 мячей 3
- 0 Match Points Saved 0
- 81% (13/16)Service games won(12/16) 75%
- 25% (4/16)Return games won(3/16) 19%
- 53% (17/32)Total games won(15/32) 47%
Game by game
- 1 : 015:0 15:15 15:30 30:30 30:40 BP40:40 A:40
- 1 : 10:15 0:30 0:40 15:40
- 2 : 115:0 15:15 30:15 40:15
- 2 : 215:0 15:15 30:15 30:30 30:40 40:40 40:A
- Lost serve2 : 315:0 15:15 15:30 30:30 30:40 BP
- 2 : 40:15 15:15 30:15 30:30 40:30 BP40:40 40:A 40:40 40:A
- 3 : 415:0 30:0 40:0
- 4 : 4Lost serve0:15 15:15 15:30 30:30 40:30 BP40:40 A:40 BP
- 5 : 415:0 30:0 30:15 40:15
- 6 : 4Lost serve0:15 0:30 15:30 30:30 40:30 MP
Head-to-head
Valentin VacherotMatches played: 1
draws: 0
Arthur FilsPrevious matches: Valentin Vacherot
Previous matches: Arthur Fils
Match info
- Tournament
- Tokyo
- Season
- 2026
- Referee
- Fergus Murphy
ATP. Tokyo
Match forecast and markets
- On serve the model gives Valentin Vacherot 63% of points and Arthur Fils 69% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
- Most likely score in sets is 0:2 (48%), then 1:2 (29%).
- About 24.9 games expected; over 21.5 — 64%.
| Market | Model | Fair odds | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentin Vacherot wins | 67%6/9 | 13%1/8 | 23% | 4.42 |
| Arthur Fils wins | 33%3/9 | 88%7/8 | 77% | 1.29 |
| Valentin Vacherot wins 1st set | 56%5/9 | 13%1/8 | 31% | 3.25 |
| Deciding set | 22%2/9 | 38%3/8 | 43% | 2.35 |
| Tiebreak in match | 67%6/9 | 13%1/8 | 48% | 2.10 |
| Score in sets | ||||
| 0:2 | 22%2/9 | 50%4/8 | 48% | 2.09 |
| 1:2 | 0%0/9 | 38%3/8 | 29% | 3.39 |
| 2:1 | 22%2/9 | 0%0/8 | 13% | 7.61 |
| 2:0 | 22%2/9 | 0%0/8 | 9% | 10.53 |
Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (9 and 8) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.
Players' style of play
Valentin Vacherotmatches: 9
Strengths
- Tiebreaks 6/7Very strong
- Aces per match 11.6 (avg 8.4)Strong
- Points won on 1st serve 79% (avg 75%)Strong
- Closing out after winning 1st set 5/5Strong
Weaknesses
- Double faults per match 4.7 (avg 3.1)Weak
- Aces per match
- 11.6
- Double faults per match
- 4.7
- First serve in
- 64%
- Service games held
- 85%
- Return games won
- 14%
Arthur Filsmatches: 8
Strengths
- Points won on 2nd serve 60% (avg 51%)Very strong
- Return points won 41% (avg 34%)Very strong
- Return games won 30% (avg 17%)Very strong
- Deciding sets 3/3Very strong
- Double faults per match 2.1 (avg 3.1)Strong
- Service games held 88% (avg 83%)Strong
- Aces per match
- 8.3
- Double faults per match
- 2.1
- First serve in
- 61%
- Service games held
- 88%
- Return games won
- 30%
What to expect
- Valentin Vacherot will hit many aces — 11.6 per match on averageLikely
- Valentin Vacherot makes many double faults — 4.7 per matchLikely
- Arthur Fils will break Valentin Vacherot's serveLikely
Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.
Trends
4 wins in a row100%
Over 21.5 games in 8 of 9 matches89%
Wins in 7 of 8 matches88%
Won the 1st set in 7 of 8 matches88%
Matches without a deciding set: 7 of 978%
Under 22.5 games in 6 of 8 matches75%
Based on recent matches: home team — 9, away team — 8
Win probability
Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.