Matej Dodig — Andrea Pellegrino 2:1: match report and statistics

Challenger. Braga · 07.10.2026 12:10 · Finished

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Who will win?

Votes: 0
  • Matej Dodig0%
  • Draw0%
  • Andrea Pellegrino0%

Overview

Final score Matej Dodig 2:1 Andrea Pellegrino, Challenger. Braga, 07.10.2026 12:10 (UTC). The win went to Matej Dodig.

Matej Dodig, last 4 games: won 2, drawn 0, lost 2. Andrea Pellegrino, last 6 games: won 2, drawn 0, lost 4.

Related pages: Matej Dodig results and fixtures, Andrea Pellegrino results and fixtures, Challenger. Braga.

See also all Tennis matches of the day. Scores and statistics come from the SportAPI 3D match tracker.

Score by periods

Team123Σ
Matej Dodig
6362
Andrea Pellegrino
3611

Match statistics

  • 5 Aces 1
  • 3 Double faults 2
  • 58% First serve 56%
  • 78% (32/41)1st serve points won(31/42) 74%
  • 67% (20/30)2nd serve points won(15/33) 45%
  • 0% Break points saved 0%
  • 26% (11/42)1st serve return points won(9/41) 22%
  • 55% (18/33)2nd serve return points won(10/30) 33%
  • 0% Break points converted 0%
  • 74% (51/69)Service points won(47/77) 61%
  • 39% (30/77)Return points won(18/69) 26%
  • 55% (81/146)Total points won(65/146) 45%
  • 8 Посл. 10 мячей 2
  • 0 Match Points Saved 0
  • 92% (12/13)Service games won(9/12) 75%
  • 25% (3/12)Return games won(1/13) 8%
  • 60% (15/25)Total games won(10/25) 40%

Game by game

Matej Dodig
Andrea Pellegrino
4/4Service games won1/32Breaks02/4Break points converted0
  • 1 : 0
    15:0 15:15 15:30 30:30 40:30
  • 2 : 0Lost serve
    0:15 15:15 30:15 40:15 BP
  • 3 : 0
    15:0 15:15 15:30 30:30 40:30
  • 3 : 1
    0:15 0:30 0:40
  • 4 : 1
    15:0 30:0 30:15 40:15 40:30
  • 5 : 1Lost serve
    15:0 30:0 40:0 BP40:15 BP40:30 BP
  • 6 : 1
    15:0 30:0 40:0 MP

Head-to-head

Matches played: 0
draws: 0

0 / 0
Wins
0 / 0
0 / 0
Points
0 / 0
Matches

The teams have not met yet

Previous matches: Matej Dodig

Previous matches: Andrea Pellegrino

Match info

Tournament
Braga
Season
2026

Upcoming matches: Matej Dodig

04.11.2026Match starts
Matej Dodig14:30Michal Krajci

Challenger. Braga

Match forecast and markets

Quick readMatej Dodig favourite · 68%Likely score 2:0Expected games 25.9Tiebreak in match 54%
68%Win · Matej Dodig1.48
32%Win · Andrea Pellegrino3.10
25.9Expected games
62%Matej Dodig wins 1st set1.61
54%Tiebreak in match1.85
47%Deciding set2.12
  • On serve the model gives Matej Dodig 69% of points and Andrea Pellegrino 65% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
  • Most likely score in sets is 2:0 (39%), then 2:1 (29%).
  • About 25.9 games expected; over 21.5 — 71%.
MarkethistoryhistoryModelFair odds
Matej Dodig wins50%2/460%6/1068%1.48
Andrea Pellegrino wins50%2/440%4/1032%3.10
Matej Dodig wins 1st set25%1/460%6/1062%1.61
Deciding set50%2/440%4/1047%2.12
Tiebreak in match75%3/420%2/1054%1.85
Score in sets
2:025%1/430%3/1039%2.60
2:125%1/430%3/1029%3.42
1:225%1/410%1/1018%5.60
0:225%1/430%3/1014%6.95

Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (4 and 10) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.

Players' style of play

Matej Dodigmatches: 4

Strengths

  • Double faults per match 0.8 (avg 2.6)Very strong
  • First serve in 68% (avg 60%)Very strong
  • Points won on 1st serve 79% (avg 72%)Very strong
  • Service games held 91% (avg 83%)Strong

Weaknesses

  • Return points won 30% (avg 35%)Weak
  • Return games won 10% (avg 17%)Weak
Aces per match
6.5
Double faults per match
0.8
First serve in
68%
Service games held
91%
Return games won
10%

Andrea Pellegrinomatches: 10

Strengths

  • Tiebreaks 2/3Strong

Weaknesses

  • Double faults per match 3.2 (avg 2.6)Weak
  • Points won on 1st serve 67% (avg 72%)Weak
  • Deciding sets 1/4Weak
Aces per match
4.4
Double faults per match
3.2
First serve in
58%
Service games held
78%
Return games won
18%

What to expect

  • Both hold serve confidently — a tiebreak is possible (54% by the model)Likely
  • Andrea Pellegrino makes many double faults — 3.2 per matchLikely

Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.

Trends

No data yet

Win probability

Points won on serve: 69% Points won on serve: 62%Before the match: 81%

Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.