Sofia Costoulas — Darya Astakhova 0:1: match report and statistics

WTA. Suzhou · 05.10.2026 05:45 · Finished

Head-to-head: Sofia Costoulas vs Darya Astakhova

Hard

Sofia CostoulasWTA: 163 · seed RET.

Finished0 : 105.10.2026 05:45

Darya Astakhovaseed RET.

Who will win?

Votes: 0

Sofia Costoulas0%
Draw0%
Darya Astakhova0%

Overview

Sofia Costoulas host Darya Astakhova on 05.10.2026 05:45 (UTC) in WTA. Suzhou.

Sofia Costoulas, last 6 games: won 2, lost 4. Darya Astakhova, last 6 games: won 4, lost 2.

Statistics and results: Sofia Costoulas, Darya Astakhova, WTA. Suzhou.

Other games: Tennis results and fixtures.

Score by periods

Team	1	Σ
Sofia Costoulas	3	0
Darya Astakhova	6	1

Match statistics

2 Aces 2
1 Double faults 0
65% First serve 76%
47% (7/15)1st serve points won(11/25) 44%
0% (0/8)2nd serve points won(4/8) 50%
0% Break points saved 0%
56% (14/25)1st serve return points won(8/15) 53%
50% (4/8)2nd serve return points won(8/8) 100%
0% Break points converted 0%
30% (7/23)Service points won(15/33) 45%
55% (18/33)Return points won(16/23) 70%
45% (25/56)Total points won(31/56) 55%
4 Посл. 10 мячей 6
0 Match Points Saved 0
0% (0/4)Service games won(2/5) 40%
60% (3/5)Return games won(4/4) 100%
33% (3/9)Total games won(6/9) 67%

Game by game

Sofia Costoulas

Darya Astakhova

0/4Service games won2/53Breaks43/6Break points converted4/8

0 : 1
0:15 0:30 0:40 15:40
Lost serve0 : 2
15:0 15:15 15:30 15:40 BP
1 : 2Lost serve
15:0 30:0 30:15 40:15 BP
Lost serve1 : 3
0:15 0:30 0:40 BP15:40 BP30:40 BP
2 : 3Lost serve
15:0 30:0 30:15 40:15 BP
Lost serve2 : 4
0:15 0:30 0:40 BP15:40 BP30:40 BP
3 : 4Lost serve
0:15 15:15 15:30 30:30 40:30 BP
Lost serve3 : 5
0:15 0:30 15:30 30:30 30:40 BP
3 : 6
0:15 15:15 15:30 30:30 40:30 BP40:40 A:40 BP40:40 A:40 BP40:40 40:A SP

Head-to-head

Matches played: 0
draws: 0

0 / 0

Wins

0 / 0

Points

0 / 0

Matches

The teams have not met yet

Previous matches: Sofia Costoulas

01.10.2026Finished

29.09.2026Finished

22.09.2026Finished

08.09.2026Finished

04.09.2026Finished

03.09.2026Finished

Previous matches: Darya Astakhova

29.09.2026Finished

28.09.2026Finished

23.09.2026Finished

21.09.2026Finished

20.09.2026Finished

19.09.2026Finished

Match info

Tournament: Suzhou
Season: 2026

WTA. Suzhou

From round:

Round of 32

Oleksandra Oliynykova2

Daria Khomutyanskaya2

Mananchaya Sawangkaew0

Linda Fruhvirtova1

Xinxin Yao0

Aliaksandra Sasnovich2

Round of 16

Oleksandra Oliynykova0

Daria Khomutyanskaya0

Aliaksandra Sasnovich2

Quarter-final

Aliaksandra Sasnovich0

Semi-final

Final

Rebecca Sramkova

Kyoka Okamura

Match forecast and markets

Quick readDarya Astakhova favourite · 55%Likely score 0:2Expected games 24.4Tiebreak in match 32%

45%Win · Sofia Costoulas2.22

55%Win · Darya Astakhova1.82

24.4Expected games

47%Sofia Costoulas wins 1st set2.14

32%Tiebreak in match3.14

50%Deciding set2.01

On serve the model gives Sofia Costoulas 56% of points and Darya Astakhova 57% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
Most likely score in sets is 0:2 (28%), then 1:2 (27%).
About 24.4 games expected; over 21.5 — 63%.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Sofia Costoulas wins	40%4/10	30%3/10	45%	2.22
Darya Astakhova wins	60%6/10	70%7/10	55%	1.82
Sofia Costoulas wins 1st set	70%7/10	50%5/10	47%	2.14
Deciding set	40%4/10	40%4/10	50%	2.01
Tiebreak in match	40%4/10	40%4/10	32%	3.14
Score in sets
0:2	20%2/10	40%4/10	28%	3.51
1:2	40%4/10	30%3/10	27%	3.77
2:1	0%0/10	10%1/10	23%	4.31
2:0	40%4/10	20%2/10	22%	4.59

Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (10 and 10) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.

Players' style of play

Sofia Costoulasmatches: 10

Strengths

Points won on 1st serve 72% (avg 62%)Very strong
Service games held 78% (avg 66%)Very strong
Aces per match 2.4 (avg 1.9)Strong
Double faults per match 2.3 (avg 3.2)Strong
Points won on 2nd serve 50% (avg 46%)Strong

Weaknesses

Deciding sets 0/4Very weak
First serve in 58% (avg 62%)Weak
Return points won 41% (avg 44%)Weak
Return games won 27% (avg 34%)Weak
Comebacks after losing 1st set 0/3Weak
Closing out after winning 1st set 4/7Weak

Aces per match: 2.4
Double faults per match: 2.3
First serve in: 58%
Service games held: 78%
Return games won: 27%

Darya Astakhovamatches: 10

Strengths

First serve in 71% (avg 62%)Very strong
Return games won 45% (avg 34%)Very strong
Points won on 2nd serve 49% (avg 46%)Strong
Return points won 49% (avg 44%)Strong
Tiebreaks 3/4Strong
Deciding sets 3/4Strong
Comebacks after losing 1st set 2/5Strong
Closing out after winning 1st set 5/5Strong

Weaknesses

Aces per match 0.4 (avg 1.9)Very weak
Points won on 1st serve 57% (avg 62%)Weak

Aces per match: 0.4
Double faults per match: 3.3
First serve in: 71%
Service games held: 63%
Return games won: 45%

What to expect

Sofia Costoulas will hit many aces — 2.4 per match on averageLikely
Darya Astakhova will break Sofia Costoulas's serveLikely

Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.

Trends

Won the 1st set in 7 of 10 matches70%
Over 19.5 games in 7 of 10 matches70%
Wins in 7 of 10 matches70%
Over 19.5 games in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Win probability

Points won on serve: 50%

Points won on serve: 55%Before the match: 29%

Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.