Matej Dodig — Andrea Pellegrino 2:1: match report and statistics
Challenger. Braga · 07.10.2026 12:10 · Finished
Compare teamsWho will win?
Votes: 0- Matej Dodig0%
- Draw0%
- Andrea Pellegrino0%
Overview
Final score Matej Dodig 2:1 Andrea Pellegrino, Challenger. Braga, 07.10.2026 12:10 (UTC). The win went to Matej Dodig.
Matej Dodig, last 4 games: won 2, drawn 0, lost 2. Andrea Pellegrino, last 6 games: won 2, drawn 0, lost 4.
Related pages: Matej Dodig results and fixtures, Andrea Pellegrino results and fixtures, Challenger. Braga.
See also all Tennis matches of the day. Scores and statistics come from the SportAPI 3D match tracker.
Score by periods
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | Σ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | 6 | 2 | |
| 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
Match statistics
- 5 Aces 1
- 3 Double faults 2
- 58% First serve 56%
- 78% (32/41)1st serve points won(31/42) 74%
- 67% (20/30)2nd serve points won(15/33) 45%
- 0% Break points saved 0%
- 26% (11/42)1st serve return points won(9/41) 22%
- 55% (18/33)2nd serve return points won(10/30) 33%
- 0% Break points converted 0%
- 74% (51/69)Service points won(47/77) 61%
- 39% (30/77)Return points won(18/69) 26%
- 55% (81/146)Total points won(65/146) 45%
- 8 Посл. 10 мячей 2
- 0 Match Points Saved 0
- 92% (12/13)Service games won(9/12) 75%
- 25% (3/12)Return games won(1/13) 8%
- 60% (15/25)Total games won(10/25) 40%
Game by game
- 1 : 015:0 15:15 15:30 30:30 40:30
- 2 : 0Lost serve0:15 15:15 30:15 40:15 BP
- 3 : 015:0 15:15 15:30 30:30 40:30
- 3 : 10:15 0:30 0:40
- 4 : 115:0 30:0 30:15 40:15 40:30
- 5 : 1Lost serve15:0 30:0 40:0 BP40:15 BP40:30 BP
- 6 : 115:0 30:0 40:0 MP
Head-to-head
Matej DodigMatches played: 0
draws: 0
Andrea PellegrinoThe teams have not met yet
Previous matches: Matej Dodig
Previous matches: Andrea Pellegrino
Match info
- Tournament
- Braga
- Season
- 2026
Upcoming matches: Matej Dodig
Challenger. Braga
Match forecast and markets
- On serve the model gives Matej Dodig 69% of points and Andrea Pellegrino 65% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
- Most likely score in sets is 2:0 (39%), then 2:1 (29%).
- About 25.9 games expected; over 21.5 — 71%.
| Market | Model | Fair odds | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matej Dodig wins | 50%2/4 | 60%6/10 | 68% | 1.48 |
| Andrea Pellegrino wins | 50%2/4 | 40%4/10 | 32% | 3.10 |
| Matej Dodig wins 1st set | 25%1/4 | 60%6/10 | 62% | 1.61 |
| Deciding set | 50%2/4 | 40%4/10 | 47% | 2.12 |
| Tiebreak in match | 75%3/4 | 20%2/10 | 54% | 1.85 |
| Score in sets | ||||
| 2:0 | 25%1/4 | 30%3/10 | 39% | 2.60 |
| 2:1 | 25%1/4 | 30%3/10 | 29% | 3.42 |
| 1:2 | 25%1/4 | 10%1/10 | 18% | 5.60 |
| 0:2 | 25%1/4 | 30%3/10 | 14% | 6.95 |
Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (4 and 10) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.
Players' style of play
Matej Dodigmatches: 4
Strengths
- Double faults per match 0.8 (avg 2.6)Very strong
- First serve in 68% (avg 60%)Very strong
- Points won on 1st serve 79% (avg 72%)Very strong
- Service games held 91% (avg 83%)Strong
Weaknesses
- Return points won 30% (avg 35%)Weak
- Return games won 10% (avg 17%)Weak
- Aces per match
- 6.5
- Double faults per match
- 0.8
- First serve in
- 68%
- Service games held
- 91%
- Return games won
- 10%
Andrea Pellegrinomatches: 10
Strengths
- Tiebreaks 2/3Strong
Weaknesses
- Double faults per match 3.2 (avg 2.6)Weak
- Points won on 1st serve 67% (avg 72%)Weak
- Deciding sets 1/4Weak
- Aces per match
- 4.4
- Double faults per match
- 3.2
- First serve in
- 58%
- Service games held
- 78%
- Return games won
- 18%
What to expect
- Both hold serve confidently — a tiebreak is possible (54% by the model)Likely
- Andrea Pellegrino makes many double faults — 3.2 per matchLikely
Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.
Trends
No data yet
Win probability
Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.