Novak Djokovic — Daniil Medvedev 1:0: match report and statistics
ATP. Beijing · 05.10.2026 11:25 · Finished
Head-to-head: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev
Novak DjokovicATP: 11 · seed 6
Daniil MedvedevATP: 6 · seed 3Who will win?
Votes: 0- Novak Djokovic0%
- Draw0%
- Daniil Medvedev0%
Overview
The ATP. Beijing match Novak Djokovic – Daniil Medvedev on 05.10.2026 11:25 (UTC) finished 1:0. The win went to Novak Djokovic.
Form of Novak Djokovic in the last 6 matches: wins 3, defeats 3. Form of Daniil Medvedev in the last 6 matches: wins 6, defeats 0.
Head-to-head meetings: 15. Wins of Novak Djokovic: 9, wins of Daniil Medvedev: 5. The last meeting on 10.09.2023 20:20 ended Daniil Medvedev 0:3 Novak Djokovic.
Statistics and results: Novak Djokovic, Daniil Medvedev, ATP. Beijing.
Other games: all Tennis matches of the day.
Score by periods
| Team | 1 | 2 | Σ |
|---|---|---|---|
 Novak Djokovic | 7 | 5 | 1 |
 Daniil Medvedev | 5 | 3 | 0 |
Match statistics
- 3 Aces 4
- 6 Double faults 3
- 64% First serve 59%
- 71% (41/58)1st serve points won(26/44) 59%
- 39% (13/33)2nd serve points won(13/31) 42%
- 0% Break points saved 0%
- 41% (18/44)1st serve return points won(17/58) 29%
- 58% (18/31)2nd serve return points won(20/33) 61%
- 0% Break points converted 0%
- 59% (54/91)Service points won(39/75) 52%
- 48% (36/75)Return points won(37/91) 41%
- 54% (90/166)Total points won(76/166) 46%
- 7 Посл. 10 мячей 3
- 0 Match Points Saved 0
- 80% (8/10)Service games won(6/10) 60%
- 40% (4/10)Return games won(2/10) 20%
- 60% (12/20)Total games won(8/20) 40%
Game by game
- 1 : 015:0 30:0 40:0 40:15
- 1 : 10:15 0:30 15:30 30:30 40:30 BP40:40 40:A
- 2 : 10:15 0:30 0:40 BP15:40 BP30:40 BP40:40 40:A BP40:40 40:A BP40:40 40:A BP40:40 A:40
- 2 : 215:0 15:15 15:30 15:40 30:40 40:40 40:A
- 3 : 215:0 15:15 15:30 30:30 30:40 BP40:40 40:A BP40:40 A:40
- 4 : 2Lost serve15:0 30:0 30:15 30:30 40:30 BP40:40 A:40 BP
- Lost serve4 : 30:15 15:15 15:30 15:40 BP30:40 BP
- 5 : 3Lost serve0:15 15:15 30:15 40:15 BP
- 5 : 30:15 15:15
Head-to-head
Novak DjokovicMatches played: 15
draws: 1
Daniil MedvedevPrevious matches: Novak Djokovic
Previous matches: Daniil Medvedev
Match info
- Tournament
- Beijing
- Season
- 2026
- Referee
- Mohamed Lahyani
Upcoming matches: Daniil Medvedev
ATP. Beijing
Match forecast and markets
- On serve the model gives Novak Djokovic 63% of points and Daniil Medvedev 71% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
- Most likely score in sets is 0:2 (56%), then 1:2 (28%).
- About 24.5 games expected; over 21.5 — 61%.
| Market | history | history | Model | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novak Djokovic wins | 70%7/10 | 0%0/6 | 16% | 6.23 |
| Daniil Medvedev wins | 30%3/10 | 100%6/6 | 84% | 1.19 |
| Novak Djokovic wins 1st set | 60%6/10 | 0%0/6 | 25% | 3.94 |
| Deciding set | 50%5/10 | 17%1/6 | 38% | 2.64 |
| Tiebreak in match | 60%6/10 | 33%2/6 | 48% | 2.07 |
| Score in sets | ||||
| 0:2 | 0%0/10 | 83%5/6 | 56% | 1.80 |
| 1:2 | 10%1/10 | 17%1/6 | 28% | 3.54 |
| 2:1 | 20%2/10 | 0%0/6 | 10% | 10.41 |
| 2:0 | 10%1/10 | 0%0/6 | 6% | 15.54 |
Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (10 and 6) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.
Players' style of play
Novak Djokovicmatches: 10
Strengths
- Tiebreaks 6/8Strong
- Comebacks after losing 1st set 2/4Strong
Weaknesses
- Double faults per match 4.3 (avg 2.8)Very weak
- Aces per match
- 9.6
- Double faults per match
- 4.3
- First serve in
- 67%
- Service games held
- 87%
- Return games won
- 14%
Daniil Medvedevmatches: 6
Strengths
- Points won on 1st serve 82% (avg 76%)Very strong
- Return points won 39% (avg 32%)Very strong
- Return games won 25% (avg 14%)Very strong
- Service games held 96% (avg 86%)Strong
- Closing out after winning 1st set 6/6Strong
- Aces per match
- 13.3
- Double faults per match
- 2.3
- First serve in
- 67%
- Service games held
- 96%
- Return games won
- 25%
What to expect
- Novak Djokovic makes many double faults — 4.3 per matchVery likely
- Daniil Medvedev will break Novak Djokovic's serveLikely
Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.
Trends
- Over 21.5 games in 10 of 10 matches100%
- Wins in 6 of 6 matches100%
- Won the 1st set in 6 of 6 matches100%
- 6 wins in a row100%
- 3 wins in a row100%
- Matches without a deciding set: 5 of 683%
- Under 22.5 games in 5 of 6 matches83%
- Wins in 7 of 10 matches70%
Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 6
Win probability
Points won on serve: 60% Points won on serve: 55%Before the match: 74%Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.