Manta — Barcelona Sporting Club 2:0: match report and statistics

• 1.35 Expected goals (xG) 1.02
• 36% Possession 64%
• 12 Total shots 10
• 4 Shots on target 2
• 2 Big Chances 0
• 2 Corners 5
• 66 (165/249)Assists(351/433) 81
• 3 Yellow cards 3
• 1.27 xG on target (xGOT) 0.2
• 6 Shots off target 3
• 2 Shots blocked 5
• 7 Shots from inside the penalty area 8
• 5 Shots from outside the penalty area 2
• 0 Hit the woodwork 0
• 13 Touches in opposition box 23
• 0 Accurate through passes 1
• 5 Offsides 1
• 11 Free kicks 14
• 38 (26/68)Long Balls(28/52) 54
• 65 (62/96)Passes in final third(71/119) 60
• 25 (3/12)Crosses(3/22) 14
• 0.37 Expected assists (xA) 0.69
• 15 Throw-ins 24
• 14 Fouls 11
• 77 (17/22)Tackles(7/8) 88
• 58 Duels won 49
• 32 Clearances 21
• 10 Steals 6
• 0 Errors leading to shot 1
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 2 Saves 2
• 0.2 xGOT faced 1.27
• 0.2 Goals prevented -0.73
• 9 Goal kicks 6

Tournament

Ecuador. Serie A (Relegation Group)

Season

2026

Referee

Alex Cajas

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Independiente del Valle	30	24	2	4	73:33	+40	74	WWLDW
2	Universidad Catolica Quito	30	14	9	7	51:27	+24	51	WWDDW
3	Club Social y Deportivo Macara	30	15	6	9	41:33	+8	51	WLWWL
4	SD Aucas	30	14	8	8	33:28	+5	50	DDDWW
5	Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito	30	13	7	10	31:24	+7	46	DWDLW
6	Barcelona Sporting Club	30	11	11	8	32:25	+7	44	DDWLW
7	Libertad Loja	30	11	8	11	33:34	-1	41	LWDLW
8	Leones Del Norte	30	10	9	11	31:32	-1	39	LDWLL
9	Guayaquil City	30	10	9	11	33:36	-3	39	WLLWW
10	Emelec	30	10	9	11	25:34	-9	39	LWDWL
11	Mushuc Runa	30	9	11	10	35:38	-3	38	LDDWD
12	Deportivo Cuenca	30	10	6	14	25:37	-12	36	DLWLD
13	Orense Sporting Club	30	9	6	15	36:47	-11	33	LWLLL
14	Tecnico Universitario	30	10	2	18	28:42	-14	32	WLLWL
15	Delfin	30	7	7	16	19:31	-12	28	DLWLL
16	Manta	30	5	6	19	17:42	-25	21	DLLWL

• Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship - Play-off)
• Promotion - Liga Pro (Places)
• Liga Pro (Relegation Group)

• The model expects 1.65 goals: 0.9 for Manta and 0.75 for Barcelona Sporting Club.
• Most likely score is 0–0 (19%), followed by 1–0 (17%).
• Corners: about 9.3 (5.1 — 4.2).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 10 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 0.9, 2nd — 0.8.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	80%	80%	81%	1.24
Over 1.5	40%	60%	49%	2.04
Over 2.5	20%	40%	23%	4.35
Over 3.5	0%	10%	9%	11.65
Over 4.5	0%	0%	3%	37.67

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (10), away team away (10). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Manta Barcelona Sporting Club

• Under 3.5 goals in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Scored under 1.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Scored under 1.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Under 10.5 corners in 6 of 7 matches86%
• Under 9.5 corners in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Under 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Lost 7 of 10 matches70%
• Over 2.5 cards in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Over 3.5 cards in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Mantamatches: 10 · 10Barcelona Sporting Club

1.4Avg match total1.9

80%8/10Over 0.580%8/10

20%2/10Under 0.520%2/10

40%4/10Over 1.560%6/10

60%6/10Under 1.540%4/10

20%2/10Over 2.540%4/10

80%8/10Under 2.560%6/10

0%0/10Over 3.510%1/10

100%10/10Under 3.590%9/10

0%0/10Over 4.50%0/10

100%10/10Under 4.5100%10/10

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

MantaBarcelona Sporting Club

13%1/8Scores first38%3/8

100%1/1…and wins0%0/3

0%0/1…and draws33%1/3

0%0/1…and loses67%2/3

0%0/1…and then concedes100%3/3

First to concede…

Overall

• • Manta opened the scoring in 13% of matches.
• • Manta avoided defeat after conceding first in 29% of such matches.
• • Barcelona Sporting Club opened the scoring in 38% of matches.
• • Barcelona Sporting Club avoided defeat after conceding first in 40% of such matches.

Manta				Barcelona Sporting Club
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	2	20%	1–15	30%	0	3
1	1	20%	16–30	30%	2	1
0	3	30%	31–45	20%	1	1
0	0	0%	46–60	0%	0	0
2	1	30%	61–75	20%	2	0
1	2	30%	76–90	50%	2	5
0	2	20%	37–HT	20%	1	1
0	2	20%	87–FT	30%	1	3

• • Manta scores most in 61–75: 2 of 5 goals (40%).
• • Manta concedes most in 31–45: 3 of 9 conceded.
• • Manta scores 60% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Barcelona Sporting Club scores most in 16–30: 2 of 7 goals (29%).
• • Barcelona Sporting Club concedes most in 76–90: 5 of 10 conceded.
• • Barcelona Sporting Club scores 57% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

MantaBarcelona Sporting Club

5.8Corners won, avg4.1

4.3Corners conceded, avg4.4

10.1Match corners, avg8.6

1.8Corners in 1st half, avg2.0

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Mantaper matchBarcelona Sporting Club

1.27xG for0.69

0.83xG against1.3

13.3Shots12.9

9.4Shots against14.0

3.0Shots on target3.4

2.7On target against4.0

4%Conversion5%

26.6Shots per goal21.4

13.9Fouls10.7

2.2Offsides1.86

• • Manta scores 0.77 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Manta concedes 0.07 per match more than opponents' xG.
• • Barcelona Sporting Club scores 0.09 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Barcelona Sporting Club concedes 0 per match fewer than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 3.17 goals per match on average.