Spartak Trnava — MSK Zilina 1:3: match report and statistics

• 1.17 Expected goals (xG) 1.3
• 53% Possession 47%
• 17 Total shots 13
• 5 Shots on target 7
• 2 Big Chances 1
• 5 Corners 1
• 87 (404/462)Assists(361/426) 85
• 3 Yellow cards 2
• 0.59 xG on target (xGOT) 1.9
• 8 Shots off target 4
• 4 Shots blocked 2
• 10 Shots from inside the penalty area 11
• 7 Shots from outside the penalty area 2
• 0 Hit the woodwork 0
• 26 Touches in opposition box 19
• 0 Accurate through passes 0
• 2 Offsides 1
• 15 Free kicks 11
• 40 (14/35)Long Balls(28/55) 51
• 77 (80/104)Passes in final third(83/113) 73
• 25 (7/28)Crosses(6/11) 55
• 1.64 Expected assists (xA) 0.7
• 19 Throw-ins 14
• 11 Fouls 15
• 69 (11/16)Tackles(14/20) 70
• 45 Duels won 50
• 11 Clearances 29
• 9 Steals 6
• 0 Errors leading to shot 0
• 1 Errors leading to goal 0
• 4 Saves 3
• 1.9 xGOT faced 0.59
• -1.1 Goals prevented -0.41
• 7 Goal kicks 11

Tournament

Slovakia. Super League

Season

2026/2027

Attendance

7,557

Referee

Martin Dohal

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	DAC 1904	14	12	2	0	42:9	+33	38	WWWWW
2	Slovan Bratislava	14	8	4	2	32:15	+17	28	DWWDW
3	MSK Zilina	14	8	4	2	37:27	+10	28	WWDLD
4	Spartak Trnava	14	7	4	3	28:18	+10	25	WLDLW
5	Zeleziarne Podbrezova	14	6	2	6	23:24	-1	20	WLWLL
6	Kosice	14	4	6	4	32:26	+6	18	LWLDD
7	Dukla Banska Bystrica	14	4	2	8	14:27	-13	14	LLDWW
8	Zemplin	14	4	2	8	12:25	-13	14	LLLDL
9	KFC Komarno	14	2	7	5	13:17	-4	13	WWDLD
10	Ruzomberok	14	3	3	8	13:29	-16	12	LWLWD
11	Skalica	14	2	4	8	15:28	-13	10	LLDLD
12	Trencin	14	2	4	8	14:30	-16	10	DLLDW

• Promotion - Slovakia. Super League (Championship - Play-off)
• Slovakia. Super League (Relegation Group)

• The model expects 3.75 goals: 1.88 for Spartak Trnava and 1.88 for MSK Zilina.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (8%), followed by 1–2 (8%).
• Corners: about 12.6 (8.5 — 4.1).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 10 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.25, 2nd — 2.5.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	98%	1.02
Over 1.5	100%	75%	89%	1.13
Over 2.5	50%	75%	72%	1.38
Over 3.5	0%	75%	52%	1.94
Over 4.5	0%	50%	32%	3.10

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (4), away team away (4). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Spartak Trnava MSK Zilina

• Scored in 7 matches in a row100%
• 5 wins in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 5 matches100%
• Scored in 5 matches in a row100%
• 4 clean sheets in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 4 matches in a row100%
• 3 wins in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 3 matches100%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 7 matches100%
• Over 9.5 corners in 7 of 7 matches100%
• Won 5 of 5 matches after scoring first100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 matches86%

Based on recent matches: home team — 7, away team — 7

Spartak Trnavamatches: 4 · 4MSK Zilina

2.5Avg match total5.0

100%4/4Over 0.5100%4/4

0%0/4Under 0.50%0/4

100%4/4Over 1.575%3/4

0%0/4Under 1.525%1/4

50%2/4Over 2.575%3/4

50%2/4Under 2.525%1/4

0%0/4Over 3.575%3/4

100%4/4Under 3.525%1/4

0%0/4Over 4.550%2/4

100%4/4Under 4.550%2/4

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Spartak TrnavaMSK Zilina

75%3/4Scores first75%3/4

100%3/3…and wins100%3/3

0%0/3…and draws0%0/3

0%0/3…and loses0%0/3

0%0/3…and then concedes33%1/3

First to concede…

Overall

• • Spartak Trnava opened the scoring in 75% of matches.
• • Spartak Trnava avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.
• • MSK Zilina opened the scoring in 75% of matches.
• • MSK Zilina avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Spartak Trnava				MSK Zilina
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	0	0%	1–15	50%	2	0
0	0	0%	16–30	50%	3	0
4	1	50%	31–45	0%	0	0
2	0	25%	46–60	75%	4	1
1	0	25%	61–75	25%	2	0
2	0	25%	76–90	100%	3	5
3	1	50%	37–HT	0%	0	0
2	0	25%	87–FT	50%	1	1

• • Spartak Trnava scores most in 31–45: 4 of 9 goals (44%).
• • Spartak Trnava concedes most in 31–45: 1 of 1 conceded.
• • Spartak Trnava scores 33% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • MSK Zilina scores most in 46–60: 4 of 14 goals (29%).
• • MSK Zilina concedes most in 76–90: 5 of 6 conceded.
• • MSK Zilina scores 36% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Spartak TrnavaMSK Zilina

8.5Corners won, avg5.0

3.3Corners conceded, avg8.5

11.8Match corners, avg13.5

4.5Corners in 1st half, avg2.5

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Spartak Trnavaper matchMSK Zilina

2.51xG for1.52

0.61xG against2.15

19.8Shots11.5

8.0Shots against19.0

8.5Shots on target5.5

3.0On target against6.5

11%Conversion30%

8.8Shots per goal3.3

13.3Fouls12.0

1.67Offsides3.0

• • Spartak Trnava scores 0.26 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Spartak Trnava concedes 0.36 per match fewer than opponents' xG.
• • MSK Zilina scores 1.98 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • MSK Zilina concedes 0.65 per match fewer than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 2.5 goals per match on average.