Bernard Tomic — Timofey Skatov 2:0: match report and statistics

ATP. Shanghai. Qualification · 06.10.2026 04:10 · Finished

Head-to-head: Bernard Tomic vs Timofey Skatov
HardGreg Allensworth (USA)
Bernard TomicATP: 184
Finished2 : 006.10.2026 04:10
Timofey SkatovATP: 204

Who will win?

Votes: 0
  • Bernard Tomic0%
  • Draw0%
  • Timofey Skatov0%

Overview

Final score Bernard Tomic 2:0 Timofey Skatov, ATP. Shanghai. Qualification, 06.10.2026 04:10 (UTC). Bernard Tomic took the victory.

Bernard Tomic, last 5 games: won 3, lost 2. Timofey Skatov, last 6 games: won 4, lost 2.

Statistics and results: Bernard Tomic, Timofey Skatov, ATP. Shanghai. Qualification standings and results.

More matches: Tennis results and fixtures.

Score by periods

Team12Σ
Bernard Tomic
762
Timofey Skatov
540

Match statistics

  • 5 Aces 7
  • 0 Double faults 2
  • 75% First serve 69%
  • 77% (37/48)1st serve points won(34/46) 74%
  • 56% (9/16)2nd serve points won(10/21) 48%
  • 0% Break points saved 0%
  • 26% (12/46)1st serve return points won(11/48) 23%
  • 52% (11/21)2nd serve return points won(7/16) 44%
  • 0% Break points converted 0%
  • 29 Winners 21
  • 13 Unforced errors 22
  • 100 (10/10)Net points won(3/4) 75
  • 72% (46/64)Service points won(44/67) 66%
  • 34% (23/67)Return points won(18/64) 28%
  • 53% (69/131)Total points won(62/131) 47%
  • 5 Посл. 10 мячей 5
  • 0 Match Points Saved 0
  • 100% (11/11)Service games won(9/11) 82%
  • 18% (2/11)Return games won(0/11) 0%
  • 59% (13/22)Total games won(9/22) 41%

Game by game

Bernard Tomic
Timofey Skatov
5/5Service games won4/51Breaks01/2Break points converted0/2
  • 0 : 1
    0:15 0:30 15:30 15:40
  • 1 : 1
    15:0 30:0 30:15 40:15
  • 1 : 2
    0:15 0:30 15:30 15:40 30:40
  • 2 : 2
    0:15 15:15 15:30 30:30 40:30
  • 3 : 2Lost serve
    15:0 15:15 30:15 30:30 40:30 BP
  • 4 : 2
    0:15 0:30 15:30 30:30 30:40 BP40:40 40:A BP40:40 A:40
  • 4 : 3
    15:0 15:15 30:15 30:30 40:30 BP40:40 40:A 40:40 40:A 40:40 40:A
  • 5 : 3
    15:0 15:15 30:15 40:15
  • 5 : 4
    15:0 15:15 15:30 30:30 30:40
  • 6 : 4
    15:0 30:0 30:15 40:15 MP

Head-to-head

Matches played: 0
draws: 0

0 / 0
Wins
0 / 0
0 / 0
Points
0 / 0
Matches

The teams have not met yet

Previous matches: Bernard Tomic

Previous matches: Timofey Skatov

Match info

Tournament
Shanghai
Referee
Greg Allensworth

ATP. Shanghai. Qualification

Match forecast and markets

Quick readBernard Tomic favourite · 71%Likely score 2:0Expected games 24.9Tiebreak in match 43%
71%Win · Bernard Tomic1.41
29%Win · Timofey Skatov3.43
24.9Expected games
64%Bernard Tomic wins 1st set1.56
43%Tiebreak in match2.31
46%Deciding set2.18
  • On serve the model gives Bernard Tomic 66% of points and Timofey Skatov 61% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
  • Most likely score in sets is 2:0 (41%), then 2:1 (30%).
  • About 24.9 games expected; over 21.5 — 65%.
MarkethistoryhistoryModelFair odds
Bernard Tomic wins70%7/1050%5/1071%1.41
Timofey Skatov wins30%3/1050%5/1029%3.43
Bernard Tomic wins 1st set50%5/1040%4/1064%1.56
Deciding set40%4/1020%2/1046%2.18
Tiebreak in match40%4/1040%4/1043%2.31
Score in sets
2:040%4/1040%4/1041%2.42
2:130%3/1010%1/1030%3.39
1:210%1/1010%1/1016%6.10
0:220%2/1040%4/1013%7.84

Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (10 and 10) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.

Players' style of play

Bernard Tomicmatches: 10

Strengths

  • Double faults per match 1 (avg 2.3)Very strong
  • Points won on 1st serve 77% (avg 70%)Very strong
  • Service games held 88% (avg 77%)Very strong
  • Aces per match 8.4 (avg 6.4)Strong
  • Deciding sets 3/4Strong
  • Comebacks after losing 1st set 2/5Strong
  • Closing out after winning 1st set 5/5Strong

Weaknesses

  • Tiebreaks 1/5Weak
Aces per match
8.4
Double faults per match
1
First serve in
67%
Service games held
88%
Return games won
24%

Timofey Skatovmatches: 10

Strengths

  • Points won on 2nd serve 55% (avg 49%)Very strong

Weaknesses

  • Aces per match 2.9 (avg 6.4)Very weak
  • Double faults per match 3 (avg 2.3)Weak
  • First serve in 60% (avg 64%)Weak
  • Points won on 1st serve 65% (avg 70%)Weak
  • Tiebreaks 1/4Weak
  • Comebacks after losing 1st set 0/4Weak
Aces per match
2.9
Double faults per match
3
First serve in
60%
Service games held
75%
Return games won
27%

What to expect

  • Bernard Tomic will hit many aces — 8.4 per match on averageLikely
  • Timofey Skatov makes many double faults — 3 per matchLikely

Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.

Trends

  • 3 wins in a row100%
  • Matches without a deciding set: 8 of 1080%
  • Wins in 7 of 10 matches70%
  • Over 19.5 games in 7 of 10 matches70%
  • Over 19.5 games in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Win probability

Points won on serve: 68% Points won on serve: 64%Before the match: 68%

Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.