Wrexham — Birmingham City 1:1: match report and statistics

Ratings are based on the players' stats over the last two seasons.

• 1.58 Expected goals (xG) 1.46
• 41% Possession 59%
• 12 Total shots 8
• 4 Shots on target 3
• 2 Big Chances 3
• 5 Corners 5
• 75 (286/381)Assists(468/559) 84
• 0 Yellow cards 2
• 1.38 xG on target (xGOT) 1.28
• 1 Shots off target 2
• 7 Shots blocked 3
• 7 Shots from inside the penalty area 5
• 5 Shots from outside the penalty area 3
• 0 Hit the woodwork 0
• 1 Goals 0
• 19 Touches in opposition box 12
• 0 Accurate through passes 1
• 3 Offsides 2
• 8 Free kicks 4
• 45 (29/64)Long Balls(21/65) 32
• 62 (80/129)Passes in final third(52/101) 51
• 33 (5/15)Crosses(4/19) 21
• 0.39 Expected assists (xA) 0.9
• 29 Throw-ins 18
• 4 Fouls 8
• 53 (9/17)Tackles(12/16) 75
• 49 Duels won 34
• 32 Clearances 23
• 5 Steals 5
• 0 Errors leading to shot 1
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 2 Saves 3
• 1.28 xGOT faced 1.38
• 0.28 Goals prevented 0.38
• 0 Posts and crossbars 0
• 3 Goal kicks 4

1. 90:00 +5:05Second half ends
2. 90:00 +1:55Christoph Klarer blocks a shot
3. 90:00 +1:55Callum Doyle has shot blocked (Out of box, Left footed, Open play)
4. 87:12Ryan Barnett is substituted on
5. 87:12Issa Kaboré is substituted off
6. 87:10James McClean is substituted on
7. 87:10Ryan Longman is substituted off
8. 87:05Dan Scarr is substituted on
9. 87:05Dominic Hyam is substituted off
10. 83:38Lewis Koumas recieves a yellow card
11. 83:00Kyogo Furuhashi is caught offside
12. 82:30Alex Cochrane recieves a yellow card
13. 81:47Matty James blocks a shot
14. 81:47Paik Seung-Ho has shot blocked (18-yard box, Right footed, Throw-in set piece)
15. 80:07Tommy Doyle is substituted on

WrexhamBirmingham City

General

Attack

Defence

Goals / Shots (Conversion)

Passes per match

Top scorers

Top assists

Best rated

Tournament

England. Championship

Season

2025/2026

Attendance

10,669

Referee

Robert Madley

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Coventry City	46	28	11	7	97:45	+52	95	WWWDD
2	Ipswich Town	46	23	15	8	80:47	+33	84	WDDWD
3	Millwall	46	24	11	11	64:49	+15	83	WDWWD
4	Southampton	46	22	14	10	82:56	+26	80	WDDWW
5	Middlesbrough	46	22	14	10	72:47	+25	80	DWWDL
6	Hull City	46	21	10	15	70:66	+4	73	WLDDL
7	Wrexham	46	19	14	13	69:65	+4	71	DLWWL
8	Derby County	46	20	9	17	67:59	+8	69	LWLWL
9	Norwich City	46	19	8	19	63:56	+7	65	LDWWL
10	Birmingham City	46	17	13	16	57:56	+1	64	DWWDW
11	Swansea City	46	18	10	18	57:59	-2	64	WDWLW
12	Bristol City	46	17	11	18	59:59	0	62	WLDLD
13	Sheffield United	46	18	6	22	66:66	0	60	WLLWW
14	Preston North End	46	15	15	16	55:62	-7	60	LWLLW
15	Queens Park Rangers	46	16	10	20	61:73	-12	58	LLLLD
16	Watford	46	14	15	17	53:65	-12	57	LLLLL
17	Stoke City	46	15	10	21	51:56	-5	55	LLLLD
18	Portsmouth	46	14	13	19	49:64	-15	55	DWLWW
19	Charlton Athletic	46	13	14	19	44:58	-14	53	LWLDL
20	Blackburn Rovers	46	13	13	20	42:56	-14	52	LWDLD
21	West Bromwich Albion	46	13	14	19	48:58	-10	51	LDWWD
22	Oxford United	46	11	14	21	45:59	-14	47	LWLLW
23	Leicester City	46	12	16	18	58:68	-10	46	WDDLL
24	Sheffield Wednesday	46	2	12	32	29:89	-60	0	WLLDD

• Promotion - Premier League
• Promotion - Championship (Play-off: Round of 4)
• Relegation - First League

• The model expects 2.63 goals: 1.63 for Wrexham and 1 for Birmingham City.
• Most likely score is 1–0 (12%), followed by 1–1 (12%).
• Corners: about 9.8 (4.3 — 5.5).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 61-75: 5 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 0.88, 2nd — 1.75.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	93%	1.08
Over 1.5	100%	75%	74%	1.36
Over 2.5	50%	50%	49%	2.05
Over 3.5	50%	0%	27%	3.71
Over 4.5	0%	0%	13%	7.93

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (4), away team away (4). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Wrexham Birmingham City

• Scored in 7 matches in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 4 matches100%
• Under 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 7 of 7 matches100%
• Under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8 matches88%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 7 of 8 matches88%
• Under 9.5 corners in 7 of 8 matches88%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 6 of 7 matches86%
• Both teams scored in 6 of 7 matches86%
• Under 4.5 cards in 6 of 7 matches86%
• Scored under 1.5 in 6 of 8 matches75%
• Over 3.5 cards in 6 of 8 matches75%

Based on recent matches: home team — 7, away team — 8

Wrexhammatches: 4 · 4Birmingham City

3.0Avg match total2.25

100%4/4Over 0.5100%4/4

0%0/4Under 0.50%0/4

100%4/4Over 1.575%3/4

0%0/4Under 1.525%1/4

50%2/4Over 2.550%2/4

50%2/4Under 2.550%2/4

50%2/4Over 3.50%0/4

50%2/4Under 3.5100%4/4

0%0/4Over 4.50%0/4

100%4/4Under 4.5100%4/4

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

WrexhamBirmingham City

75%3/4Scores first0%0/4

33%1/3…and wins—

67%2/3…and draws—

0%0/3…and loses—

67%2/3…and then concedes—

First to concede…

Overall

• • Wrexham opened the scoring in 75% of matches.
• • Wrexham avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Birmingham City opened the scoring in 0% of matches.
• • Birmingham City avoided defeat after conceding first in 25% of such matches.

Wrexham				Birmingham City
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	0	25%	1–15	25%	0	1
0	0	0%	16–30	50%	0	2
1	2	50%	31–45	0%	0	0
2	0	50%	46–60	50%	0	2
2	3	100%	61–75	0%	0	0
0	1	25%	76–90	75%	2	2
0	1	25%	37–HT	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	87–FT	50%	2	1

• • Wrexham scores most in 46–60: 2 of 6 goals (33%).
• • Wrexham concedes most in 61–75: 3 of 6 conceded.
• • Wrexham scores 33% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Birmingham City scores most in 76–90: 2 of 2 goals (100%).
• • Birmingham City concedes most in 16–30: 2 of 7 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

WrexhamBirmingham City

5.5Corners won, avg4.8

6.3Corners conceded, avg3.0

11.8Match corners, avg7.8

1.5Corners in 1st half, avg2.25

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Wrexhamper matchBirmingham City

1.62xG for0.9

1.33xG against0.93

15.0Shots7.8

13.0Shots against8.0

5.8Shots on target1.25

5.0On target against3.0

10%Conversion6%

10.0Shots per goal15.5

7.8Fouls13.0

2.25Offsides1.0

• • Wrexham scores 0.12 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Wrexham concedes 0.17 per match more than opponents' xG.
• • Birmingham City scores 0.4 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Birmingham City concedes 0.82 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 3 · 3.67 goals per match on average.