Bernard Tomic — Timofey Skatov 2:0: match report and statistics
ATP. Shanghai. Qualification · 06.10.2026 04:10 · Finished
Head-to-head: Bernard Tomic vs Timofey SkatovWho will win?
Votes: 0- Bernard Tomic0%
- Draw0%
- Timofey Skatov0%
Overview
Final score Bernard Tomic 2:0 Timofey Skatov, ATP. Shanghai. Qualification, 06.10.2026 04:10 (UTC). Bernard Tomic took the victory.
Bernard Tomic, last 5 games: won 3, lost 2. Timofey Skatov, last 6 games: won 4, lost 2.
Statistics and results: Bernard Tomic, Timofey Skatov, ATP. Shanghai. Qualification standings and results.
More matches: Tennis results and fixtures.
Score by periods
| Team | 1 | 2 | Σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | 2 | |
| 5 | 4 | 0 |
Match statistics
- 5 Aces 7
- 0 Double faults 2
- 75% First serve 69%
- 77% (37/48)1st serve points won(34/46) 74%
- 56% (9/16)2nd serve points won(10/21) 48%
- 0% Break points saved 0%
- 26% (12/46)1st serve return points won(11/48) 23%
- 52% (11/21)2nd serve return points won(7/16) 44%
- 0% Break points converted 0%
- 29 Winners 21
- 13 Unforced errors 22
- 100 (10/10)Net points won(3/4) 75
- 72% (46/64)Service points won(44/67) 66%
- 34% (23/67)Return points won(18/64) 28%
- 53% (69/131)Total points won(62/131) 47%
- 5 Посл. 10 мячей 5
- 0 Match Points Saved 0
- 100% (11/11)Service games won(9/11) 82%
- 18% (2/11)Return games won(0/11) 0%
- 59% (13/22)Total games won(9/22) 41%
Game by game
- 0 : 10:15 0:30 15:30 15:40
- 1 : 115:0 30:0 30:15 40:15
- 1 : 20:15 0:30 15:30 15:40 30:40
- 2 : 20:15 15:15 15:30 30:30 40:30
- 3 : 2Lost serve15:0 15:15 30:15 30:30 40:30 BP
- 4 : 20:15 0:30 15:30 30:30 30:40 BP40:40 40:A BP40:40 A:40
- 4 : 315:0 15:15 30:15 30:30 40:30 BP40:40 40:A 40:40 40:A 40:40 40:A
- 5 : 315:0 15:15 30:15 40:15
- 5 : 415:0 15:15 15:30 30:30 30:40
- 6 : 415:0 30:0 30:15 40:15 MP
Head-to-head
Bernard TomicMatches played: 0
draws: 0
Timofey SkatovThe teams have not met yet
Previous matches: Bernard Tomic
Previous matches: Timofey Skatov
Match info
- Tournament
- Shanghai
- Referee
- Greg Allensworth
ATP. Shanghai. Qualification
Match forecast and markets
- On serve the model gives Bernard Tomic 66% of points and Timofey Skatov 61% — adjusted for the opponent's return.
- Most likely score in sets is 2:0 (41%), then 2:1 (30%).
- About 24.9 games expected; over 21.5 — 65%.
| Market | Model | Fair odds | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernard Tomic wins | 70%7/10 | 50%5/10 | 71% | 1.41 |
| Timofey Skatov wins | 30%3/10 | 50%5/10 | 29% | 3.43 |
| Bernard Tomic wins 1st set | 50%5/10 | 40%4/10 | 64% | 1.56 |
| Deciding set | 40%4/10 | 20%2/10 | 46% | 2.18 |
| Tiebreak in match | 40%4/10 | 40%4/10 | 43% | 2.31 |
| Score in sets | ||||
| 2:0 | 40%4/10 | 40%4/10 | 41% | 2.42 |
| 2:1 | 30%3/10 | 10%1/10 | 30% | 3.39 |
| 1:2 | 10%1/10 | 10%1/10 | 16% | 6.10 |
| 0:2 | 20%2/10 | 40%4/10 | 13% | 7.84 |
Model: serve and return points of each player in recent matches (10 and 10) → game → set → match. History — share of each player's matches where the market came in.
Players' style of play
Bernard Tomicmatches: 10
Strengths
- Double faults per match 1 (avg 2.3)Very strong
- Points won on 1st serve 77% (avg 70%)Very strong
- Service games held 88% (avg 77%)Very strong
- Aces per match 8.4 (avg 6.4)Strong
- Deciding sets 3/4Strong
- Comebacks after losing 1st set 2/5Strong
- Closing out after winning 1st set 5/5Strong
Weaknesses
- Tiebreaks 1/5Weak
- Aces per match
- 8.4
- Double faults per match
- 1
- First serve in
- 67%
- Service games held
- 88%
- Return games won
- 24%
Timofey Skatovmatches: 10
Strengths
- Points won on 2nd serve 55% (avg 49%)Very strong
Weaknesses
- Aces per match 2.9 (avg 6.4)Very weak
- Double faults per match 3 (avg 2.3)Weak
- First serve in 60% (avg 64%)Weak
- Points won on 1st serve 65% (avg 70%)Weak
- Tiebreaks 1/4Weak
- Comebacks after losing 1st set 0/4Weak
- Aces per match
- 2.9
- Double faults per match
- 3
- First serve in
- 60%
- Service games held
- 75%
- Return games won
- 27%
What to expect
- Bernard Tomic will hit many aces — 8.4 per match on averageLikely
- Timofey Skatov makes many double faults — 3 per matchLikely
Compared with the average of all players in these matches (both players and their opponents). Recent 10 matches.
Trends
3 wins in a row100%
Matches without a deciding set: 8 of 1080%
Wins in 7 of 10 matches70%
Over 19.5 games in 7 of 10 matches70%
Over 19.5 games in 7 of 10 matches70%
Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10
Win probability
Markov model: each player's chance to win a point on serve → game → set → match. Bars below show how much each point mattered.