Montserrat — Dominican Republic 2:1: match report and statistics

Tournament

CONCACAF Nations League

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Grenada	6	4	2	0	8:4	+4	14	WDWDW
2	French Guiana	6	2	2	2	8:6	+2	8	WLLDD
3	Belize	6	2	0	4	6:12	-6	6	LWWLL
4	Saint Kitts and Nevis	6	1	2	3	8:8	0	5	LDLWD

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	El Salvador	6	5	0	1	10:1	+9	15	WWWWL
2	Montserrat	6	2	2	2	4:5	-1	8	WLDLD
3	Dominican Republic	6	2	1	3	5:5	0	7	LLDWW
4	Saint Lucia	6	1	1	4	2:10	-8	4	LWLLD

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Jamaica	6	5	1	0	21:1	+20	16	DWWWW
2	Guyana	6	3	1	2	12:10	+2	10	DWWLL
3	Antigua And Barbuda	6	3	0	3	8:17	-9	9	WLLWW
4	Aruba	6	0	0	6	5:18	-13	0	LLLLL

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Suriname	6	4	1	1	16:5	+11	13	WWLDW
2	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines	6	3	2	1	6:4	+2	11	LWWDW
3	Nicaragua	6	2	1	3	9:11	-2	7	LLWWL
4	Dominica	6	1	0	5	3:14	-11	3	WLLLL

• Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A)
• Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League (League C)

• The model expects 3 goals: 1.5 for Montserrat and 1.5 for Dominican Republic.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (11%), followed by 1–2 (8%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 7 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.08, 2nd — 2.5.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	95%	1.05
Over 1.5	67%	67%	80%	1.25
Over 2.5	67%	67%	58%	1.73
Over 3.5	33%	67%	35%	2.83
Over 4.5	0%	33%	18%	5.41

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (3), away team away (3). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Montserrat Dominican Republic

• Scored in 6 matches in a row100%
• 3 wins in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 3 matches100%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• At least one team failed to score in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

Montserratmatches: 3 · 3Dominican Republic

2.66Avg match total3.3

100%3/3Over 0.5100%3/3

0%0/3Under 0.50%0/3

67%2/3Over 1.567%2/3

33%1/3Under 1.533%1/3

67%2/3Over 2.567%2/3

33%1/3Under 2.533%1/3

33%1/3Over 3.567%2/3

67%2/3Under 3.533%1/3

0%0/3Over 4.533%1/3

100%3/3Under 4.567%2/3

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

MontserratDominican Republic

67%2/3Scores first50%1/2

50%1/2…and wins100%1/1

0%0/2…and draws0%0/1

50%1/2…and loses0%0/1

50%1/2…and then concedes0%0/1

First to concede…

Overall

• • Montserrat opened the scoring in 67% of matches.
• • Montserrat avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.
• • Dominican Republic opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Dominican Republic avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Montserrat				Dominican Republic
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	0	0%	1–15	33%	0	1
0	0	0%	16–30	33%	0	2
1	1	67%	31–45	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	46–60	0%	0	0
2	1	100%	61–75	33%	2	0
1	2	67%	76–90	67%	3	1
1	1	67%	37–HT	0%	0	0
0	2	67%	87–FT	33%	2	0

• • Montserrat scores most in 61–75: 2 of 4 goals (50%).
• • Montserrat concedes most in 76–90: 2 of 4 conceded.
• • Montserrat scores 75% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Dominican Republic scores most in 76–90: 3 of 5 goals (60%).
• • Dominican Republic concedes most in 16–30: 2 of 4 conceded.
• • Dominican Republic scores 100% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.